Alaves vs Sevilla Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 September 2025
🔊 Can the hosts replicate last weekend's success? In the 5th round of La Liga, Alaves welcome Sevilla to their home ground. The hosts have kicked off the season with strong performances against formidable opponents. Meanwhile, the visitors are struggling to find their stride. It's crucial for them to shore up their defense, but the opposition will be ready to capitalize on any errors. This promises to be an intriguing clash, as the solid mid-table side aims to overcome a team that was once among the elite. The stands at Mendizorrotza can expect goals.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these opponents clashed was almost six months ago. The match in Andalusia at the tail end of the season ended in a stalemate (1-1). Notably, Sevilla and Alaves have exchanged goals in their last four head-to-head encounters.
Head-to-head statistics Alaves - Sevilla
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
🔵 The hosts continue to be one of La Liga's most challenging teams. Alaves play a highly pragmatic style, yet they find themselves in 7th place in the league standings. They've secured victories over Athletic Bilbao (1-0) and Levante (2-1). A draw with Atletico Madrid (1-1) also deserves special mention. The hosts excel at neutralizing key players from the opposition, effectively paralyzing their efforts. Notably, they lead the league with an impressive 9.75 tackles per match in midfield.
⚪ Against Sevilla, the team will rely solely on counterattacks. However, the challenge lies in the fact that the visitors are the league's best at preventing dribbles (12.3). Alaves, not known for their creativity, risk coming away without any significant scoring opportunities.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Sevilla Team Overview
🔴 The Andalusian side has recently undergone a significant shift in their playing style. Sevilla have transformed from a pragmatic outfit into advocates of open football. The start of the season clearly reflects this change: losses to Getafe (1-2) and Athletic (2-3), a draw with Elche (2-2), and a victory over Girona (2-0). In their four matches, 14 goals have been scored-only Barcelona have more. However, the trip to Alaves could change everything dramatically.
⚪ The current Sevilla side loves to dominate possession (54.5%). Their opponents will likely allow them to stick to their style. Yet, Romero (2 goals) and Agoume (1) will face unprecedented pressure, often crossing the line of fair play. As a result, the visitors risk falling short of their average xG (0.81).
Match Results: Sevilla
Latest news
Deportivo Alaves
🔝 Alaves' recent match against Athletic Bilbao (1-0) marked their 650th appearance in La Liga.
❌ Carlos Benavidez will miss Saturday's clash against Athletic, as confirmed by head coach Eduardo Coudet. “Carlos is not fully recovered yet - he has only participated in some training sessions. He will have a few more days, but his recovery is going well. So, apart from him, everyone else is ready.”
Sevilla
🎤 Former "Nervionenses" forward Nolito recently commented on Alfon González's move to Sevilla: "Alfon is a great player. Sevilla have made a smart signing."
❌ All first-team players attended the pre-match training session, except for Joan Jordán, who is still recovering from a back injury.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Alavés often focuses on disrupting their opponent's play, leading the league in fouls with an average of 15.8 per match and picking up around 2 yellow cards per game. Sevilla, despite their attacking style, aren't far behind with 14.8 fouls and 2.25 cautions per game. The match is expected to be tense, and given the fiery temperament of Spanish players, verbal clashes or even skirmishes could occur. We suggest considering a bet on over 4.5 total yellow cards.
⚽ Goal Prediction
According to advanced statistics, Sevilla are La Liga's leaders in goal conversion, scoring 2.8 more goals than expected. Undoubtedly, luck plays a part here. However, we recognize that playing at the Mendizorrotza is challenging even for top clubs. Alavés are capable of ending their opponent's scoring streak, conceding just 0.75 goals per game on average. Meanwhile, their own attack remains modest, averaging 1 goal per match. In light of this, we recommend looking at under 2.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In terms of set pieces, particularly corners, Alavés are solid mid-table performers, averaging 4.75 corners per match. Sevilla significantly lag behind with 2.75. However, our editorial team believes the hosts might intentionally concede possession (48% possession this season), allowing the visitors more opportunities to approach the penalty area via the wings and half-spaces. Considering that the Andalusian side wins 58.1% of aerial duels, the coaching staff might focus on crossing strategies. We recommend considering over 4 total corners for Sevilla.
Editor's Prediction
In this matchup, picking a clear favorite is quite challenging. Sevilla are playing without their star players, while Alaves continue to keep games tight, often resulting in low-scoring affairs. As fatigue sets in, mistakes may become more frequent, potentially leading to rare but dangerous scoring opportunities. It's likely that both sides will find the net, with the match ending in a 1-1 draw. Therefore, we suggest a bold bet on both teams to score (yes).
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Alaves - Sevilla
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in 6 of last 7 Iosu Galech Apezteguia games.in 13 of last 14 games against Sevilla.in 12 of last 13 games against Sevilla (La Liga).in 8 of last 9 games (La Liga).Comparison of Teams Stats
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