Mantova vs Sampdoria Genoa Prediction 21 February 2026
📢 What to expect from the clash between Mantova and Sampdoria in the 26th round of Serie B? Mantova are fighting for survival, sitting in 17th place, while Sampdoria enjoy a more comfortable 12th position. The teams' form varies: Mantova have lost three of their last five matches, whereas Sampdoria remain unbeaten in their last six games. Given the tournament stakes, both teams will be eager to secure points to achieve their objectives.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sampdoria):
- ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 6;
- fouls: 18 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 3 against 3;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.67, in the 2nd half - 1.33;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Mantova - Sampdoria Genoa
Mantova Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - US Catanzaro, away team - Mantova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Mantova vs US Catanzaro):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 2;
- fouls: 4 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Mantova sit 17th in the standings, striving to climb out of the relegation zone. The team face defensive challenges, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Over their last five games, they've secured one win, suffered three losses, and managed one draw, highlighting their inconsistency. Despite this, they have the ability to surprise opponents by capitalizing on rare scoring opportunities.
Match Results: Mantova
Sampdoria Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Sampdoria, away - Padova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Sampdoria vs Padova):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Sampdoria have been showcasing consistent performances in recent matches, with three wins and two draws in their last five outings, reflecting the team's confident play. The Blucerchiati boast a potent attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game over the last ten matches while conceding minimally, with just one goal on average. However, their struggles on the road are evident, as they often fail to maintain leads or secure victories away from home.
Match Results: Sampdoria
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Mantova vs Sampdoria
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 6 vs 7;
- win percentage: 24% vs 28%;
- losses: 14 vs 10;
- draws: 5 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Mantova vs Sampdoria
- average total in the tournament: 2.56 vs 2.36;
- average total goals scored: 0.96 vs 1.08;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.28;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 0.8;
- Mantova: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Sampdoria: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.25) vs 1.2 (away - 0.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Mantova games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.33 (4 - for home team and 5.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 3 (1 - for home team and 2 - for away team).
Mantova: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 5.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 4.75.
Sampdoria: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.72, away - 3.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 2.6.
- Under 8.5 corners in last 5 Sampdoria away games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Mantova vs Sampdoria
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Mantova at home - 9 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sampdoria away - 8 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Mantova at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Sampdoria away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (39/250, 15.6%);
- Mantova at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:3 , 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Sampdoria away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 , 3:1 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.45% (odds 5.54)
0:1 - 9.57% (odds 6.03)
1:0 - 9.07% (odds 6.32)
Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers see no clear favorite, largely due to Mantova's home advantage, although Sampdoria appear slightly stronger based on recent performances. Both teams are desperate for points and are unlikely to settle for a draw. It's also worth noting that in six of Mantova's last seven matches, at least two goals were scored, making it reasonable to bet on over 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Mantova - Sampdoria
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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