AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prediction 22 February 2026
🔊 A match that could be the highlight of Eredivisie's 24th round is set to take place in Alkmaar, where AZ will host Sparta. Both clubs are neck-and-neck, positioned at the edge of the top six, and have shown decent form in recent games. However, their weaknesses are also apparent. For the hosts, it's their defensive inconsistency, while the visitors struggle with scoring on the road. During their last trip to Alkmaar, Sparta managed to secure all three points. Can they do it again this time? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on each team's chances.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sparta):
- ball possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 9;
- fouls: 7 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 14.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams AZ Alkmaar and Sparta:
- played 36 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 25, for the away team - 3, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 81 against 27;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.44, in the 2nd half - 1.56;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics AZ Alkmaar - Sparta
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament (home team - Noah, away team - AZ Alkmaar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Noah):
- ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
AZ Alkmaar currently sit in sixth place on the table, showcasing inconsistent form. The "Cheeseheads" average 1.7 goals scored per match but concede the same amount, indicating a relative balance between their defense and attack. In their last five matches, AZ have secured two wins, drawn once, and suffered two defeats. The most recent loss came midweek in the Conference League against Armenian side Noah (0-1), leaving the Alkmaar team not only in a less than positive mood but also not in peak physical condition heading into their upcoming fixture.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Sparta, away - NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Sparta vs NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Sparta are currently above AZ in the Eredivisie standings, sitting in 5th place with a one-point lead over their upcoming opponents. The visitors score slightly less on average but concede the same amount, resulting in a worse goal difference (-7). In their last five matches, they have secured three wins and two draws, remaining unbeaten in the league since mid-January. However, Sparta struggle to convert chances on the road, particularly in head-to-head clashes with AZ, scoring fewer than 1.5 goals in 17 of their last 18 matches in Alkmaar.
Match Results: Sparta
Latest news
AZ Alkmaar
🎙 AZ midfielder Kees Smit continues to stir up the transfer market. According to French media, in addition to Liverpool, Real Madrid, and Barcelona, PSG are also showing interest in the 20-year-old. The estimated transfer value of the player is €60 million.
❌ AZ are struggling to find a winning path, largely due to a significant number of injuries. Currently, four players are sidelined: Wesley Pinto Batista, Seiya Maikuma, Denso Kasius, and Jordy Clasie. Additionally, Mateo Chavez Garcia will miss the upcoming match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Sparta
❌ Sparta face far fewer roster issues compared to AZ. The medical staff of the Rotterdam club is doing an outstanding job: currently, only winter signing Vito van Crooij from NEC Nijmegen and midfielder Pelle Clement are in the infirmary. However, Clement is close to recovery and might be included in the squad for the upcoming match.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- home team wins - 25, away team wins - 3, draws - 8.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 10 vs 11;
- win percentage: 43% vs 48%;
- losses: 7 vs 8;
- draws: 6 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 games.
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games (Eredivisie).
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (Eredivisie).
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.25, the guests - 0.75;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta
- average total in the tournament: 3.3 vs 2.91;
- average total goals scored: 1.7 vs 1.3;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.91 vs 0.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 0.83;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Sparta: average total away in the tournament - 1.45;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 1.9 (away - 2.6).
- Sparta have scored under 1.5 goals in 17 of last 18 away games against AZ Alkmaar.
Prediction on corners
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.65; at home field - 5.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 4.67.
Sparta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.7, away - 4.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 5.4.
- AZ Alkmaar have taken over 5.5 corners in 13 of last 15 games against Sparta (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 10 (91%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sparta away - 4 (36%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Sparta away - 3 (60%).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in 13 of last 14 home games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/208, 12%);
- AZ Alkmaar at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:2 , 4:1 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Sparta away most often play: 0:1 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.93% (odds 6.95)
2:1 - 9.32% (odds 8.3)
1:0 - 7.33% (odds 9.8)
Editorial Prediction
AZ Alkmaar, currently sitting in sixth place, continue to show inconsistency in defense but decent scoring ability; the "Farmers" often engage in high-scoring exchanges on their home turf. On the other hand, Sparta Rotterdam are in better form, unbeaten since mid-January and positioned higher in the standings. However, their attacking efficiency on the road leaves much to be desired, as they rarely score more than one goal, particularly in head-to-heads with AZ. Nonetheless, these factors should be enough to support a bet on both teams to score (yes).
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Betting Tips: AZ Alkmaar - Sparta
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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