Utrecht vs Zwolle Prediction 22 February 2026
🔊 Will Utrecht break into the Eredivisie top-8 after their winning streak? They're just one point away from the European competition zone, and their opponent for the 24th round is quite favorable-Zwolle, a mid-table team that hasn't tasted victory in their last four head-to-heads against the "Reds." The match will take place on Utrecht's home turf, where the visitors last took points in 2021. Can they manage it this time? We'll predict in our editorial analysis.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 31 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - PEC Zwolle):
- ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Utrecht and PEC Zwolle:
- played 32 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 6, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 59 against 40;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.22, in the 2nd half - 1.88;
- average total goals in the match - 3.09.
Head-to-head statistics Utrecht - Zwolle
Utrecht Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Groningen, away team - Utrecht). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Utrecht vs Groningen):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Utrecht currently sit in 10th place in the Eredivisie, aiming for a top-8 finish, just a single point away. This is largely due to their back-to-back victories in recent rounds. The Reds boast a positive goal difference, averaging 1.52 goals scored per match while conceding around 1.3 goals. However, their home form is concerning, as they are on a six-match losing streak across all competitions, with their last victory on home soil dating back to early November of last year.
Match Results: Utrecht
PEC Zwolle Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - PEC Zwolle). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:2.
Here are the match stats (PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
Zwolle find themselves lower in the Eredivisie standings than Utrecht, sitting in 13th place. Despite trailing the European competition spots by five points, the "Peacocks" hold onto hopes of making progress thanks to their decent attack. The team averages around 1.43 goals per match. However, their Achilles' heel is the defense: Zwolle have the second-worst defensive record in the league, conceding 49 goals in 23 matches. Notably, they allow twice as many goals on the road compared to their home performances.
Match Results: PEC Zwolle
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 6, draws - 11.
Statistics: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 8 vs 7;
- win percentage: 35% vs 30%;
- losses: 9 vs 11;
- draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 7 vs 6;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- PEC Zwolle won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.84, the guests - 1.25;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.09;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
- average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 3.57;
- average total goals scored: 1.52 vs 1.43;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.83;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.96 vs 0.61;
- Utrecht: average total at home in the tournament - 1.64;
- PEC Zwolle: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.4) vs 1.6 (away - 1.2).
- Utrecht have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games against PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Utrecht: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.13; at home field - 5.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 3.8.
PEC Zwolle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.87, away - 2.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.6.
- PEC Zwolle have taken under 3.5 corners in last 5 away games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Utrecht at home - 6 (55%);
- number of BTTS matches for PEC Zwolle away - 11 (92%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Utrecht at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for PEC Zwolle away - 5 (100%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/207, 12.1%);
- Utrecht at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/11, 27.3%);
- PEC Zwolle away most often play: 2:1 , 2:2 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.33% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 9.86% (odds 7)
1:0 - 8.36% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Utrecht have struggled at home recently, but historically, they excel in head-to-head matchups against Zwolle on their own turf, remaining unbeaten since 2015. Moreover, in 8 of the last 9 encounters, the "Reds" have scored at least two goals. Given Zwolle's leaky defense, which ranks as the second-worst in the league, we suggest considering a bet on Utrecht to score over 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Utrecht - PEC Zwolle
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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