Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 Who will secure those crucial points in the battle for survival? One of the standout fixtures in Saturday's La Liga schedule is the clash between Sevilla and Alaves at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan. Both clubs find themselves in the lower half of the table, sitting just three points clear of the relegation zone. Bookmakers are factoring in advanced statistics and home advantage, ultimately giving Sevilla the edge with double the odds.
Head-to-Head
📊 This season, the teams have clashed twice at the Mendizorroza. In La Liga, the Nervionenses emerged victorious with a 2-1 win, while in the Copa del Rey, Alaves avenged that loss with a 1-0 triumph. Looking at the outcomes over their last 10 head-to-head encounters: Sevilla have secured 3 wins, there have been 3 draws, and Alaves have claimed victory 4 times. Let's also consider the average scoring rate for each side during this period: 1.4 goals for the Bean Destroyers compared to 1.3 for their opponents.
Head-to-head statistics Sevilla - Alaves
Sevilla Team Overview
🔴 In their last eight matches across all competitions, the "red-and-whites" have managed just one victory, a 2-1 win over Athletic. Currently, Sevilla sit in 13th place in the league standings, with 25 points from 23 matches. Let's take a look at their average performance stats: 1.3 goals scored per game while conceding 1.65 (the worst in the league). It's also important to consider Sevilla's home form, where they have collected 14 points from 12 games. The team's top scorer in this season's La Liga is Eycor Adams, with six goals and two assists in 18 appearances.
⚪ Last weekend, the "red-and-whites" dropped points at "Montivilli," drawing 1-1. Matias Almeyda continues to struggle with establishing a cohesive positional play for his team. Sevilla face challenges in ball distribution on the opponent's half and creating chances in the final third. In their recent clash with Girona, the club from the same city was significantly outperformed in expected goals: 2.56 to 0.78 in favor of Girona. A key issue appears to be the sterile possession under the Argentine coach's guidance. Almeyda's preferred tactical setup is a formation with three central defenders - 5-3-2.
Match Results: Sevilla
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
🔵 Eduardo Coudet has certainly brought a sense of structure to Alaves' play, but whether he has elevated the team to a new level remains a significant question. Currently, the "Glorious Ones" find themselves in 14th place in the standings with 25 points from 23 matches. It's also important to note their struggles in away fixtures, having collected only 7 points from 11 games, ranking them 16th in the league. Alaves are characterized by one of the least effective attacking lines in the league, averaging just 0.87 goals per game.
⚪ In the last round of La Liga, Alaves fell to Getafe (0-2). This unexpected home defeat sparked discontent among fans. Despite an expected goals figure of 2.02, the "Bean Destroyers" failed to find the back of the net. It's worth mentioning that Eduardo Coudet's tactical approach is based on a 4-4-2 formation, which is well-suited for counter-attacking football with a deep defensive line. The most prolific players for Alaves this season in La Liga are Toni Martinez (4 goals, 2 assists) and Lucas Boye (5 goals, 1 assist).
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Latest news
Sevilla
🎤 Matias Almeyda shared his thoughts on his team's performance following the 1-1 draw with Girona: "I believe our current situation showed through with noticeable nervousness in the first half. They blocked us, and nothing worked out; they clearly outperformed us. Then we changed the system with some substitutions and improved. But, obviously, we almost stopped adding due to other mistakes that were too simple. You need to remain calm. The second half was good; we changed the system and strategy, which was our plan B. The truth is that adapting to the opponent's strengths is a crucial aspect we need to keep working on."
❌ In Sevilla's injury list are Marcão (knee injury), Oso (calf muscle injury), and Ruben Vargas (hamstring injury).
Deportivo Alaves
📰 This week, Alaves unveiled Ivorian forward Ibrahima Diabate as their new player. During the presentation, Sporting Director Sergio emphasized their confidence in the player: "He arrives with enthusiasm and determination. He's a footballer whose qualities enhance our squad and perfectly complement the other forwards." Diabate himself expressed his joy: "I'm working hard to get up to speed and I'm thrilled to be here. Everything happened very smoothly and quickly; I was eager to join." The striker also noted the warm welcome from the locker room: "My teammates are great, and they welcomed me warmly from day one. I'm very happy to be part of this family."
❌ Among the unavailable players for Alaves' upcoming match are Mariano Diaz (coach's decision), Ville Koski (leg injury), and Jonny Otto (suspension due to yellow cards).
⚽ Goal Prediction
It's worth noting that Sevilla have the weakest defense in La Liga. Furthermore, the "Nervionenses" have failed to keep a clean sheet for eight consecutive matches. In their last six head-to-head encounters with Alaves, the "Red and Whites" have also conceded. Considering these points, a reasonable bet would be Alaves to score.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both clubs record a modest number of corners per game: Sevilla at 5.3 and Alaves at 5. In four of the last five matches involving the "Glorious," there were no more than 10 corner kicks. A similar trend is evident in five of the last six head-to-head meetings between the "Red and Whites" and the "Bean Destroyers." The editorial choice is Sevilla's individual total corners under 6.5.
Editorial Prediction
Both clubs face defensive challenges, yet both the Nervionenses and the Glorious have the ability to cause significant issues for their opponent's defensive setup. There's a strong chance we'll witness a dynamic match with high activity from both sides. Advanced statistics back up this assumption, leading us to predict a final score of 1-1. The key bet is both teams to score (yes).
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Betting Tips: Sevilla - Deportivo Alaves
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