Racing vs Danubio Prediction 21 February 2026
🔅 In the third round of the Uruguayan Primera Division, Racing Montevideo and Danubio face off. Both clubs are eager to secure a win to climb the standings. The match promises to be intense and exciting for fans. Expect both teams to put in maximum effort on the pitch. Read the prediction for this clash below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 1-2. Here's the comparative statistics from that encounter (home team - Racing Montevideo):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2.
📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Racing Montevideo and Danubio:
- 34 matches played;
- home victories - 12, away wins - 14, draws - 8;
- goals scored (home/away) - 51 to 45;
- average total goals per match - 2.82.
Head-to-head statistics Racing - Danubio

Racing Montevideo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Nacional Montevideo as the home side and Racing Montevideo as the visitors. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
The game statistics were as follows (Racing Montevideo vs Nacional Montevideo):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Racing Montevideo, known as "La Academia," are facing challenges this season, currently sitting in 12th place on the table. In their last five matches, they've secured two wins and suffered two losses, averaging 1.3 goals per game over their last ten outings. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding approximately 2.5 goals per match. Despite an earlier run of defeats, the team is eager to turn their fortunes around with an attacking style of play.
Match Results: Racing Montevideo

Danubio Team Overview
The visiting team played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Danubio as the hosts and Boston River as the visitors. The match ended with a 2-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Danubio vs Boston River):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Danubio are enjoying a successful season, currently sitting third in the league, thanks to their solid defense and effective attack. Over their last ten matches, they've secured five wins and suffered three losses, demonstrating strong defensive organization by conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per game. The team is in excellent form with four consecutive victories leading into this match and are poised to continue their impressive run against Racing.
Match Results: Danubio
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Racing Montevideo (Home) vs Danubio (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- Average total goals scored: 3 vs 0;
- Average total goals conceded: 2 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 0;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 8;
- Average first half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.1).
- Racing Montevideo have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).
- Danubio have drawn in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games.
- Danubio have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 14, draws - 8.
Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Danubio
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 0 vs 2;
- win percentage: 0% vs 100%;
- losses: 1 vs 0;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Racing Montevideo have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
- Racing Montevideo have not won in last 7 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.32;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.82;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 8.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Racing Montevideo games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Racing Montevideo games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Racing Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 3.6.
Danubio: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 3.8.
- Danubio have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Danubio
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 0;
- number of BTTS matches for Racing Montevideo at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Danubio away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 1;
- BTTS matches for Racing Montevideo at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Danubio away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (4/16, 25%);
- Racing Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 2:4 (1/1, 100%);
- Danubio away most often play: 0:1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.55% (odds 6)
0:1 - 10.43% (odds 7)
0:0 - 9.36% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, a low-scoring match is anticipated. Both clubs often play cautiously and focus on defense. The odds of fewer than 2.5 goals being scored in the match appear high. This could result in a hard-fought battle with limited scoring opportunities.