Hoffenheim vs Bayern Prediction 20 September 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Bayern secure their seventh consecutive victory? In this new season, Vincent Kompany's side haven't even experienced a draw yet. In the fourth round of the Bundesliga, Hoffenheim will aim to challenge the Munich giants at the PreZero Arena, hoping to snatch at least a point. On their home turf, Hoffe have performed reasonably well against Bayern, winning three times and drawing once in their last 10 encounters. However, last year they suffered a crushing defeat here. Does Christian Ilzer's team have any chance of standing up to the titans of German football? Find out in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Last season, Bayern gave Hoffenheim no chance, dominating with a 5-0 victory at the Allianz Arena and a 4-0 win at the PreZero Arena. The head-to-head history also heavily favors the Munich side: out of 35 matches, they have secured 24 wins, suffered 5 losses, and drawn 6 times.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    14%
    5 Wins
    16%
    6 Draws
    70%
    26 Wins
    Total games
    37
    Total Goals Avg
    3.59
    Both teams scored
    54%
    0.97
    Total average
    2.62
    1.92
    Yellow cards
    1.35
    Last matches
    08.02.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    1
    5.29
    1.33
    8
    3
    11
    9
    2
    2
    5
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    5.29
    1.33
    8
    3
    11
    9
    2
    2
    20.09.25
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    1.04
    2.71
    5
    5
    17
    9
    1
    2
    1
    4
    0
    1
    1
    3
    1.04
    2.71
    5
    5
    17
    9
    1
    2
    17.05.25
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    0.66
    2.21
    1
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.66
    2.21
    1
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    15.01.25
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    3.35
    0.36
    13
    1
    8
    10
    1
    1
    5
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    3.35
    0.36
    13
    1
    8
    10
    1
    1
    18.05.24
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    -
    -
    6
    5
    7
    8
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    2
    3
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    7
    8
    3
    1
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    Hoffenheim Team Overview

    🔵 Compared to their 3-1 defeat against Eintracht in the second round, Hoffenheim made two changes for their clash with Union (4-2): Alban Heidari made his first start, replacing Arthur Chaves, while Wouter Burger returned from injury. The Blue and Whites started brightly at the An der Alten Försterei and immediately created a scoring opportunity. However, the hosts soon took control of the game. Despite this, it was the visitors who unexpectedly broke the deadlock: Basuma Toure won a penalty, and Andrej Kramaric confidently converted it. Towards the end of the half, Fisnik Asllani doubled the lead with a beautiful header from a Tim Lemperle cross.

    ⚪ The game picked up pace after the break. Union reduced the deficit, but almost immediately Asllani restored the two-goal cushion. In the 71st minute, the hosts pulled one back again, but Hoffenheim sealed the victory in the closing stages: Lemperle was brought down in the box by Alexander Roth, who received a red card, and Lemperle converted the penalty himself, making it 4-2. Heading into their match against Bayern, the Blue and Whites sit on six points in sixth place. A win could propel Hoffenheim into the Bundesliga's top three.

    Match Results: Hoffenheim

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    1
    2.28
    2.86
    2
    9
    8
    12
    4
    4
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.28
    2.86
    2
    9
    8
    12
    4
    4
    L
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen
    1
    1.52
    0.95
    9
    3
    4
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.52
    0.95
    9
    3
    4
    3
    1
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    1
    2.31
    1.92
    4
    5
    6
    7
    3
    1
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    2.31
    1.92
    4
    5
    6
    7
    3
    1
    D
    25.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Hamburger
    Hamburger
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    1.66
    1.55
    4
    9
    11
    18
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1.66
    1.55
    4
    9
    11
    18
    2
    4
    W
    18.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    2.27
    0.94
    4
    3
    14
    11
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.27
    0.94
    4
    3
    14
    11
    2
    3
    W
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    Bayern Munich Team Overview

    🔴 In the third round, Bayern demolished Hamburg (5-0), securing a perfect start to their Bundesliga campaign. Serge Gnabry, Alexander Pavlovic, Luis Diaz, and Harry Kane made it 4-0 by halftime, with Kane completing his brace in the second half. The Munich side completely dominated the match, preventing their opponents from scoring. This victory marked their third consecutive win in the league, allowing them to collect nine points from a possible nine.

    🏆 Midweek, Kompany's team embarked on their Champions League journey. Chelsea visited the Allianz Arena (3-1). By the 27th minute, Bayern led 2-1 (an own goal, a Kane penalty, and a response from the visitors). In the second half, the Munich side maintained their momentum and created several chances but only found the net once more-again through Harry Kane. The result was a convincing victory and their sixth consecutive win across all competitions.

    Match Results: Bayern Munich

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    DFB Pokal
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    1.98
    0.5
    0
    3
    5
    13
    0
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.98
    0.5
    0
    3
    5
    13
    0
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Cologne
    Cologne
    2.98
    0.65
    5
    5
    6
    4
    1
    1
    5
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2.98
    0.65
    5
    5
    6
    4
    1
    1
    W
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    1.47
    2.18
    13
    5
    6
    7
    3
    2
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.47
    2.18
    13
    5
    6
    7
    3
    2
    D
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    Latest news

    Hoffenheim

    🎙 Head coach Christian Ilzer after the match against Union: "The atmosphere was inspiring, and it was crucial for us to embrace the physicality of the game. It was a 50/50 encounter, but we scored at the right moments. I'm impressed with how the team responded to conceding goals. Winning in Berlin is never easy."

    🔝 New forward Fisnik Asllani, who joined from Elversberg, has seamlessly integrated into the team: in the first three rounds, he has contributed to four goals (3 goals, 1 assist).

    ❌ Still sidelined with injuries are Valantin Zhandre, Adam Hložek, and Koki Machida.

    Bayern Munich

    🎙 Vincent Kompany after the victory over Chelsea: "A lot had to go our way today to secure the win. It was tense, but we showcased an exhilarating performance and deserved the result. We've already faced serious tests-Tottenham, Stuttgart, Leipzig, and now Chelsea. Yet, the team maintained focus and handled it confidently."

    🔝 Harry Kane is in sensational form: 7 points (5 goals and 2 assists) in the first three Bundesliga matches and 14 goal contributions in 8 official games this season (11 goals and 3 assists).

    ❌ Injuries include Alphonso Davies (knee), Hiroki Ito (foot), Jamal Musiala (ankle). Raphael Guerreiro is also sidelined with a muscle injury.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The main referee for this match is Robert Hartmann. Over his last 10 games, he has averaged 3.5 yellow cards per match. In the head-to-head encounters between these teams, the average total of bookings is 3.25. This season, Hoffenheim have received 7 cards (2.3 per game), while Bayern have been shown 10 (3.3 per game). Therefore, the bet is on total yellow cards over 3.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Bayern have netted 22 goals in 6 matches across all competitions, averaging 3.6 per game. We suggest betting on Bayern's individual total over 2, considering Hoffenheim have conceded in each of their last 7 Bundesliga matches, dating back to the end of last season.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In the early rounds, both Hoffenheim and Bayern consistently exceeded a total of 7.5 corners. For this match, a bet on over 8.5 corners is fitting, having hit in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.

    Editorial Prediction

    Last season at the PreZero Arena, Bayern secured a 4-0 victory. A similar outcome is possible this time, but it's worth noting that away wins are more challenging for the Munich side compared to home fixtures, especially with a midweek clash against Chelsea and some defensive absences to consider. Hoffenheim have the potential to score, particularly given Asllani's current form. However, Bayern's attacking prowess leaves little room for doubt. We anticipate a high-scoring encounter. Our prediction: total over 3 goals. Possible scoreline - 2-4.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (3) at odds of -250*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (18 September 2025, 19:27)

    Betting Tips: Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich

    Hoffenheim have lost the 1st half:
    1899-hoffenheim-1bayern-munich-1in last 6 games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    Bayern Munich have won the 1st half:
    bayern-munich-1in 7 of last 8 games (Bundesliga).
    1st Half Bayern Munich Win
    Bovada
    -128
    Bayern Munich have won the 2nd half:
    bayern-munich-1in 7 of last 8 games (Bundesliga).
    2nd Half Bayern Munich Win
    MyBookie
    -154
    Bayern Munich have won:
    bayern-munich-1in last 7 games.
    bayern-munich-1in last 5 games (Bundesliga).
    Bayern Munich Win
    Bovada
    -263
    Hoffenheim have not won:
    1899-hoffenheim-1bayern-munich-1in 8 of last 9 games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    1899-hoffenheim-1in 13 of last 14 home games.
    1899-hoffenheim-1in 11 of last 12 home games (Bundesliga).
    Bayern Munich have not lost:
    bayern-munich-1in 22 of last 23 games (Bundesliga).
    bayern-munich-1in 15 of last 17 away games.
    bayern-munich-1in last 10 away games (Bundesliga).
    bayern-munich-1in last 7 games.
    Bayern Munich will not lose
    Everygame
    -1000
    View more facts

    Hoffenheim - Bayern Table position

    Bundesliga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    342851122-3689
    2.
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    34227570-3473
    3.
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    34205966-4765
    4.
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    34188871-4962
    5.
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    34187965-5261
    6.
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    34178968-4759

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 21
    -5
    +13
    31 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    7
    3
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    31
    21
    Conceded
    18
    3.7
    Match goals average
    4.9
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    3.1
    2.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    7
    Both teams scored
    7
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    29'
    View all stats