Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction 22 July 2026
๐ Independiente del Valle arrive at this match on an impressive winning run, with the most prolific attack in the league over this stretch. Tรฉcnico Universitario are in a rough patch - three defeats in their last five, just four wins from ten. The table tells the story: the hosts are chasing the title, the visitors are stuck near the bottom, which leaves only the possibility of an upset.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides took place on 22 March 2026 and ended 1-2. Here's how the stats looked that day (Tecnico Universitario were the home side):
- possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
๐ Statistical preview based on official meetings between Independiente del Valle and Tรฉcnico Universitario:
- 23 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 4, draws - 5;
- goals - 37 vs 19;
- average first-half total - 0.87, second-half - 1.57;
- average total goals per match - 2.43.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente del Valle - Tecnico Universitario

Independiente del Valle Team Overview
Their last official match was in Serie A - Independiente del Valle at home, Emelec as the visitors. Final score: 6:1.
Match stats (Independiente del Valle vs Emelec):
- Possession: 58% vs 42%
- Corners: 5 vs 0
- Fouls: 7 vs 8
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1
- Shots on target: 8 vs 3
Independiente del Valle have been remarkably consistent lately - nine wins from their last ten matches, with just one defeat. Over that run, they've averaged 3.3 goals per game, and the winning streak speaks to a genuine attacking threat. Across the season, they're scoring 2.45 goals per match and conceding just one - the best attacking-to-defensive balance in the league right now. The table situation is straightforward: they're top, and staying there demands full focus, which means no easing off even against sides with less to play for.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle

Tecnico Universitario Team Overview
The visitors' last official match was played in Serie A (Tecnico Universitario at home, Aucas away). The match ended 0-1.
Match stats (Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 10 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Tecnico Universitario can't claim any real consistency: four wins and six defeats in their last ten matches. The five games before this one brought two wins and three losses - form is sliding. They're averaging 1.1 goals scored per game in that stretch, conceding 1.2. Season-wide numbers are worse - under a goal a game going forward, just over one at the back. The motivation is there, they need points, but the stats give no real reason to expect the attack to click or the defence to tighten up.
Match Results: Tecnico Universitario
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 23;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 0.87;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.3.
First-Half Stats: Independiente del Valle (home) vs Tecnico Universitario (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 6 (60%) vs 1 (10%);
- losses: 1 (10%) vs 1 (10%);
- draws: 3 (30%) vs 8 (80%);
- Average goals scored: 1.6 vs 0.4;
- Average goals conceded: 0.4 vs 0.2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 8 vs 4;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.1) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3).
- Independiente del Valle scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Tecnico Universitario (Serie A).
- Independiente del Valle scored in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
- Independiente del Valle scored in the 1st half in last 6 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 4, draws - 5.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 16 vs 7;
- win percentage: 80% vs 35%;
- losses: 3 vs 11;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 9 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
- Tecnico Universitario won with a +2.5 handicap in last 30 games.
- Tecnico Universitario won with a +2.5 handicap in last 29 games (Serie A).
- Tecnico Universitario won with a +2.5 handicap in last 15 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.61, the guests - 0.83;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario
- average total in the tournament: 3.45 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 2.45 vs 0.95;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.15 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.3 vs 0.55;
- Independiente del Valle: average total at home in the tournament - 2.4;
- Tecnico Universitario: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 3.3 (home - 3.4) vs 1.1 (away - 0.8).
- Independiente del Valle have scored under 2.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Tecnico Universitario (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Independiente del Valle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.3; at home field - 8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; at home field - 8.
Tecnico Universitario: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.9, away - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 3.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home teamโs field - 4 times.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tecnico Universitario away - 4 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Tecnico Universitario away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (29/160, 18.1%);
- Independiente del Valle at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (2/10, 20%);
- Tecnico Universitario away most often play: 1:0 (4/10, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 12.6% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.39% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.69% (odds 10)