Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction 21 February 2026
🔊 Atlético Nacional and Alianza face off in a clash that could prove pivotal for both teams. Atlético Nacional have been in impressive form recently, securing four wins out of their last five matches. Meanwhile, Alianza are struggling to find their rhythm, with three draws and two losses in the same period. The teams are at opposite ends of the league table, adding an intriguing dimension to this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 08 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Atletico Nacional Medellin):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Atletico Nacional Medellin and Alianza Valledupar:
- played 6 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 1, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 13 against 6;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.5, in the 2nd half - 1.67;
- average total goals in the match - 3.17.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico Nacional - Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, featuring Deportivo Cali as the home side against Atlético Nacional. The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali):
- possession percentage: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Atlético Nacional continue to impress on their home turf. Currently sitting 11th in the standings, the team has delivered outstanding performances in their last five matches, securing four wins and suffering just one defeat. The "Athletes" are known for their high-scoring prowess, averaging 2.5 goals per match while conceding a mere 0.75 goals per game. This style of play allows them to feel confident in front of their home crowd.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin
Alianza Valledupar Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primera A, where Alianza hosted Cúcuta Deportivo. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Alianza vs Cúcuta Deportivo):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 6;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Alianza are going through a tough phase, sitting at the bottom of the league and clearly struggling with their performance. Over their last five matches, they have failed to secure a win, drawing three times and losing twice. The team faces challenges both offensively and defensively, averaging just 0.5 goals scored per match while conceding 1.83 goals.
Match Results: Alianza Valledupar
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 6;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.83, while the visitors net 0.67.
First-Half Stats: Atletico Nacional Medellin (home) vs Alianza Valledupar (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 2 (66.67%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- Average goals scored: 1.33 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4).
- Atletico Nacional Medellin scored in the 1st half in last 5 games against Alianza Valledupar.
- Atletico Nacional Medellin scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Liga Aguila).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 6;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Atletico Nacional vs. Alianza
- matches in the tournament: 4 vs. 6;
- wins: 3 vs. 0;
- win percentage: 75% vs. 0%;
- losses: 1 vs. 3;
- draws: 0 vs. 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 5 vs. 3;
- losses: 3 vs. 4;
- draws: 2 vs. 3.
- Atletico Nacional have won at home in 9 of their last 10 matches (Primera A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- home team - 2.17, away team - 1;
- in head-to-head matches - 3.17;
- both teams scored: all-time - 4 times; at the home team's ground - once.
Average Total Statistics: Atletico Nacional vs. Alianza
- in the tournament: 3.25 vs. 2.33;
- goals scored: 2.5 vs. 0.5;
- in the first half: 0.75 vs. 0.17;
- in the second half: 1.75 vs. 0.33;
- Atletico Nacional: at home in the tournament - 3.33;
- Alianza: away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches: 1.7 (home - 2.17) vs. 0.8 (away - 0.2).
- Atletico Nacional have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 matches.
Corners Prediction
Atletico Nacional: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 5.5; at home - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; at home - 4.5.
Alianza: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.33, away - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; away - 2.8.
Exact Score Prediction
Common Scoreline Statistics (current season):
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (14/65, 21.5%);
- Atletico Nacional's common home scores: 2-1, 4-0, 4-1 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Alianza's common away scores: 1-0, 2-0, 5-0 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
2-0 - 14.91% (odds 5.4)
1-0 - 13.34% (odds 5.6)
3-0 - 11.41% (odds 7.4)
- Alianza have drawn 1-1 in 3 of their last 4 matches (Primera A).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their recent statistics, it's reasonable to expect the home side to dominate - Atlético Nacional continue to display strong form at home, with a high scoring rate against a weaker opponent in the standings. Trends suggest a high likelihood of an open game. Therefore, betting on over 2.5 goals appears to be the most well-founded option.
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Betting Tips: Atletico Nacional Medellin - Alianza Valledupar
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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