Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Will Chelsea's unbeaten run in the Premier League continue? Currently, the streak stands at five matches, though the Blues couldn't maintain a flawless record, dropping points against Leeds in their latest fixture. Meanwhile, Burnley showed resilience by coming back from 0-2 down to claim victory over Crystal Palace. Can the Clarets pull off an upset at Stamford Bridge? Let's assess their chances in our editorial prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the last 10 matches against Chelsea, Burnley have failed to secure a single victory. During this stretch, the Clarets have only managed to take points from the Blues on three occasions through draws. Notably, in 8 out of these 10 encounters, the total goals exceeded 2.5.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    62%
    13 Wins
    33%
    7 Draws
    5%
    1 Win
    Total games
    21
    Total Goals Avg
    3.24
    Both teams scored
    62%
    2.38
    Total average
    0.86
    1.29
    Yellow cards
    1.76
    Last matches
    21.02.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    1
    Burnley
    Burnley
    0.98
    0.06
    9
    5
    2
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.98
    0.06
    9
    5
    2
    3
    3
    1
    22.11.25
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.53
    1.45
    1
    9
    13
    8
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.53
    1.45
    1
    9
    13
    8
    2
    3
    30.03.24
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1
    -
    -
    12
    4
    12
    7
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    12
    4
    12
    7
    2
    3
    07.10.23
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    -
    -
    7
    3
    11
    7
    2
    4
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    7
    3
    11
    7
    2
    4
    05.03.22
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    -
    -
    5
    2
    12
    6
    2
    0
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    -
    -
    5
    2
    12
    6
    2
    0
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    Chelsea Team Overview

    Under Liam Rosenior, Chelsea have suffered only two defeats, both at the hands of Arsenal in the cup. In the league, however, the Blues remain unbeaten under the English manager and have climbed from 6th place into the European competition spots, sitting just outside the top five.

    Still, their Premier League campaign hasn't been entirely flawless. In the 26th round, the "Pensioners" hosted Leeds and dominated the "Peacocks" in terms of statistics. However, the reality was less rosy as the hosts squandered a two-goal lead and ended up drawing the match 2-2. Nonetheless, they approach their upcoming fixture in high spirits following a commanding 4-0 cup victory over Hull City.

    Match Results: Chelsea

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    L
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    W
    16.05.26
    FAC
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    04.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    L
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    Burnley Team Overview

    Last week, Burnley secured their first Premier League victory since late October. While this win doesn't alter Scott Parker's team's standings significantly, it does slightly narrow their gap to the crucial 17th spot, which currently stands at a daunting nine points.

    Burnley's triumph in the 26th round over Crystal Palace was particularly impressive. The Clarets not only played away but also came back from a 0-2 deficit. Despite the hosts' statistical dominance, Burnley turned the game around by halftime, leading 3-2. The second half saw no goals. However, earlier this week, the Lancashire side suffered a home defeat to Mansfield Town from England's third tier, losing 1-2.

    Match Results: Burnley

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    1.29
    2.3
    7
    7
    10
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.29
    2.3
    7
    7
    10
    11
    2
    2
    D
    18.05.26
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1.29
    0.31
    3
    3
    7
    16
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.29
    0.31
    3
    3
    7
    16
    1
    3
    L
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    D
    01.05.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1.99
    0.53
    5
    0
    12
    11
    4
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.99
    0.53
    5
    0
    12
    11
    4
    3
    L
    22.04.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.94
    3.17
    3
    11
    10
    12
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.94
    3.17
    3
    11
    10
    12
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Chelsea

    🎙 Chelsea's head coach commented on the incident between Gianluca Prestianni and Vinicius Junior in the Champions League. The Brazilian complained to the referee about racist remarks from the Italian. Here's what Liam Rosenior had to say: “It's upsetting. Context is always necessary. But I'll say this: any form of racism in society, not just in football, is unacceptable. I can't comment on an incident under investigation. I won't speak on that. What I will say is when a player is as upset as Vinicius Junior was, there's usually a reason for it.”

    ❌ Chelsea's injury list is gradually clearing up. Over the past week, Reece James and Tosin Adarabioyo have recovered. On the verge of returning are Philip Jorgensen, Romeo Lavia, and Dário Essugo. However, the prospects for Levi Colwill and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens remain uncertain.

    Burnley

    🎙 Burnley fans have slammed the club's head coach for making nine changes to the starting lineup against Mansfield Town in the cup. Scott Parker defended his roster experiments and the defeat to the third-tier club, saying: "I don't think the issue was with those changes. In the first half, the game just wasn't clicking; we missed some great chances. The second half was very unfortunate. We started small, gave them something to latch onto, and from then on, we were out of control. Just a very poor result."

    ❌ Axel Tuanzebe's Achilles issues, which were expected to be resolved by the last matchday, have turned out to be more serious than anticipated. He now joins Burnley's injury list, which includes Zeki Amdouni, Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, and Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by Lewis Smith. Over his last 20 Premier League matches, he has averaged 4.2 yellow cards per game. Head-to-head clashes between these teams are often fiercely contested; in 4 of the last 5 encounters, there have been at least five bookings. Considering Burnley's improving form and Chelsea's league ambitions, both sides have plenty to fight for in the upcoming game. The odds suggest a reasonable choice for yellow cards. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 2.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Chelsea, under Liam Rosenior, play an entertaining brand of football but have defensive vulnerabilities. Under the English manager, the Blues have managed just three clean sheets. In the Premier League, they've conceded in 9 of the last 10 matches. We believe Burnley, buoyed by their impressive away win against Crystal Palace, another London club, have a good chance to score at Stamford Bridge. Editors' pick: Burnley to score a goal.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In their last match against Mansfield Town, Scott Parker experimented with a shift from four to three defenders. We've already discussed the results of that game, so a return to the old setup seems likely. Parker's commitment to a central approach remains unchanged. The Clarets lack prominent wing play and rarely reach the corner flags. Given these circumstances, it's wise to consider Burnley total corners under 3.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    We've already highlighted Chelsea's impressive attacking form under Liam Rosenior. To elaborate, the Blues have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven matches, although their strong offensive play is often offset by defensive lapses, as seen against Leeds. Typically, Chelsea's opponents don't require many chances to find the net. Burnley have been operating in a counter-attacking mode all season long, and it's quite likely that, if not collectively, then through the hosts' efforts alone, the teams could surpass a total over 3 goals. We expect Chelsea to have the edge on the scoreboard with a predicted scoreline of 3-1 in favor of the Londoners.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (3) at odds of -154*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 February 2026, 14:20)

    Betting Tips: Chelsea - Burnley

    Chelsea have not lost
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in 19 of last 20 games against Burnley.
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in 18 of last 19 games against Burnley (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in 9 of last 10 home games against Burnley.
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in 8 of last 9 home games against Burnley (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin 8 of last 9 games.
    chelsea-fcin 7 of last 8 home games (Premier League).
    Burnley have not won
    burnley-fc-2in 17 of last 19 games.
    burnley-fc-2in 16 of last 17 games (Premier League).
    burnley-fc-2in 7 of last 8 away games (Premier League).
    Chelsea will not lose
    Everygame
    -2500
    Chelsea have scored under 3.5 goals
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in last 10 home games against Burnley.
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in last 9 home games against Burnley (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin last 24 games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin last 13 home games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin last 12 home games.
    chelsea-fcin 9 of last 10 games.
    Chelsea Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Chelsea have scored
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in last 20 games against Burnley.
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in last 19 games against Burnley (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in last 10 home games against Burnley.
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in last 9 home games against Burnley (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin 24 of last 25 games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin 18 of last 19 games.
    chelsea-fcin last 17 home games.
    chelsea-fcin last 12 home games (Premier League).
    Burnley have conceded
    burnley-fc-2in 19 of last 20 games.
    burnley-fc-2in 17 of last 18 games (Premier League).
    burnley-fc-2in last 13 away games (Premier League).
    Chelsea will score goal
    -2500
    Under 4.5 goals scored
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in 9 of last 10 Chelsea home games against Burnley.
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in 8 of last 9 Chelsea home games against Burnley (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcburnley-fc-2in 7 of last 8 Chelsea games against Burnley (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin 23 of last 24 Chelsea games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin 12 of last 13 Chelsea home games (Premier League).
    burnley-fc-2in 9 of last 10 Burnley games (Premier League).
    burnley-fc-2in 6 of last 7 Burnley away games (Premier League).
    in last 20 Lewis Smith games.
    in last 5 Lewis Smith games (in the Premier League).
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    -357
    View more facts

    Chelsea - Burnley Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Brentford
    Brentford
    3814111355-5253
    10.
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    3814101458-5252
    11.
    Fulham
    Fulham
    381571647-5152
    18.
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    381091946-6539
    19.
    Burnley
    Burnley
    384102438-7522
    20.
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    383112427-6820

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 0
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    -13
    6 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    0
    1
    Draws
    3
    6
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    6
    15
    Conceded
    19
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats