Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction 21 January 2026
🔊 The clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams. The hosts are sitting 7th in the table, showcasing consistent performances. Meanwhile, the visitors are in 2nd place and are pushing for promotion, yet they often falter. Both squads are at full strength, adding extra tension to the upcoming showdown.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Middlesbrough):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 8 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Stoke City and Middlesbrough:
- played 25 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 10, draws - 7;
- number of goals (home/away) - 28 against 28;
- average total goals in the match - 2.24.
Head-to-head statistics Stoke City - Middlesbrough
Stoke City Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Stoke City, away team - Queens Park Rangers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers):
- ball possession: 73% vs 27%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Stoke City have been showing decent form in recent matches, securing 3 wins out of their last 5 games with only one loss. The team builds their strategy around a solid defense, conceding just 0.85 goals per match on average this season. However, their scoring ability has room for improvement, with an average of only 1.19 goals per game. The Potters often rely on counterattacks and set pieces to achieve results, a strategy that has brought them success in key fixtures this season.
Match Results: Stoke City
Middlesbrough Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - West Bromwich Albion, away - Middlesbrough). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here are the match stats (Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 4 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Middlesbrough are in a rough patch, having won just half of their last ten matches. Their season average for goals scored stands at an impressive 1.48 per game, while their defense remains solid, conceding slightly over a goal per match (1.04). The Smoggies favor a style that emphasizes possession control and rapid flank attacks, generating numerous chances in front of the opponent's goal.
Match Results: Middlesbrough
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Stoke City (Home) vs Middlesbrough (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 14;
- Number of wins: 6 (46.15%) vs 5 (35.71%);
- Number of losses: 2 (15.38%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- Number of draws: 5 (38.46%) vs 3 (21.43%);
- Average total goals scored: 0.92 vs 1.21;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.15 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.2).
- Stoke City have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 10, draws - 7.
Statistics: Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
- matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- wins: 12 vs 14;
- win percentage: 44% vs 52%;
- losses: 10 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.12, the guests - 1.12;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.24;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
- average total in the tournament: 2.04 vs 2.52;
- average total goals scored: 1.19 vs 1.48;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.52 vs 0.63;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.85;
- Stoke City: average total at home in the tournament - 1.38;
- Middlesbrough: average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.8) vs 1.7 (away - 1.67).
- Stoke City have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.81; at home field - 6.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 7.
Middlesbrough: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.26, away - 6.21;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.9; away - 5.83.
- Middlesbrough have taken over 3.5 corners in 11 of last 12 games (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.28 (1.64 for home team and 1.64 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.34 (1.42 for home team and 0.92 for away team).
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.11; at home - 2.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 2.8.
Middlesbrough: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.63, away - 2.21;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; away - 1.33.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Stoke City at home - 6 (46%);
- number of BTTS matches for Middlesbrough away - 8 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Stoke City at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Middlesbrough away - 4 (67%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (50/319, 15.7%);
- Stoke City at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:2 (2/13, 15.4%);
- Middlesbrough away most often play: 1:1 (3/14, 21.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.08% (odds 6)
0:1 - 12.18% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 9.65% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The game promises to be open and full of action, thanks to Middlesbrough's aggressive style and their ambition to climb the league table. However, Stoke City's defensive play could pose a significant challenge for the visitors. We anticipate a fiercely contested match, making a bet on over 3.5 total yellow cards a smart choice. At home, Stoke average 1.85 cautions per game, while Middlesbrough receive 2 on the road.No comments
Betting Tips: Stoke City - Middlesbrough
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