Univer. Cat. vs Est. La Plata Prediction 19 August 2026
📢 How will the second leg of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 between Universidad Católica and Estudiantes La Plata end? Before the tie began, the Argentine club were considered clear favourites, despite having advanced from the group stage only in second place. However, at home Estudiantes sensationally drew with the Chileans (1:1), which has complicated things considerably. That said, everything is still to play for.
Head-to-Head
The first match of the stage took place on 12 August 2026 and ended 1:1. Here is the comparative statistics from that match (home side - Estudiantes La Plata):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 11 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊 In the 21st century, Universidad Católica and Estudiantes La Plata have officially played only one match.
Head-to-head statistics Univer. Cat. - Est. La Plata

Universidad Catolica Team Overview
Universidad Católica had a very strong group stage in the Copa Libertadores. The team were drawn into a tough group with Boca Juniors and Cruzeiro, but managed to collect 13 points and advance to the knockout rounds in first place. That result surprised many, but the Chileans clearly have no intention of stopping there, as the first match against Estudiantes confirmed. In terms of play, Universidad Católica certainly deserved to lose. The team were outshot 4:17, had 1:5 shots on target, lost the corners 1:11, and their xG was just 0.30 against 2.73 for the opposition. On top of that, the Chileans conceded as early as the fourth minute. Yet the team kept their composure until the very end and managed to equalise on the 80th minute. The game is forgotten, the result remains - in that sense, the coaching staff's plan worked out perfectly.
In the domestic league, Universidad Católica are also performing well and sit in third place. Last weekend the team did not play, so they had extra time to recover before the Copa Libertadores return leg. After such a physically demanding match in Argentina, that could prove to be an important advantage.
Match Results: Universidad Catolica

Estudiantes de La Plata Team Overview
Estudiantes La Plata's last official match was played on in the Argentine Premier Division, where they beat Gimnasia y Esgrima 4-0 at home.
The match stats were as follows (Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima):
- possession: 77% vs 23%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
Estudiantes La Plata fans would surely like to forget the result of the first match against the Chilean side as quickly as possible. In terms of play, the Argentine team could have secured a comfortable win: they created a huge number of chances and barely allowed their opponents to threaten their goal, yet they head to Santiago with a draw.
And playing in Chile is extremely difficult for all foreign clubs, so Estudiantes needed to win at home no matter what. However, last weekend the Argentines thrashed Gimnasia y Esgrima, which should add confidence ahead of the decisive match for a place in the quarterfinals.
Match Results: Estudiantes de La Plata
Latest news
Universidad Catolica
🚫 The hosts have notable injury problems ahead of the match: Juan Francisco Rossel, Diego Valencia, Jeffrey Sekgota and Tomas Asta-Buruaga will all miss out through injury. Several of these players are unavailable not just for the upcoming game, but for a longer period.
Estudiantes de La Plata
❌ Estudiantes have a shorter injury list: Leandro Gonzalez Pires and Santiago Arzamendia will not be available due to injuries.
Total Prediction
Average total statistics: Universidad Católica vs Estudiantes La Plata
- in the tournament: 2 vs 1.86;
- goals scored: 1.29 vs 1;
- in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.43;
- in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 0.57;
- Universidad Católica: at home in the tournament - 1;
- Estudiantes La Plata: away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches: 2 (at home - 2.6) vs 1.2 (away - 0).
- Total over 1.5 goals has landed in 13 consecutive matches for Universidad Católica.
- Total over 1.5 goals has landed in 10 consecutive home matches for Universidad Católica.
- Total over 1.5 goals has landed in 6 of the last 7 matches for Estudiantes La Plata.
Prediction on corners
Universidad Catolica: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.29; at home field - 6.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 7.
Estudiantes de La Plata: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.86, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 2.33.
- Over 7.5 corners in last 6 Universidad Catolica games.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Stats: Universidad Católica vs Estudiantes La Plata
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 4 vs 5;
- Universidad Católica: BTTS at home - 1 (33%);
- Estudiantes La Plata: BTTS away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 6 vs 1;
- Universidad Católica: BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Estudiantes La Plata: BTTS away - 0 (0%).
- Universidad Católica have scored and conceded at home in 7 of their last 8 matches.
⭐ Editor's Pick
According to the bookmakers, Universidad Católica are considered slight favourites, and we agree with that. Santiago sits at around 520 metres above sea level - not a remarkable figure by South American standards (nothing like La Paz, where the altitude is close to 3,600 metres), but there may still be some acclimatisation effect for the visiting side. Especially given that Estudiantes La Plata are clearly far from their best form, judging by their Clausura results. We are therefore backing Universidad Católica handicap (0), expecting to see a 2:1 scoreline on the board.