Fakel vs Rostov Prediction 20 April 2025
🔊 Will Fakel secure their first win in the Russian Premier League following their managerial change? It's hard to believe. However, fans will return to the Fakel Stadium, which is a significant boost for the team. In addition, the artificial pitch shouldn't be overlooked. Rostov have no major objectives left for the season, yet they are considered favorites for the upcoming clash. We'll explore various angles to deliver an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Fakel and Rostov:
- 6 matches played;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 3, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 5 for Fakel, 8 for Rostov;
- average first-half total - 0.67, second-half - 1.5;
- average goals per match - 2.17.
The last game took place on 01 September 2024 at Rostov's home ground and ended with a 4-1 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Fakel - Rostov
Fakel Voronezh Team Overview
🔵 After 24 rounds, Fakel have managed to score just 11 goals, matching a Premier League record for futility. The team have gone eight consecutive matches without finding the net. A similar situation occurred with Leicester in the Premier League, but eventually the goals came. Fans in Voronezh are hoping for the same turnaround as their team languish near the bottom of the standings. Fakel sit in 15th place and even a victory wouldn't lift them higher. How to secure that victory remains a mystery, even for Igor Shalimov, who recently replaced Dmitry Pyatibratov as head coach. Under his guidance, Fakel held their ground against Akhmat (0-0) and conceded a penalty against Akron in their last outing (0-1). Opinions about his appointment are divided.
📣 Fakel defender Igor Kalinin, responsible for the penalty, believes he was pushed: “I was pushed, but they deemed the contact insufficient. It hit my hand, I admit that, but I was first to the ball and could have played it with my head. In the air, even the slightest contact... They gave it, so it stands.”
✅ It's worth noting that Fakel are preparing for the match with a full squad.
Match Results: Fakel Voronezh
Rostov Team Overview
🟡 Rostov are currently mid-table contenders. While theoretically they could surpass Rubin, it's unlikely to have a significant impact. Thus, the team might shift their focus to the Russian Cup. Recently, they exited the RPL Path after losing to Zenit in the second leg (0-2). There's no room for error now, with Lokomotiv up next. Rostov managed to defeat only Akron (3-2) in a four-match stretch in the league, suffering losses to both top and bottom-half teams with more motivation.
📣 Rostov's head coach, Jonathan Alba, attributes the Russian Cup defeat partly to a loss of concentration: “The second half started well too, but we lost focus once, then conceded a second goal. It's tough against such opponents when you lose concentration, but the first half was good and so was the beginning of the second. We tried, but it didn’t work out. We move forward.”
❌ In the upcoming match, El-Askalani will be sidelined due to injury. Meanwhile, Alexey Sutormin continues his suspension after receiving a red card against Spartak. Ilya Vakhania will also miss out due to an accumulation of bookings.
Match Results: Rostov
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 6;
- Home wins - 1, Away wins - 3, Draws - 2.
Stats: Fakel vs Rostov
- Matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- Victories: 2 vs 9;
- Win percentage: 8% vs 38%;
- Losses: 13 vs 9;
- Draws: 9 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 0 vs 3;
- Losses: 7 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 1.
- Fakel have lost 6 of their last 7 matches (Premier League).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- The home team scores an average of 0.83, the away team - 1.33;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.17;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 3 times; at the home team's ground - once.
Stats: Fakel vs Rostov
- Average total in the tournament: 1.92 vs 3.08;
- Average goals scored: 0.46 vs 1.5;
- Average first-half total: 0.13 vs 0.5;
- Average second-half total: 0.33 vs 1;
- Fakel's average home total in the tournament - 0.36;
- Rostov's average away total in the tournament - 1.36;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.2 (home - 0.25) vs 1.2 (away - 1.5).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 14 of Rostov's last 15 matches (Premier League).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Rostov's last 13 away matches (Premier League).
Corners Prediction
Fakel: Stats
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.92; at home - 4.82;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.8; at home - 4.5.
Rostov: Stats
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.83, away - 4.64;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.4; away - 4.75.
- Total under 10.5 corners has hit in Fakel's last 8 matches (Premier League).
- Total under 10.5 corners has hit in Rostov's last 6 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 5.66 (2.83 for the home side and 2.83 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 5 (3.5 for the home side and 1.5 for the visitors).
Fakel: Stats
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2.73;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.6; at home - 2.
Rostov: Stats
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.83, away - 1.91;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.6; away - 1.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 6;
- Both teams scored overall - 3 times;
- At the home team's ground - once.
Stats: Fakel vs Rostov
- Matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Fakel - 8, Rostov - 15;
- Fakel's BTTS at home - 3 (27%);
- Rostov's BTTS away - 8 (73%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: Fakel - 2, Rostov - 5;
- Fakel's BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Rostov's BTTS away - 3 (75%).
Editor's Prediction
Both teams are facing challenges: Fakel struggle with low scoring and a weak defense, while Rostov are plagued by inconsistency and frequent defensive errors. However, the visitors have a strong chance of securing three points thanks to their potent attack against the hosts' weakened defense. Considering the statistical trends from Voronezh's recent matches (losing six out of their last seven games) and the higher caliber of the visitors, a reasonable prediction would be to back a Rostov win.No comments
Betting Tips: Fakel Voronezh - Rostov
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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