Palmeiras vs Cerro Port. Prediction 21 May 2026
📢 Palmeiras head into their clash with Cerro Porteño on the back of a ten-match unbeaten run, showcasing a rock-solid defence along the way. Sitting top of the table, Palmeiras have established themselves as the team to beat, while the visitors currently occupy second place. The sides recently faced off and played out a 1-1 draw. The key storyline here is Palmeiras’ consistency versus Cerro Porteño’s cautious approach-Cerro are known for their defensive discipline and seldom concede more than a single goal per match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Cerro Porteno):
- ball possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 17 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Palmeiras and Cerro Porteno:
- played 13 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 2, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 22 against 7;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.54, in the 2nd half - 1.69;
- average total goals in the match - 2.23.
Head-to-head statistics Palmeiras - Cerro Port.
Palmeiras Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Palmeiras, away team - Cruzeiro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 19 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Palmeiras are on an unbeaten run, having picked up two wins and three draws in their last five matches. Over their previous ten games, the club have averaged 1.7 goals scored per match while maintaining a remarkably low average of just 0.6 goals conceded. At home, Palmeiras rarely make defensive errors and seldom score more than twice in a game. This balance allows the team to confidently dictate the tempo and control proceedings.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Sportivo Trinidense, away - Cerro Porteno). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here are the match stats (Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense):
- ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 4 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Cerro Porteño have adopted a cautious approach, averaging just 0.9 goals per game over their last ten matches while maintaining a solid defensive record with 0.8 goals conceded per outing. In their previous five fixtures, the visitors have picked up only one win, drawn twice, and suffered two defeats. Nevertheless, Cerro Porteño have consistently held their own in high-stakes Copa Libertadores clashes: the team has covered the +1.5 handicap in six consecutive matches against formidable opponents.
Match Results: Cerro Porteno
Latest news
Palmeiras
Palmeiras head into the match with significant absences: Felipe Anderson, Ramon Sosa, Bruno Fuchs, Vitor Roque, and Joaquin Piquerez are all sidelined through injury. Notably, Roque is ruled out until at least the end of July. Luis Benedetti remains a doubt for this fixture.
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteño will be without Santiago Mosquera, who is sidelined through injury and will miss the match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.54;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.38, while the visitors net 0.15.
First-Half Stats: Palmeiras (home) vs Cerro Porteno (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 1 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 0.5;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3).
- Palmeiras scored in the 1st half in 11 of last 12 home games.
- Palmeiras scored in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 2, draws - 4.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- win percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 0 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
- Cerro Porteno won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games (Copa Libertadores).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.69, the guests - 0.54;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.23;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
- average total in the tournament: 2.25 vs 1.25;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.5;
- Palmeiras: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Cerro Porteno: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.6) vs 0.9 (away - 0.6).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Palmeiras games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Cerro Porteno games (Copa Libertadores).
Prediction on corners
Palmeiras: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.75; at home field - 8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.8; at home field - 9.4.
Cerro Porteno: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.8.
- Over 9.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Palmeiras games.
- Over 9.5 corners in last 6 Palmeiras home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Palmeiras at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cerro Porteno away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Palmeiras at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Cerro Porteno away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/93, 17.2%);
- Palmeiras at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (1/1, 100%);
- Cerro Porteno away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 19.73% (odds 6)
2:0 - 12% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 11.99% (odds 10.5)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño are leading the group, so this clash has major implications in the playoff race. Both sides are unlikely to throw caution to the wind, with so much at stake and dropped points potentially complicating their path ahead of the final round. Recent matches involving these teams have rarely been high-scoring affairs-six of Palmeiras’ last seven games have seen no more than two goals, and Cerro Porteño’s last six Copa Libertadores fixtures have followed a similar low-scoring pattern. In this context, backing under 2.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Cerro Porteno
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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