Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction 20 April 2025
🔊 Which team will come out on top in the London derby? Chelsea are in desperate need of points to secure a spot in the Champions League zone. Fulham, too, remain in contention for a place in European competitions. Thus, at Craven Cottage, we can expect an evenly matched and unpredictable contest. We'll explore various options to make the most insightful prediction for this Matchday 33 encounter in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Fulham and Chelsea:
- 11 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 7, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 6 for Fulham, 15 for Chelsea;
- average total in the first half - 0.91, in the second half - 1;
- average total goals per match - 1.91.
The last match took place on 26 December 2024 at Chelsea's ground and ended with a scoreline of 1-2.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Fulham Team Overview
⚪ Fulham have alternated between wins and losses in the Premier League for two months, maintaining a consistent pattern. This streak could have ended against Liverpool, but the Cottagers surprisingly triumphed (3-2) after a defeat to Arsenal (1-2). Next up was Bournemouth, who were not in the best form. They hadn't won in a while, but Fulham continued their sequence with a loss (0-1), conceding the only goal in the first minute. The match featured a bizarre incident involving a triple substitution. The process was delayed because the fourth official substituted the wrong player, sparking a storm of emotions from Fulham's head coach.
📣 Marco Silva explained the substitution mishap: “The choice was between Ryan Sessegnon and Robinson, and it was decided that Ryan would stay on the pitch. When I saw Ryan leaving the field, I realized there was a misunderstanding between the fourth official and our staff regarding the numbers... I think we had enough time to correct this situation. If the fourth official wanted to fix it, he could have, because we've seen this happen many times.”
❌ Fulham are preparing for the upcoming match with almost their full squad available. The only absentee is Reiss Nelson, who has been sidelined since December due to injury.
Match Results: Fulham
Chelsea Team Overview
🔵 Chelsea have recently been involved in several London derbies. Out of three matches, they only managed to defeat Tottenham (1-0), which stands as their last Premier League victory. Following that, they drew with Brentford (0-0), where the "Blues" were slightly closer to securing a win. In their most recent outing, they narrowly avoided a home defeat against Ipswich (2-2), having been two goals down at halftime. This latest slip-up has dropped Chelsea to sixth place in the league standings.
🧷 Recently, the team secured a spot in the semi-finals of the Conference League. They held a three-goal advantage over Legia before the second leg at Stamford Bridge. However, the coaching staff struggled to motivate the players, leading to an unexpected defeat (1-2). Nevertheless, Chelsea will face Djurgården in the semi-finals.
📣 Enzo Maresca responded to criticism of Chelsea's play: "We've spent nearly the entire season in the top four. That's a clear indication that the team is getting stronger and doing the right things." He also noted that the result against Legia wasn't the main focus: "Of course, we're not happy with the loss. Given the first-leg result, we rotated the squad to avoid injuries, as we have an important match against Fulham on Sunday."
❌ Chelsea have no significant absences ahead of their match against Fulham. Wesley Fofana and Romeo Lavia could have been contenders for starting spots, but they've been injured so frequently that the team has grown accustomed to their absence.
Match Results: Chelsea
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- Home wins - 2, Away wins - 7, Draws - 2.
Statistics: Fulham vs Chelsea
- Matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- Wins: 13 vs 15;
- Win percentage: 41% vs 47%;
- Losses: 10 vs 8;
- Draws: 9 vs 9.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 6;
- Losses: 5 vs 2;
- Draws: 0 vs 2.
- Chelsea have failed to win away in their last 8 Premier League matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The home team averages - 0.55 goals, the away team - 1.36;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 1.91;
- Both teams scored: overall - 4 times; at the home team's ground - 3 times.
Statistics: Fulham vs Chelsea
- Average tournament total: 2.81 vs 2.97;
- Average goals scored: 1.47 vs 1.75;
- First-half average total: 0.59 vs 0.84;
- Second-half average total: 0.88 vs 0.91;
- Fulham: Home average total in the tournament - 1.56;
- Chelsea: Away average total in the tournament - 1.63;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.5 (away - 1.25).
- Total under 3.5 goals has hit in the last 9 head-to-head Premier League matches between these teams.
- Total under 3.5 goals has hit in 13 of Fulham's last 14 matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals has hit in 10 of Fulham's last 11 Premier League matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals has hit in 8 of Chelsea's last 9 matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals has hit in 7 of Chelsea's last 8 away Premier League matches.
Corners Prediction
Fulham: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 5.41; at home - 5.56;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 6.9; at home - 7.4.
Chelsea: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 6.19, away - 5.94;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.6; away - 4.5.
- Total under 11.5 corners has hit in 7 of Chelsea's last 8 away matches.
- Total under 11.5 corners has hit in Chelsea's last 5 consecutive away Premier League matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.28 (1.64 for the home team and 1.64 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 4.6 (2.2 for the home team and 2.4 for the away team).
Fulham: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 1.91; at home - 1.88;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.6; at home - 0.8.
Chelsea: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 2.59, away - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2; away - 1.75.
- Total over 3.5 yellow cards has hit in the last 5 head-to-head Premier League matches between these teams.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- Both teams scored overall - 4 times;
- At the home team's ground - 3 times.
Statistics: Fulham vs Chelsea
- Matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Fulham - 23, Chelsea - 20;
- Fulham's BTTS at home -12 (75%);
- Chelsea's BTTS away -9 (56%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: Fulham -6, Chelsea -3;
- Fulham's BTTS at home -2 (40%);
- Chelsea's BTTS away -1 (25%).
Editorial Prediction
It's well known that under Enzo Maresca, Chelsea prioritize creativity, but this crucial derby has vital Champions League qualification points at stake. Given the head-to-head trends between these clubs (nine consecutive matches under a total of 3.5 goals) and Fulham's recent games (13 out of their last 14 also under a total of 3.5 goals), it's reasonable to anticipate a low-scoring affair here as well. We recommend betting on a total of under 3 goals with more favorable odds and a high likelihood of success.
Betting Tips: Fulham - Chelsea
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
