Emelec vs Mushuc Runa Prediction 24 July 2026
🔊 Emelec and Mushuc Runa go into this match level on points, sitting next to each other in the lower half of the table. Both sides have room to climb if they can string some consistency together over the long run. Every slip matters, so expect them to lean on whatever they do well. Recent form has been patchy for both - Emelec have had fewer high-scoring games, while the visitors tend to play with more freedom going forward.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides took place on 22 March 2026 and ended 2-0. Here's how the stats looked that day (Mushuk Runa were the home side):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 6 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Emelec and Mushuc Runa:
- 19 matches played;
- home wins - 12, away wins - 3, draws - 4;
- goals - 35 vs 16;
- average first-half total - 1.26, second-half - 1.42;
- average match total - 2.68.
Head-to-head statistics Emelec - Mushuc Runa
Emelec Team Overview
Their last official match was played in Serie A (Independiente del Valle at home, Emelec away). The final score was 6-1.
Match stats (Emelec vs Independiente del Valle):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 0 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
Emelec have had a mixed season and are sitting in the lower half of the table. Five games, two wins, two draws, one loss - there's some consistency there, at least. Over the last ten, it's three wins, four draws and three defeats. The attacking output is thin: 0.8 goals per game across that stretch, 0.85 for the season. Defensively they're leaking too - conceding more than a goal a game on average (1.15). Motivation isn't gone yet, though. A top-five finish is still mathematically possible.
Match Results: Emelec
Mushuc Runa Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in Serie A (Mushuc Runa at home, Orense away). The match ended 2-1.
Match stats (Mushuc Runa vs Orense):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Mushuk Runa arrive at this match in inconsistent form - two wins and three defeats from their last five. Scoring hasn't been the problem: their season average of 1.3 goals per game is higher than their opponents'. Over the last ten matches they're averaging 1.1 goals, but conceding close to two per game - a back line that leaks, with the emphasis clearly on attack. As for motivation, the table situation is the same as their opponents': points still matter here.
Match Results: Mushuc Runa
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 19;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.26;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.84, while the visitors net 0.42.
First-Half Stats: Emelec (home) vs Mushuc Runa (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- wins: 2 (20%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- draws: 8 (80%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.78;
- Average goals conceded: 0.3 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.8).
- Emelec have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games (Serie A).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 19;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 3, draws - 4.
Statistics: Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 7 vs 6;
- win percentage: 35% vs 30%;
- losses: 7 vs 8;
- draws: 6 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Emelec have won in 9 of last 10 home games against Mushuc Runa (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.84, the guests - 0.84;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.68;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.8;
- average total goals scored: 0.85 vs 1.3;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.45 vs 0.6;
- Emelec: average total at home in the tournament - 1.1;
- Mushuc Runa: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Emelec have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Mushuc Runa (Serie A).
- Emelec have scored under 1.5 goals in 15 of last 17 games.
- Emelec have scored under 1.5 goals in 14 of last 16 games (Serie A).
- Emelec have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Emelec: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 5.5.
Mushuc Runa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.6, away - 3.22;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 3.2.
- Mushuc Runa have taken over 3.5 corners in last 7 games against Emelec (Serie A).
- Mushuc Runa have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 19;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Emelec at home - 4 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for Mushuc Runa away - 8 (89%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Emelec at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Mushuc Runa away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (30/162, 18.5%);
- Emelec at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 (2/10, 20%);
- Mushuc Runa away most often play: 2:1 , 3:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.23% (odds 5.8)
1:1 - 12.52% (odds 5.8)
2:0 - 9.74% (odds 7.4)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
This match shapes up around the contrast between Emelec's pragmatic approach and Mushuc Runa's more open style. The hosts are cautious - their average of 0.8 goals per game over the last ten matches backs that up. The visitors carry more attacking threat, but defensive vulnerabilities haven't translated into consistent scoring. Despite the high-scoring trends in Mushuc Runa's matches, the over 2.5 isn't supported by Emelec's home stats. If anything, the trend points the other way. Our pick is total goals under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Emelec - Mushuc Runa
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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