Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 February 2026
🔊 The 24th round of the Eredivisie kicks off with a clash between Fortuna and Excelsior, two teams neck and neck in the standings. The match takes place in Sittard, which plays to Fortuna's advantage, as their home form would place them in the top eight of the league. However, Excelsior have been on a decent run recently, losing just once in their last five matches. Can the visitors challenge the hosts? We assess their chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Excelsior):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior:
- played 21 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 10, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 28 against 39;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.19, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in the match - 3.19.
Head-to-head statistics Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Ajax Amsterdam, away team - Fortuna Sittard). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here's the game statistics (Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 8.
Fortuna, known for their aggressive attacking play, average 1.5 goals per game. However, they concede even more, allowing 1.83 goals on average. Recently, the Sittard side have shown inconsistent form, securing just two wins in their last 10 matches. Despite this, their games are often thrilling affairs; in seven consecutive Eredivisie rounds, the total goals have exceeded 2.5. In the league standings, Fortuna sit in 11th place, positioned almost equidistant from the relegation zone and European competition spots.
Match Results: Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Excelsior, away - AZ Alkmaar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 7 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
Excelsior have been showing slightly better form lately compared to Fortuna, securing three wins over their last 10 matches. Until the most recent Eredivisie round, they were on a five-game unbeaten streak. However, the team struggles offensively, averaging only 1.09 goals per match. In their last head-to-head clash, the Red and Blacks edged out Sittard with a 1-0 victory, which could boost their confidence ahead of the away fixture, especially considering their recent performances.
Match Results: Excelsior
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 10, draws - 6.
Statistics: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 7 vs 7;
- win percentage: 30% vs 30%;
- losses: 11 vs 11;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
- Fortuna Sittard have not lost in last 8 home games against Excelsior.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 1.86;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.19;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior
- average total in the tournament: 3.3 vs 2.78;
- average total goals scored: 1.48 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.74 vs 0.61;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.74 vs 0.48;
- Fortuna Sittard: average total at home in the tournament - 1.73;
- Excelsior: average total away in the tournament - 1.09;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 8 Fortuna Sittard games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 7 Fortuna Sittard games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Fortuna Sittard: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.3; at home field - 5.09;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 4.
Excelsior: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.17, away - 4.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 4.25.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 6 Fortuna Sittard games against Excelsior (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Fortuna Sittard at home - 8 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Excelsior away - 7 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Fortuna Sittard at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Excelsior away - 2 (50%).
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Excelsior.
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 8 games.
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 7 games (Eredivisie).
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 6 home games.
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/207, 12.1%);
- Fortuna Sittard at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:2 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Excelsior away most often play: 1:2 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.57% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 7.93% (odds 9)
2:2 - 7.71% (odds 12)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match between Fortuna and Excelsior promises to be action-packed. Both teams have shown average performances this season, but Fortuna have the advantage of playing at home. Statistics indicate that matches involving Fortuna often see over 2.5 goals, and both teams are prone to exchanging goals, especially on Fortuna's turf: both teams have scored in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters. Given these circumstances, a bet on both teams to score (yes) seems highly likely.No comments
Betting Tips: Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior
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