Brest vs Lens Prediction
🔊 Can Brest mount a challenge for European competition spots as the season draws to a close? In the 30th round of Ligue 1, Lens will visit Stade Francis-Le Blé. The Pirates, riding a five-match unbeaten streak, still have a shot at reaching the European qualification zone. Meanwhile, the Blood and Gold, after an unexpected home defeat to relegation-threatened Reims, have effectively ended their pursuit of anything significant this season.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Brest and Lens:
- 25 matches played;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 11, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 37 for Brest, 33 for Lens;
- average total in the first half - 1.48, in the second half - 1.32;
- average total goals per match - 2.8.
The last game took place on 25 August 2024 at Lens' home ground and ended with a 2-0 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Stade Brest Team Overview
Brest are sitting in 8th place in the league standings, trailing the European competition spots by six points. As the season draws to a close, they must hope for their rivals to drop points while maximizing their own results. In the upcoming match, only a win will suffice for the "Pirates." Especially since in the previous round, Eric Roy's squad failed to secure a victory against the struggling Saint-Étienne, ending in a 3-3 draw after letting the win slip away late on.
🔝 Brest's attacking leaders are on a roll. Ludovic Ajorque, who hadn't scored in six matches, found the net twice in the last round and earned a spot in the team of the week. Left winger Abdallah Sima has scored in three consecutive matches, while fellow winger Mathias Pereira Lage has contributed one goal and four assists in his last five appearances.
❌ Right-back Kenny Lala is suspended. There are doubts over the participation of Ludovic Ajorque, Ibrahima Salah, Romain Faivre, Edimilson Fernandes, and Soumaila Coulibaly. Justin Burgo and Bradley Locko will miss out due to injuries.
Match Results: Stade Brest
Lens Team Overview
Lens are currently sitting in 9th place in Ligue 1, trailing the European competition spots by 8 points. Given the number and strength of their rivals, it seems unlikely they'll challenge for higher positions. A disappointing home defeat to Reims in the last round is to blame. The "Blood and Gold" unleashed 37 shots at the opponent's goal, with 14 on target, yet failed to score. The 0-2 loss essentially marks the end of their season.
⬇️ One of Lens' key attackers, Florian Sotoca, is enduring a dreadful season, tallying just 1 goal and 1 assist. In the previous five seasons, he consistently recorded 10 or more points in the goal+assist system.
🔗 In their last match, Lens set a record for crosses in a single game. Will Still's players executed the most crosses since Opta began collecting this data in the 06/07 season. The head coach commented on the match: “The lack of precision and quality in the final third was crucial against Reims, but honestly, I've been saying since the start of the season that we need to be more decisive, more clinical, but history keeps repeating itself. We need to change something, but we can't. With 37 shots and all those crosses, scoring was a must.”
❌ Midfielder El-Aynaoui returns from suspension. The participation of Juma Ba, Deiver Machado, and Ruben Aguilar is questionable for the next match. Denis Petric, Joanner Chavez, Remy Lascary, and Martin Satriano have been sidelined with long-term injuries.
Match Results: Lens
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 4.
Statistics: Stade Brest vs Lens
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of wins: 13 vs 12;
- win percentage: 45% vs 41%;
- number of losses: 11 vs 11;
- number of draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 4;
- number of losses: 3 vs 6;
- number of draws: 4 vs 0.
- Stade Brest have not lost in 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 1).
- Stade Brest have not lost in 7 of last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.48, the guests - 1.32;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.8;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Stade Brest vs Lens
- average total in the tournament: 3.21 vs 2.21;
- average total goals scored: 1.62 vs 1.1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.86 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 0.55;
- Stade Brest: average total at home in the tournament - 1.93;
- Lens: average total away in the tournament - 1.21;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.6) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
- Lens have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on corners
Stade Brest: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.24; at home field - 3.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 6.
Lens: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.66, away - 4.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 4.2.
- Stade Brest have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games against Lens.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.28 (1.64 for home team and 1.64 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (1.5 for home team and 1.5 for away team).
Stade Brest: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.83; at home - 1.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 1.8.
Lens: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.38, away - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 2.8.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Stade Brest home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Stade Brest vs Lens
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Stade Brest at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Lens away - 6 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Stade Brest at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Lens away - 1 (20%).
Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, the visitors are likely to adopt a cautious approach with a focus on defense, while the hosts will actively seek ways to breach the opponent's goal through a powerful attack. Against this backdrop, betting on Brest to win with a (0) handicap seems the most well-founded choice-taking into account Lens' recent match statistics and the overall team dynamics lately. Supporting this choice are trends of under 1.5 total goals in Lens' recent games and Brest's unbeaten streak both at home and overall in Ligue 1.
Betting Tips: Stade Brest - Lens
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in 16 of last 18 Stade Brest games against Lens.in last 9 Stade Brest home games against Lens.in last 5 Stade Brest home games against Lens (Ligue 1).in 10 of last 11 Stade Brest home games.in 7 of last 8 Stade Brest home games (Ligue 1).in 6 of last 7 Stade Brest games.
in 13 of last 15 Benoit Millot games.in last 9 home games against Lens.in 8 of last 9 home games against Lens.in 6 of last 7 games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
