Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction 19 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 The reigning champions travel to a solid mid-table side capable of giving anyone a game. This is the English Premier League, with Brighton hosting Arsenal in the fifth round. On one side, Brighton - a team that rarely loses at home. On the other, the reigning champions, who have not drawn a single match this season and have been sweeping aside every opponent. Will Arteta set up pragmatically, or will both sides serve up a high-scoring affair?

    🔁 This prediction will be updated as important news emerges. Check back closer to kick-off.

    Arsenal dominate on the road

    📊 Both clubs are established Premier League regulars, so they meet at least twice a season. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Brighton managed to beat Arsenal on two occasions, but both came in the 2022/23 season. That year the Seagulls knocked Arsenal out of the League Cup and took three points in the Premier League, with both matches played at the Emirates. At home, Brighton have not beaten the Londoners in six consecutive matches.

    Head-to-head statistics Brighton - Arsenal

    30%
    7 Wins
    22%
    5 Draws
    48%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    23
    Total Goals Avg
    2.7
    Both teams scored
    57%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.48
    2.35
    Yellow cards
    1.7
    Last matches
    19.09.26
    EPL
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    1.52
    1.37
    5
    6
    12
    10
    4
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.52
    1.37
    5
    6
    12
    10
    4
    1
    04.03.26
    EPL
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    0.96
    0.46
    4
    3
    14
    12
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.96
    0.46
    4
    3
    14
    12
    4
    1
    27.12.25
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    3.38
    1
    7
    2
    7
    13
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    3.38
    1
    7
    2
    7
    13
    2
    3
    29.10.25
    EFL Cup
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    1.69
    1.79
    8
    2
    9
    14
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.69
    1.79
    8
    2
    9
    14
    0
    2
    04.01.25
    EPL
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    1.77
    1.81
    2
    5
    17
    13
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.81
    2
    5
    17
    13
    2
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Brighton score against every opponent and consistently show great character

    Fabian Hürzeler's side have had a remarkable and hugely entertaining start to the season, establishing themselves in the upper reaches of the table. The Seagulls are playing attacking football: they began the campaign with an emphatic thrashing of Aston Villa and a comfortable win over Coventry, and their only slip in the Premier League came at Stamford Bridge in a wild shootout with Chelsea (3-4).

    The standout result of the past week was a stunning triumph in the third round of the League Cup at Old Trafford. Visiting Manchester, Brighton found themselves 0-2 down against United but showed fantastic character, scoring three goals in a row to knock the Mancunians out of the competition (3-2). The team have been remarkably prolific, scoring in every single official match of the new season.

    Match Results: Brighton & Hove Albion

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    EPL
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    1.52
    1.37
    5
    6
    12
    10
    4
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.52
    1.37
    5
    6
    12
    10
    4
    1
    W
    16.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    0.86
    1.89
    4
    3
    5
    14
    0
    4
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0.86
    1.89
    4
    3
    5
    14
    0
    4
    W
    13.09.26
    EPL
    Coventry
    Coventry
    1
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    1.47
    2.5
    5
    3
    9
    15
    0
    0
    0
    5
    0
    1
    0
    4
    1.47
    2.5
    5
    3
    9
    15
    0
    0
    W
    05.09.26
    EPL
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    2.36
    2.02
    7
    6
    12
    15
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.36
    2.02
    7
    6
    12
    15
    3
    3
    D
    30.08.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    3.37
    1.36
    4
    7
    6
    12
    1
    3
    4
    3
    3
    1
    1
    2
    3.37
    1.36
    4
    7
    6
    12
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Arsenal: off to a perfect start, but defensive issues remain

    Mikel Arteta's side have made a perfect start to the season. The Gunners have taken an ideal 12 points from four league games, winning each one comfortably. They overcame Chelsea in a fiercely contested derby (2-1) and then won away at Sunderland with ease (2-0). Arteta has drilled his team's collective play to a level of near-automaticity: Arsenal are showing a balance between total ball control and defensive discipline, giving opponents nothing.

    The team have also built impressive momentum in cup competition. In the Champions League, they ground out a pragmatic home win over Napoli (1-0), and midweek in the League Cup a largely reserve Arsenal side put on a goal show, thrashing Ipswich 4-2. Arsenal's home record is remarkable and they have gone without defeat at the Emirates for many months.

    Match Results: Arsenal

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    EPL
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    1.52
    1.37
    5
    6
    12
    10
    4
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.52
    1.37
    5
    6
    12
    10
    4
    1
    L
    15.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    0.98
    1.12
    3
    2
    11
    13
    2
    0
    2
    4
    0
    2
    2
    2
    0.98
    1.12
    3
    2
    11
    13
    2
    0
    W
    12.09.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    1
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    1.79
    2.14
    4
    2
    18
    11
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.79
    2.14
    4
    2
    18
    11
    4
    2
    W
    09.09.26
    UCL
    Napoli
    Napoli
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    0.31
    3.6
    0
    6
    12
    11
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.31
    3.6
    0
    6
    12
    11
    2
    1
    W
    06.09.26
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    2.26
    0.47
    5
    3
    13
    16
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.26
    0.47
    5
    3
    13
    16
    2
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    ❌ Brighton's injury list is extensive heading into the Arsenal match. Evan Ferguson, Yankuba Minteh, Kaoru Mitoma, Jack Hinshelwood, Stefanos Tzimas and Mats Wieffer are all unavailable. Whether Michal Svoboda and Femi Azeez will feature remains unknown at this stage.

    🔁 Update - 19 September, 12:38 UTC:

    • According to the news outlet Heavy, Femi Azeez is not ready to take part in the game against Arsenal. The Englishman is still recovering from a hamstring injury, which has so far prevented him from making his debut for Brighton.

    Arsenal

    ❌ Arsenal's defensive line is causing concern. French centre-back William Saliba remains unavailable.

    ❓ Ben White and Cristhian Mosquera are both doubts for the match, which also affects the depth of the defensive bench.

    🔁 Update - 19 September, 12:15 UTC:

    • According to the Goal portal, Bruno Guimarães will make his first start in an Arsenal shirt in a Premier League match, forming a defensive midfield pairing with Declan Rice. The Brazilian is the "Gunners'" most expensive summer signing (€87.5 million).

    Predicted Lineups

    📋 Brighton predicted starting XI: Verbruggen - Kadioglu, Vuskovic, Dunk, Boscagli - Yalcouyé, Ayari, Gross - Gomez, De Cuyper, Kostoulas.

    📋 Arsenal predicted starting XI: Raya - Timber, Konsa, Gabriel, Calafiori - Rice, Guimarães, Odegaard - Saka, Havertz, Tzolis.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Setting aside their most recent League Cup match against Ipswich (4:2), the Gunners have been scoring sparingly and conceding very little. In their other seven matches this season, the total has come in under 3.5. The same market has also landed in 17 of the last 18 Premier League head-to-head meetings between these two sides. There is every reason to expect a low-scoring game. We're taking Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.44*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Total Corners - Under 10.5 has landed in Arsenal's last 9 matches in a row. Total Corners - Under 11.5 has landed in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings. The trends suggest there is no reason to expect a high corner count. As Brighton are unlikely to earn many set pieces of their own, the match total leans towards Total Corners - Under 10.5, priced at 1.49*.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    The Gunners are looking to dominate possession and control the game, while a Brighton side weakened by a number of injuries are unlikely to press aggressively in return. Under Mikel Arteta this season, Arsenal have been built on composure and pragmatism. They minimise chaos on the pitch and very rarely find themselves resorting to panicked tactical fouls. With a shortage of pace in their ranks, the Seagulls will most likely sit in a deep defensive shape, which should reduce the number of physical midfield confrontations between the two sides. The prediction is Total Bookings - Under 4.5 at 1.48*.

    🚀 Player Statistics Bet

    Bruno Guimarães, who scored a stunning goal in the last match against Sunderland, is picking up form and building chemistry with the squad. The Brazilian had an excellent summer at the World Cup, finishing as one of the tournament's top assisters. We think the midfielder has every chance of a goal involvement in this match. A Bruno goal or assist is priced at 3.1*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    For those looking for a higher price, here is an interesting option. Arsenal have reached a near-perfect level of performance and know how to neutralise any opponent. The team handles whatever tactical approach is thrown at them. In five of their seven matches this season, the Gunners have kept a clean sheet. The risky bet is Arsenal to win and Brighton not to score, priced at 3.1*.

    🎯 Reliable Bet

    There is little need to say much about Arsenal's form - the team are producing perfect results and have no intention of losing while playing like this. Their attacking options are fully available and focused on creating and converting chances. As the reliable bet for this match, we suggest looking at Arsenal - Double Chance, priced at 1.22*.

    👀 If the match doesn't go to script

    If the game turns out to be more open than we expect, there are a few alternative betting options. Here is one of them. We are assuming Brighton will score at home, given the team has consistently found the net in all their league matches so far. If that happens, Both Teams to Score - Yes is covered, and a 1-1 draw seems unlikely - the balance will tip one way or the other. The alternative bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes + Total Goals Over 2.5, priced at 2.26*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐️ Editorial Prediction

    Arteta tends to go for pragmatic setups that get him a win, even a narrow one. In seven official matches this season, Arsenal have won three by a single goal, two of those away from home - against Napoli and Aston Villa, both 1-0. Given the injury problems in the Gunners' defensive line, the Spaniard is unlikely to move away from his winning-by-the-minimum approach, and will do everything to turn a difficult trip to the coast into a straightforward three-point away day. The main prediction is an Arsenal win. Predicted score: 0-1.

    Arsenal to Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-143
    Published: 18/09/2026, 06:42
    Daniil Shilovich
    Daniil Shilovich
    Football expert
    110
    1
    98
    209 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

    1 comment

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters
    thebackend_child
    thebackend_child
    19 Sep 14:46
    Well we know who not trail again 😂😂

    Betting Tips: Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal

    Brighton & Hove Albion have lost the 1st half:
    brighton-hove-albion-fcarsenalin last 5 games against Arsenal (Premier League).
    brighton-hove-albion-fcarsenalin last 4 home games against Arsenal (Premier League).
    1st Half Arsenal to Win
    Bovada
    +125
    Arsenal have won:
    arsenalin 12 of last 13 games.
    arsenalin last 9 games (Premier League).
    arsenalin 6 of last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Arsenal to Win
    Bovada
    -143
    Brighton & Hove Albion have not won:
    brighton-hove-albion-fcarsenalin last 7 games against Arsenal.
    brighton-hove-albion-fcarsenalin last 6 games against Arsenal (Premier League).
    Arsenal have not lost:
    arsenalin last 15 games.
    arsenalin 12 of last 13 away games (Premier League).
    arsenalin last 9 games (Premier League).
    arsenalin last 7 away games.
    Arsenal will not lose
    Everygame
    -526
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    brighton-hove-albion-fcarsenalin 17 of last 18 Brighton & Hove Albion games against Arsenal (Premier League).
    brighton-hove-albion-fcarsenalin last 8 Brighton & Hove Albion games against Arsenal.
    brighton-hove-albion-fcin 13 of last 15 Brighton & Hove Albion home games.
    arsenalin 26 of last 27 Arsenal games.
    arsenalin last 14 Arsenal games (Premier League).
    arsenalin 12 of last 13 Arsenal away games.
    arsenalin last 6 Arsenal away games (Premier League).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Brighton - Arsenal Table position

    Premier League 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    550013-515
    2.
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    54018-412
    3.
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    531116-510
    4.
    Brentford
    Brentford
    523010-49
    5.
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    52307-39
    6.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    52307-49

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 8
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 23
    Conceded - 11
    +12
    +11
    19 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    8
    2
    Draws
    0
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    23
    Scored
    19
    11
    Conceded
    8
    3.4
    Match goals average
    2.7
    2.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    3
    Both teams scored
    4
    39'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    49'
    View all stats