Canada vs Mexico Prediction

    🔊 Who will emerge victorious in the battle for the final? The CONCACAF Nations League semifinals feature a clash between the national teams of Canada and Mexico. Both squads are showcasing impressive football and are rightfully considered among the top teams in North America. While Mexico has long held this status, Canada has recently risen to this level. Let's assess the current form of these teams and make a well-founded prediction for their matchup.

    Head-to-Head

    In head-to-head encounters, Mexico are well ahead, having won six out of the last ten matches. Canada, on the other hand, have managed just one victory. However, recent trends indicate a more evenly matched contest. Both teams have found the net in four of their last five meetings. Therefore, we recommend betting on Both Teams to Score: Yes.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    13%
    1 Win
    13%
    1 Draw
    75%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    8
    Total Goals Avg
    2.63
    Both teams scored
    50%
    0.63
    Total average
    2
    1.25
    Yellow cards
    0.88
    Last matches
    21.03.25
    CONCACAF Nations League A
    Canada
    Canada
    Mexico
    Mexico
    0.71
    1.41
    7
    2
    22
    21
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.71
    1.41
    7
    2
    22
    21
    3
    3
    11.09.24
    Int. Friendly Games
    Canada
    Canada
    Mexico
    Mexico
    -
    -
    5
    6
    21
    25
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    6
    21
    25
    3
    3
    17.11.21
    WCF
    Canada
    Canada
    Mexico
    Mexico
    -
    -
    5
    5
    16
    22
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    16
    22
    1
    2
    08.10.21
    WCF
    Mexico
    Mexico
    Canada
    Canada
    -
    -
    7
    3
    14
    13
    1
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    14
    13
    1
    4
    30.07.21
    Gold Cup
    Mexico
    Mexico
    Canada
    Canada
    -
    -
    -
    -
    16
    16
    -
    -
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    16
    16
    -
    -
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    Canada Team Overview

    Canada's national team is increasingly stepping into the spotlight at various tournaments. The Maple Leafs delivered an impressive performance at last year's Copa América, reaching the semifinals. Although they couldn't overcome Argentina (0-2) and Uruguay (2-2, 3-4 on penalties), they came close to clinching a bronze medal in a major competition.

    In the CONCACAF Nations League, Jonathan David and his teammates face significantly less competition, giving them a real shot at the trophy. Moreover, Canada's current form leaves little room for doubt, as they have won four of their last five matches.

    Match Results: Canada

    Last matches
    05.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Canada
    Canada
    Ireland
    Ireland
    -
    -
    12
    4
    9
    13
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    12
    4
    9
    13
    2
    1
    D
    02.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Canada
    Canada
    Uzbekistan
    Uzbekistan
    0.72
    0.57
    7
    3
    10
    15
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0.72
    0.57
    7
    3
    10
    15
    2
    2
    W
    01.04.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Canada
    Canada
    Tunisia
    Tunisia
    0.88
    0.29
    9
    1
    16
    14
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.88
    0.29
    9
    1
    16
    14
    4
    2
    D
    28.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Canada
    Canada
    1
    Iceland
    Iceland
    2.33
    0.68
    8
    1
    12
    17
    0
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2.33
    0.68
    8
    1
    12
    17
    0
    2
    D
    18.01.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Canada
    Canada
    Guatemala
    Guatemala
    0.66
    0.14
    12
    5
    12
    6
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.66
    0.14
    12
    5
    12
    6
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Mexico Team Overview

    The Mexican team consistently demonstrates their high-class capabilities, at least by the standards of the North American region. However, they are struggling to maintain a steady level of quality football, with the Mexican national team clearly beginning to lose ground. The Copa America served as a telling example, as "El Tri" failed to even make it out of the group stage.

    In 2025, this national side has only played two matches, leaving a rather mixed impression. They faced off against Internacional (2-0) and River Plate (0-2), with the Argentine outfit causing significant trouble for the Mexicans.

    Match Results: Mexico

    Last matches
    05.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Mexico
    Mexico
    Serbia
    Serbia
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    5
    2
    2
    5
    1
    2
    1
    3
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    5
    2
    2
    W
    31.05.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Mexico
    Mexico
    Australia
    Australia
    0.59
    0.56
    5
    3
    7
    10
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.59
    0.56
    5
    3
    7
    10
    1
    1
    W
    23.05.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Mexico
    Mexico
    Ghana
    Ghana
    1.52
    0.22
    9
    3
    16
    9
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.52
    0.22
    9
    3
    16
    9
    1
    1
    W
    01.04.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Mexico
    Mexico
    Belgium
    Belgium
    0.90
    0.29
    3
    2
    14
    20
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.90
    0.29
    3
    2
    14
    20
    2
    4
    D
    29.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Mexico
    Mexico
    Portugal
    Portugal
    0.52
    1.40
    0
    4
    12
    9
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.52
    1.40
    0
    4
    12
    9
    1
    1
    D
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    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Team Canada have been making waves with their attacking prowess, which comes as no surprise given their lineup features forwards from top European leagues. Larin and David are determined to drive their team to the tournament final, so we suggest betting on Canada's Individual Total Goals Over 1.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    A high number of corner kicks is a common occurrence in matches involving these teams, as they frequently utilize their wingers. The average number of corners for Canada and Mexico stands at 9.3 and 9.5 respectively. We dare to predict that in their head-to-head clash, a bet on Total Corners Under 9.5 could play out well.

    Editor's Prediction

    Both teams boast formidable lineups, capable of achieving success in tournaments with lower competition levels. However, when compared, it seems Canada have a significantly better chance of coming out on top. Their primary advantage lies in their powerful attack, which few in the region can handle effectively. Recent performances in the Copa America suggest that Mexico are far from their peak form, while Canada shone brightly in that tournament. We anticipate a 2-1 victory for Canada, and our key bet is on Canada to win with a (0) handicap.

    Our choice
    Canada Handicap (0) at odds of -108*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 March 2025, 10:56)

    Betting Tips: Canada - Mexico

    Canada have won
    canada-3in 10 of last 11 home games.
    Canada Win
    MyBookie
    +475
    Canada have won the 1st half
    canada-3in 7 of last 8 home games.
    1st Half Canada Win
    MyBookie
    +1425
    Canada have not lost
    canada-3in 15 of last 16 home games.
    Canada will not lose
    MyBookie
    +125
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    canada-3mexico-1in last 7 Canada games against Mexico.
    canada-3in 15 of last 16 Canada home games.
    canada-3in 12 of last 13 Canada games (CONCACAF Nations League A).
    canada-3in last 6 Canada home games (CONCACAF Nations League A).
    mexico-1in 12 of last 13 Mexico games (CONCACAF Nations League A).
    mexico-1in 11 of last 12 Mexico away games.
    mexico-1in last 8 Mexico away games (CONCACAF Nations League A).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Canada - Mexico Table position

    League A Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Costa Rica
    Costa Rica
    42207-18
    2.
    Suriname
    Suriname
    42119-47
    3.
    Guatemala
    Guatemala
    42116-57
    4.
    Martinique
    Martinique
    41214-55
    5.
    Guadeloupe
    Guadeloupe
    41121-44
    6.
    Guyana
    Guyana
    40135-131

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 8
    Draw - 1
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 9
    +9
    +12
    18 - Scored
    6 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    8
    1
    Draw
    1
    4
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    18
    9
    Conceded
    6
    2.7
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.6
    4
    Both teams scored
    3
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats