Flamengo vs Fluminense Prediction
🔊 One of South America's most electrifying derbies is back on the big stage - the "Fla-Flu," as fans call it, is more than just a match; it's a cultural phenomenon. Flamengo, riding high at the top of the table, will host Fluminense, who, despite their inconsistent results, remain a formidable opponent, especially in the underdog role. Clashes between these teams are rarely dull: the atmosphere is always charged, and outcomes are often decided in the dying minutes. Both teams have their issues, but in matches like these, they tend to forget them. This will be football driven by passion, and it's going to be spectacular.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 16 March 2025 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Flamengo were the home side):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 19 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Flamengo and Fluminense:
- 78 matches played;
- home wins: 33, away wins: 22, draws: 23;
- goals scored: 99 against 84;
- average first-half total: 0.99, second-half: 1.36;
- average total goals per match: 2.35.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Flamengo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 14th round of the Brazilian Serie A, with Santos hosting Flamengo. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Flamengo vs Santos):
- possession: 74% vs 26%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
🔴 For Flamengo, the derby against Fluminense is more than just a matter of prestige. It's a pivotal moment in their quest for the top of the table. After an unexpected 1-0 defeat to Santos, the team finds itself in a position where every slip-up could prove costly. Currently, the "Red and Blacks" have 27 points, just three behind Cruzeiro, but their rivals are hot on their heels. Securing three points in the derby would propel Flamengo to the top spot. While Cruzeiro would still be level on points, Flamengo's superior goal difference would see them reclaim leadership. Psychologically, this could be a crucial turning point-proving the team is ready to chase the title following their setback in São Paulo. And they aim to do it in a symbolically significant match against their arch-rivals.
Match Results: Flamengo
Fluminense Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on during the 14th round of Brazil's Serie A, where they faced Fluminense away. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for Cruzeiro.
Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Cruzeiro):
- possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
🟢 In the 14th round, Fluminense hosted Cruzeiro at the Maracanã. The match ended in a decisive 0-2 victory for the visitors. This defeat dealt a significant blow to "Big Flu's" ambitions. Not only did the team miss the chance to climb the standings, but they also left room for rivals to overtake them. For Fluminense, the clash against Flamengo is not just a derby of principle. It could be a pivotal moment in their entire championship campaign. Currently outside the top four with 20 points and a series of inconsistent performances, the team finds itself in a tightly packed table where a single major victory could drastically shift the balance of power. If Fluminense secures a win, they will have 23 points. Triumphing over their main city rival would provide the team with a much-needed emotional boost. A crucial derby at the Maracanã is the perfect opportunity to catch momentum mid-season. With favorable outcomes in parallel matches, Flu could even rise to 5th place and edge closer to the top four.
Match Results: Fluminense
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 78;
- Home wins - 33, Away wins - 22, Draws - 23.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Fluminense
- Matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- Wins: 8 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 62% vs 50%;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 6;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
- Fluminense cover a +1.5 spread in six consecutive head-to-head matches.
- Fluminense cover a +1.5 spread in 15 of their last 17 games.
- Fluminense cover a +1.5 spread in seven straight away games.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- The home team scores on average - 1.27, the away team - 1.08;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.35;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 38 times; at the home team's ground - 16 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Fluminense
- Average tournament total: 2.38 vs 2.42;
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 1.25;
- First-half average total: 0.77 vs 0.33;
- Second-half average total: 1.23 vs 0.92;
- Flamengo: home average total in the tournament - 2.71;
- Fluminense: away average total in the tournament - 1.17;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 2.71) vs 1.4 (away - 1.33).
- Flamengo score under 1.5 goals in eight of their last nine head-to-head encounters in Serie A.
Corners Prediction
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 6.23; at home - 6.29;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.2; at home - 5.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.67, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; away - 1.33.
- Total under 9.5 corners hit in five consecutive head-to-head matches in Serie A.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.54 (Home team - 2.27, Away team - 2.27);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.23 (Home team - 1.77, Away team - 2.46).
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 1.46; at home - 1.29;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; at home - 2.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 1.75, away - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 2.67.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 78;
- Both teams scored all-time - 38 times;
- At the home team's ground - 16 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Fluminense
- Total matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 6;
- BTTS for Flamengo at home - 1 (14%);
- BTTS for Fluminense away - 2 (33%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
- BTTS for Flamengo at home - 3 (43%);
- BTTS for Fluminense away - 0 (0%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Flamengo enter the derby eager to bounce back from their defeat to Santos. They remain among the league leaders, and a victory here would propel them to the top spot. Fluminense, on the other hand, are dealing with a disappointing loss to Cruzeiro, inconsistent form, and mounting pressure. While this is technically a derby-with all the emotions and battles that come with it-Flamengo appear stronger in terms of gameplay, structure, and mentality. Fluminense might have a chance if Flamengo create problems for themselves again. Our editorial team suggests focusing on the bet under 2.5 goals, as this outcome has been successful in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head encounters. A likely result is a 2-0 victory for Flamengo.
Betting Tips: Flamengo - Fluminense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
