KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri Prediction 19 September 2026
๐ This edition of the Akureyri derby is a survival battle. The two clubs from the city sit 10th and 11th, separated by a single point: รรณr on 21, Akureyri on 20. The bottom two sides are relegated from Iceland's top flight, so the hosts currently find themselves in the danger zone. The next opportunity won't come for three weeks - after this round, the league breaks until 10 October.
Head-to-head statistics KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri
Akureyri Team Overview
The reason for their slump is form: Akureyri have taken three points just once in their last nine league matches. That win is recent - on 6 September they beat Breiรฐablik 2-1. They couldn't build on it, though: in the first round of the relegation play-off they lost to FH without scoring and conceded three goals. According to the local press, Akureyri were not the weaker side against FH - finishing let them down. Their defence doesn't look any more reliable: Akureyri have conceded in 7 of their last 8 home matches. Ahead of the derby, there are also more injury concerns. Goalkeeper รvar Arnbro รรณrhallsson was injured in the match against FH and was replaced by Steintรณr Mรกr Eyjรณlfsson, who had himself spent several weeks recovering from a broken arm. On the positive side, Halgrรญmur Mรกr Steingrรญmsson is back - he missed the win over Breiรฐablik through injury. His brother Hrannar Bjรถrn also came on late in the game, for the first time in several months after an Achilles tendon rupture.
Match Results: Akureyri
Thor Akureyri Team Overview
Tor came into the split in decent form as a newly promoted side, having won two matches in a row, both without conceding. In the final round of the regular phase they beat FH, a direct rival in the relegation battle. Their run came to an end away at Valur, though Tor made a bright start: Sigfรบs Fannar Gunnarsson opened the scoring on 17 minutes. Valur levelled before half-time and then added three more after the break, leaving Sigurรฐur Heiรฐar Hรถskuldsson's side beaten 1-4. Tor almost never pick up points away from home, having gone without a win in 10 of their last 11 away league matches.
Match Results: Thor Akureyri
A Risky Bet
Away from home, รรณr have lost 8 of their last 11 matches and concede an average of 2.83 goals per game on the road. That kind of defence is one Akureyri can exploit: at home they score at an average rate of 1.45 per 90 minutes. The risk lies elsewhere - the hosts are inconsistent, and a one-goal winning margin would only result in a push on this bet. The pick is Akureyri - Handicap (-1.0).
Reliable Bet
Akureyri have failed to win in 8 of their last 9 matches, but Thor are rarely successful away from home either, having taken three points in just 1 of their last 11 away matches. There have not been many draws between these two sides. The bet is either team to win.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (10.01%), 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.12%). All three are close in probability, but 1-1 comes out as the most likely scoreline according to the model.
โญ Editor's Prediction
In the last five derby meetings between these sides, Akureyri have not conceded a single goal to Thor. Thor themselves have been modest in attack, scoring more than one goal in just one of their last 10 away league matches. The hosts' weak defence gives the visitors hope of getting on the scoresheet, but not much more than that. We are not expecting Thor to score twice. The bet is Thor Team Total - Under 1.5. Predicted score - 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Akureyri - Thor Akureyri
in 8 of last 9 games (Urvalsdeild).
in 10 of last 11 away games (Urvalsdeild).in last 5 games against Akureyri.in 9 of last 10 away games (Urvalsdeild).in 7 of last 8 games (Urvalsdeild).in last 5 Akureyri games against Thor Akureyri.Comparison of Teams Stats
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