Las Palmas vs Burgos Prediction 20 September 2026
🔊 Las Palmas and Burgos are having similar starts to the season in Segunda División: both sides are comfortably placed among the leading teams and retain genuine promotion prospects. The hosts sit slightly closer to the La Liga places, but the gap in points is minimal and there is still a long way to go in the season. In that context, this match matters for the standings, though neither side needs to take unnecessary risks right now. Both clubs' recent matches have been low-scoring, with no notable upturn in attacking play from either team.
Six consecutive matches without a goal for Las Palmas
📊 Las Palmas and Burgos have met six times in official matches. The hosts are yet to win, while the visitors have won twice. The other four meetings ended in draws. Las Palmas have scored no goals in those matches; Burgos have scored four. The overall average is 0.67 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Las Palmas - Burgos

Las Palmas have collected 10 points, but they don’t have much breathing room.
Las Palmas have made a solid start to the season: three wins, one draw and one defeat from five rounds. The team have collected 10 points and are sitting close to the leading group, with a goal difference of +1 (7 scored, 6 conceded). They create chances regularly in attack, but their matches rarely feature a dominant winning margin - more often than not, results are ground out in tight contests. The last two rounds illustrate that character well: Las Palmas first drew 0-0 with Leganés, then beat Cádiz 1-0. They know how to be patient and do not need to raise the tempo just to get three points.
Match Results: Las Palmas

Burgos pick up points more often than they lose.
Burgos have also made a decent start to the season: two wins, two draws and one defeat, eight points and a goal difference of 8:6. They picked up points in four of their five league rounds, and before the trip to the Canary Islands they comfortably beat Ceuta 3-1. That said, Burgos are considerably more cautious away from home than they are at their own ground. In four of their last five away matches in the Segunda, they kept a clean sheet, and all five ended with fewer than three goals. So the visitors are unlikely to open the game up on Gran Canaria.
Match Results: Burgos CF
Total Goals Prediction
The history between these two sides is almost entirely defined by low scoring. All six of their previous meetings have stayed under 2.5 goals, and Las Palmas have never managed to score against Burgos. The visitors reinforce this pattern on the road as well - their last five away matches in Segunda have also produced no more than two goals. Las Palmas are capable of scoring more than they have in previous meetings between the sides, but their opponents are very comfortable in a closed, defensive game. The bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.67*.
Corners Prediction
Las Palmas rarely reach a high individual corners total at home. In 8 of their last 9 home matches in Segunda, they delivered no more than five corners. Even when they have the advantage in possession, the hosts don't always convert that into sustained pressure around the opposition box. Our pick: Las Palmas Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.59*.
Reliable Bet
Burgos have scored fewer than two goals in 12 of their last 14 away matches in Segunda - one of the most consistent trends in this game. On top of that, the team have not scored at all away from home this season. We're taking Burgos Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.29*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes are 0-0 (22.25%), 1-0 (19.01%) and 0-1 (13.28%). These figures suggest that a goalless draw is the most expected result, though a narrow win for either side is also possible.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Burgos have a knack for making away fixtures tight and low on space, and Las Palmas themselves have been happy to grind out results without taking unnecessary risks in recent rounds. The head-to-head record adds further weight to this view: across six meetings, the two sides have scored just four goals combined. The first goal could prove decisive, prompting whichever side scores it to shut the game down completely. Predicted score: 1-0. Our prediction: Total Goals - Under 2.5.