Al Qadisiyah vs Al-Ahli Prediction
🔊 How will the Saudi Arabian Super Cup semifinal unfold between two rising stars of Middle Eastern football, Al-Ahli and Al-Qadisiyah? Both clubs have experienced some of the most rapid ascents in world football. Al-Ahli climbed from the first division to win the AFC Champions League in just two years. Al-Qadisiyah nearly broke into the top three of the Pro League the season after their promotion. Now, they face off for a spot in the tournament final in Bangkok, eager to prove their worth. Who will come out on top? Let's delve into our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 These two teams, recent participants in the Saudi minor league, clashed twice in 2023. Al-Ahli claimed victory in one of those encounters (1-0), while the other ended in a 1-1 draw. Following their promotion, the clubs faced off twice in the last Pro League season, exchanging home wins: Al-Qadisiyah secured a 1-0 victory in Al-Khobar, and Al-Ahli triumphed 4-1 in Jeddah.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Al Qadisiyah Team Overview
🟢 Al-Ahli's second year in the elite of Saudi football was slightly less successful in league play compared to their first season after promotion, but it was a triumphant one on the international stage. Under the guidance of German coach Matthias Jaissle, the team finished 5th in the Pro League. However, it was the AFC Champions League that brought glory to the club, as they claimed the title for the first time in their history. During the summer preseason, Al-Ahli played seven friendly matches, securing four wins, suffering two losses, and drawing once.
Match Results: Al Qadisiyah
Al Ahli Jeddah Team Overview
🔴 Al-Qadisiyah fell just 2 points short of breaking into the top 3 of the Saudi Pro League last season. However, this result can still be considered an outstanding achievement for Jose Miguel Gonzalez's squad, especially considering he led the Al Khobar side to the elite league from the First Division's top spot just a year ago. Beyond their league success, the club reached the final of the King's Cup, where they were defeated by Al-Ittihad with a score of 1-3. Meanwhile, Al-Ahli's European preseason was less impressive: 2 losses and 2 draws in 4 matches. However, it's worth noting that they didn't lose to Sevilla and Nottingham Forest in regular time.
Match Results: Al Ahli Jeddah
Latest news
Al Qadisiyah
📝 During the transfer window, Al-Ahli parted ways with several former European stars who never became key players for the team. Allan Saint-Maximin moved to Club América in Mexico after spending last season with Fenerbahçe. Roberto Firmino was also shown the door-he wasn't registered for the second half of the Pro League and only played in the Asian Champions League, where he delivered impressive performances with 6 goals and 8 assists in 12 matches. However, not everyone is leaving Jeddah: the club strengthened their squad by signing Enzo Millot, the winner and best player of the German Cup final with Stuttgart, for €28 million.
⭐️ As is customary with leading Saudi football clubs, Al-Ahli is surrounded by numerous transfer rumors during the offseason. This summer, the Jeddah-based club showed interest in Barcelona's Fermín López, as well as coaches Ange Postecoglou and Xavi, who could potentially replace Matthias Jaissle, eyed by Leipzig. The most sensational rumor, however, involved a potential move for Lionel Messi after his contract with Inter Miami expires. Riyad Mahrez, one of Al-Ahli's star players, commented on the potential transfer: “Yes, I've heard about it. In the football world, he's been a role model for me. He's an outstanding player. I don't know if it will happen, but if it does, it would be incredible for us-to play alongside the greatest footballer in history.”
Al Ahli Jeddah
📝 Al-Qadisiyah are making waves this summer, not just on the Middle Eastern transfer market, but globally. To replace Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who departed for Marseille after his contract expired, they have signed Serie A's top scorer Mateo Retegui (25 goals) from Atalanta for €68.3 million. Partnering the Italian in attack will be 20-year-old Belgian Christopher Bonsu Baah, acquired from Genk for €17 million. The club also bolstered their ranks with another promising youngster-18-year-old midfielder Gabriel Carvalho, who has only one season of senior football under his belt in Brazil's Serie A with Internacional, yet already commands a price tag of €15.6 million.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Al-Ahli hold the edge in terms of average goals over their last 10 matches, boasting 3.5 compared to their opponent's 3. In their head-to-head encounters, Al-Qadisiyah have struggled to score, failing to net more than 1.5 goals in five consecutive meetings. However, we believe that significant reinforcements in attack will help the nominal visitors change this trend, while the renowned attacking force of Jeddah, led by Ivan Toney, will perform just as effectively. Our bet is on total goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In the last 8 official matches of the previous season, Al-Qadisiyah had a higher corner total, averaging 8.1 compared to 7.3. However, in head-to-head clashes, they've only out-cornered their opponents twice in 9 games. This discrepancy in statistics suggests that the action around the corner flags may not be too intense, so we suggest opting for total corners under 8.5.
Editor's Prediction
The second matchup in the Saudi Arabian Super Cup is incredibly tight in terms of odds, with Al-Ahli having a slight edge. Although Al-Qadsiah finished ahead of their upcoming opponent in the Pro League standings, Matthias Jaissle's side competed on two fronts and succeeded in the Champions League without faltering in the league (trailing Al-Qadsiah by just one point). It's also worth noting that the team from Al Khobar reached the final of the King's Cup and are well-acquainted with knockout tournaments' dynamics. Both teams have a clear attacking bias, so we expect an end-to-end game, with a slight score advantage for the more prestigious side-2-1 in favor of Al-Ahli. As the main bet, we suggest considering: both teams to score (yes).
Betting Tips: Al Qadisiyah - Al Ahli Jeddah
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