Mjallby vs Vasteras Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 July 2026
🔊 Defending champions Mjällby have been in freefall since mid-May. Up next - Västerås. The bookmakers still back the hosts, even though they haven't won in seven straight and are sitting just inside the top 10 of Allsvenskan.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head record between these two is fairly limited. Mjällby and Västerås have met five times across three different competitions - the hosts have won three, Västerås once, and one match ended in a draw.
Total goals: 9 for the hosts, 6 for the visitors. On average, 1.2 goals per first half and 1.8 per second. The average total across those matches sits at exactly 3.
Head-to-head statistics Mjallby - Vasteras
Mjallby AIF Team Overview
Late last week, Mjällby suffered another Allsvenskan defeat, this time to AIK (1:2). Here are the stats from that match (Mjällby vs AIK):
- Possession: 61% vs 39%;
- Corners: 5 vs 2;
- Fouls: 15 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 3.
Twelve games into the Allsvenskan season, Mjällby sit with a perfectly symmetrical record - four wins, four draws, four losses. Aesthetically neat, but not much to celebrate. The Swedish champions are tenth in the table, already 16 points off the top, so the title defence is done. What's left is either a push for the top three and a European spot, or some kind of redemption in the Champions League qualifiers - which start for Mjällby in the middle of next week.
The problem is it's not clear where that form is going to come from against a solid Lincoln side from Gibraltar. Mjällby are averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. They haven't won in seven straight matches - nothing since mid-May. At this point, they probably care more about getting the attack working than tightening things up at the back.
Match Results: Mjallby AIF
Vasteras Team Overview
Vasteras' last official match was in Allsvenskan Matchday 12, a 2-0 home win over Degerfors. Here's how the stats broke down (Vasteras vs Degerfors):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 15 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Vasteras came back from the break flying - two wins in a row, five wins and four defeats overall. They're only two points off the top three. Win here against the Swedish champions and they move up again. That said, they haven't won three straight since November last year, when they came up to the top flight.
Their seasonal averages tell the story: 1.83 goals scored, 1.92 conceded per game. They like to attack, but the defensive numbers reflect the quality gap - only the bottom three sides in Allsvenskan have let in more this season.
Match Results: Vasteras
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Mjallby AIF vs Vasteras
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- win percentage: 33% vs 42%;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Vasteras won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games (Allsvenskan).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.8, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Mjallby AIF vs Vasteras
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3.75;
- average total goals scored: 1.58 vs 1.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.58 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.83;
- Mjallby AIF: average total at home in the tournament - 1.2;
- Vasteras: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.25) vs 1.9 (away - 1.8).
- Mjallby AIF have conceded in last 8 games.
- Mjallby AIF have conceded in last 7 games (Allsvenskan).
- Vasteras have scored in 16 of last 17 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Mjallby AIF vs Vasteras
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Mjallby AIF at home - 1 (20%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vasteras away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Mjallby AIF at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Vasteras away - 4 (80%).
- Mjallby AIF have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
- Mjallby AIF have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Allsvenskan).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (15/97, 15.5%);
- Mjallby AIF at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 3:0 (1/5, 20%);
- Vasteras away most often play: 0:1 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:3 , 3:0 , 4:1 (1/6, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.85% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.95% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 8.51% (odds 8.5)
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
The motivation is straightforward - Mjällby are tired of losing, and that's making the Swedish champions nervous. They haven't given up, but the thought of needing to score to win is clearly there. Västerås, as a top-flight newcomer, impress in attack as much as they frustrate in defence. Factor in that their last five away matches have all produced at least three goals, and the pick here is total goals over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Mjallby AIF - Vasteras
in 22 of last 24 home games.in 18 of last 20 home games (Allsvenskan).in 8 of last 9 games.in 10 of last 11 games (Allsvenskan).
in last 5 games against Vasteras.in 16 of last 17 home games (Allsvenskan).in last 8 games.in last 7 games (Allsvenskan).in 16 of last 17 away games.in last 5 Mjallby AIF games against Vasteras.in 8 of last 9 Mjallby AIF games.in 7 of last 8 Mjallby AIF games (Allsvenskan).in 10 of last 11 Vasteras games (Allsvenskan).Comparison of Teams Stats
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