Real Madrid vs Athletic Prediction
🔊 Can Carlo Ancelotti find the right words for his players? Real Madrid are not in their best form, having lost 4 of their last 5 matches. In the upcoming La Liga fixture, Los Blancos will host a resilient Athletic Club at the Santiago Bernabéu. Ernesto Valverde's squad is on the brink of qualifying for next season's Champions League, so dropping points is not part of the Basques' plan. Our editorial team has prepared an insightful prediction, taking into account several current trends.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical Preview of Official Encounters Between Real Madrid and Athletic:
- 38 matches played;
- home victories - 27, away victories - 5, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 83 against 27;
- average total in the first half - 1.37, second half - 1.53;
- average total goals per match - 2.89.
The last game took place on 04 December 2024 at Athletic's ground and ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Real Madrid Team Overview
⚪ Carlo Ancelotti finds himself in a challenging position-his team exited the Champions League at the quarter-final stage and isn't the frontrunner for the league title. However, at the Santiago Bernabeu, the reigning domestic champions are known for their effectiveness, having amassed 37 points from 15 games (the best record in the league).
📣 Xabi Alonso is the leading candidate for the Real Madrid managerial role. When asked about a potential move to the Spanish capital, he said, "Now is not the time to talk about the future. We are at a very crucial stage of the season. I don't want to discuss rumors and speculation. What matters more to me is what's happening here and now." The club's undeniable leader is Kylian Mbappe, who maintains his status as the league's second top scorer (22 goals and 3 assists).
❌ A red card received by Kylian Mbappe in the last match prevents him from participating in the upcoming fixture. The head coach cannot rely on Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao (both suffering severe knee injuries). The participation of Andriy Lunin and Ferland Mendy remains doubtful.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao Team Overview
🔴 This week, the Basques lifted their fans' spirits by advancing to the Europa League semi-finals. Athletic's unbeaten run now extends to eight matches. Their defensive prowess is particularly noteworthy, conceding just 0.81 goals per game-the best record in the league. Ernesto Valverde, known for his pragmatic approach, also emphasizes high-intensity football and active counter-pressing.
📣 Ernesto Valverde expressed satisfaction with his team's performance in the last round, stating, “This match was crucial. It primarily impacts our confidence and boosts our fans' enthusiasm.” Nico Williams also shared his emotions post-match: “The team achieved an outstanding success. Last season, we won the Copa del Rey, and this year we've reached the Europa League semi-finals. I hope we can make it to the final-our team is doing everything necessary. The final is our sole objective.”
✅ Ernesto Valverde can rely on his strongest lineup for the upcoming Sunday match. The only doubt remains over Yuri Berchiche, who is dealing with a calf muscle injury.
Match Results: Athletic Bilbao
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Home wins - 27, Away wins - 5, Draws - 6.
Statistics: Real Madrid vs Athletic
- Matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- Victories: 20 vs 15;
- Win percentage: 65% vs 47%;
- Losses: 5 vs 5;
- Draws: 6 vs 12.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 4.
- Athletic have covered a +1.5 spread in 35 consecutive matches (La Liga).
- Athletic have covered a +1.5 spread in 23 of their last 24 away matches.
- Athletic have covered a +1.5 spread in 17 consecutive away matches (La Liga).
- Athletic have covered a +1.5 spread in 16 consecutive matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home side's average goals scored - 2.18, visitors - 0.71;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.89;
- Both teams scored: overall - 19 times; at the home ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Real Madrid vs Athletic
- Average total in the tournament: 3.06 vs 2.47;
- Average goals scored: 2.06 vs 1.59;
- Average first-half total: 0.94 vs 0.75;
- Average second-half total: 1.13 vs 0.84;
- Real Madrid: Average home total in the tournament - 2.47;
- Athletic: Average away total in the tournament - 1.27;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2.17) vs 1.1 (away - 0.4).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 16 of the last 17 head-to-head matches between these teams (La Liga).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 11 consecutive head-to-head matches between these teams.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head matches at the home ground.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches at the home ground (La Liga).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 10 of Real Madrid's last 11 matches (La Liga).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 12 of Athletic's last 13 away matches (La Liga).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in Athletic's last 6 away matches consecutively.
Corners Prediction
Real Madrid: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 5.65; at home - 7;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 6.4; at home - 7.83.
Athletic: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 5.59, away - 5.4;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.3; away - 5.
- Athletic have delivered more than 3.5 corners away in five consecutive head-to-head matches against Real Madrid (La Liga).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards total in head-to-head matches - 4.42 (2.21 for the home team and 2.21 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards total at the home ground - 4 (1.82 for the home team and 2.18 for the visitors).
Real Madrid: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 1.65; at home - 1.47;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2; at home - 1.67.
Athletic: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 1.66, away - 1.47;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.9; away - 1.8.
- Total under 4.5 yellow cards has occurred in six of Real Madrid's last seven home matches (La Liga).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Both teams scored overall - 19 times;
- At the home ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Real Madrid vs Athletic
- Tournament matches played: 31 vs 31;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Real Madrid - 18, Athletic - 20;
- Real Madrid's BTTS at home - 8 (53%);
- Athletic's BTTS away - 10 (67%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: Real Madrid - 7, Athletic - 4;
- Real Madrid's BTTS at home - all six (100%);
- Athletic's BTTS away - just one (20%).
Editor's Prediction
In the upcoming match, we can anticipate a dynamic clash between two tactically prepared teams with contrasting styles: Real Madrid's attacking prowess against Athletic Bilbao's solid defense. Considering the head-to-head stats and Real's high-scoring games at home (with over 2.5 goals being a common outcome), betting on over 2.5 goals seems well-founded for this encounter. Despite Mbappe's absence, Real have plenty of scoring options, and the same goes for the visitors.
Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
