Gremio vs Palestino Prediction 21 May 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Grêmio head into this match firmly established at the top end of the table, confidently dictating the pace in Group F. Palestino, meanwhile, are trailing behind and find themselves in a must-win situation to keep even their theoretical hopes of advancing alive. As the tournament progresses, the gulf in quality and squad depth between these sides is becoming increasingly apparent. Grêmio have already demonstrated their ability to see out these home fixtures with composure, securing the necessary results without taking unnecessary risks. 

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 30 April 2026 and ended in a goalless draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Palestino were the home team):

    • Possession: 42% vs 58%;
    • Corners: 2 vs 1;
    • Fouls committed: 19 vs 8;
    • Yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • Shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    📊 Grêmio and Palestino have faced off just once in official competition. That encounter took place on 30 April 2026 at Palestino’s home ground and ended in a goalless draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    1
    Both teams scored
    0%
    1
    Total average
    0
    2
    Corner
    6
    3
    Yellow cards
    3.5
    11.5
    Fouls
    17.5
    Last matches
    21.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Palestino
    Palestino
    1.74
    1.35
    3
    10
    15
    16
    3
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.74
    1.35
    3
    10
    15
    16
    3
    4
    30.04.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Palestino
    Palestino
    1
    Gremio
    Gremio
    0.38
    1.44
    2
    1
    19
    8
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.38
    1.44
    2
    1
    19
    8
    3
    3
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    Gremio Team Overview

    The team's most recent official fixture took place on in Serie A, with Bahia playing at home against Grêmio. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.

    The key statistics from the game (Grêmio vs Bahia) are as follows:

    • Possession: 40% vs 60%;
    • Corners: 3 vs 7;
    • Fouls: 14 vs 18;
    • Yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
    • Shots on target: 1 vs 6.

    🔵 Grêmio are navigating the group stage with a pragmatic approach. The Brazilian side might not always dazzle, but they consistently stick to their game plan: measured tempo control, disciplined defending, and efficient use of chances up front. At home, Grêmio typically ramp up the intensity while still avoiding unnecessary risks. They excel at applying patient pressure without leaving themselves exposed at the back. In matches like these, clinical finishing often proves decisive-and that's exactly how Grêmio tend to secure the results they need.

    Match Results: Gremio

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    1.58
    1.73
    4
    8
    23
    20
    3
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1.58
    1.73
    4
    8
    23
    20
    3
    2
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1.83
    1.92
    7
    5
    12
    16
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.83
    1.92
    7
    5
    12
    16
    2
    2
    D
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Santos
    Santos
    1
    1.38
    1.17
    8
    5
    12
    13
    1
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.38
    1.17
    8
    5
    12
    13
    1
    1
    W
    21.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Palestino
    Palestino
    1.74
    1.35
    3
    10
    15
    16
    3
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.74
    1.35
    3
    10
    15
    16
    3
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    D
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    Palestino Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Primera, facing Palestino away from home. The contest ended in a commanding 5-1 victory.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from Palestino vs Deportes La Serena:

    • Possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • Corners: 2 vs 4;
    • Fouls committed: 14 vs 6;
    • Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • Shots on target: 10 vs 4.

    ⚪ Palestino are still searching for consistency in the group stage. The Chilean side show flashes of quality in possession, but too often lose their defensive shape during transitions. Their main issue lies in handling pressure-when opponents ramp up the tempo and play more direct, Palestino struggle in midfield and leave gaps between the lines. These weaknesses become even more apparent away from home. With limited options, Palestino have no choice but to take risks and play with more attacking intent than usual.

    Match Results: Palestino

    Last matches
    24.06.26
    Copa Chile
    Palestino
    Palestino
    1
    Audax Italiano
    Audax Italiano
    -
    -
    7
    6
    14
    11
    4
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    6
    14
    11
    4
    4
    L
    20.06.26
    Copa Chile
    Palestino
    Palestino
    Deportes Magallanes
    Deportes Magallanes
    -
    -
    3
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    3
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    13.06.26
    Primera Division
    Everton Vina del Mar
    Everton Vina del Mar
    Palestino
    Palestino
    -
    -
    14
    4
    13
    10
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    14
    4
    13
    10
    2
    4
    W
    07.06.26
    CHI LC
    O´Higgins
    O´Higgins
    Palestino
    Palestino
    -
    -
    2
    2
    13
    10
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    2
    13
    10
    2
    1
    L
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Palestino
    Palestino
    1
    Audax Italiano
    Audax Italiano
    -
    -
    6
    7
    5
    7
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    7
    5
    7
    1
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Matches played - 1;
    • Home wins - 0, Away wins - 0, Draws - 1.

    Stats: Gremio vs Palestino

    • Matches in this competition: 4 vs 4;
    • Wins: 2 vs 1;
    • Win percentage: 50% vs 20%;
    • Losses: 1 vs 2;
    • Draws: 1 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • Wins: 5 vs 4;
    • Losses: 2 vs 3;
    • Draws: 3 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Palestino have covered the +1.5 handicap away from home in 8 of their last 9 matches.
    • Palestino have covered the +1.5 handicap in seven consecutive games.
    👉Prediction: Palestino Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.64)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Trends
    • Gremio have kept a clean sheet at home in five of their last six matches.
    • Palestino have failed to score in seven of their last eight South American Cup fixtures.
    👉Prediction: Palestino will not score goal (odds: 1.82)

    Corners Prediction

    Gremio: Stats

    • This tournament: average corners per match - 3.25; at home - 8;
    • Last 10 matches: average - 3.9; at home - 6.5.

    Palestino: Stats

    • This tournament: average corners - 4.2, away - 4;
    • Last 10 matches: average - 4; away - 3.25.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5) (odds: 1.88)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Matches played - 1;
    • Both teams have scored - 0 times overall;
    • On the host’s ground - 0 times.

    Stats: Gremio vs Palestino

    • Matches played in this competition: 4 vs 4;
    • Matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 0 vs 1;
    • Gremio BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
    • Palestino BTTS away - 1 (33%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • BTTS matches: 1 vs 3;
    • Gremio BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
    • Palestino BTTS away - 1 (25%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.66)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Most common results (current season):

    • Most frequent score in the competition: 1-1 (14/80, 17.5%);
    • Gremio’s most common home result: 1-0 (1/1, 100%);
    • Palestino’s most frequent away scores: 0-0, 1-0, 1-2 (each 1/3, 33.3%).

    Based on statistical models and probability distribution, the algorithm suggests the top three outcomes:

    1-0 - 27.41% (odds: 6)
    0-0 - 23.3% (odds: 9.3)
    2-0 - 11.92% (odds: 6)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0) (odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Based on their current level of organization, Grêmio appear to be the more cohesive side. Palestino will likely have to take more risks, which could open up space for the hosts to launch swift counterattacks. The Brazilian outfit are well-equipped to control the tempo and punish any mistakes during transitions. Our prediction: Palestino will not score, as Grêmio have kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 6 home games. Additionally, the Chilean club have failed to find the net in 7 of their last 8 Copa Sudamericana fixtures.

    Our choice
    Palestino will not score goal at odds of -119*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 May 2026, 15:15)

    Betting Tips: Gremio - Palestino

    Gremio have not lost:
    gremio-rs-2in 13 of last 14 home games.
    gremio-rs-2in 7 of last 8 games.
    Palestino have not won:
    palestinoin 8 of last 9 games (Copa Sudamericana).
    Gremio will not lose
    Everygame
    -1429
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    gremio-rs-2in last 25 Gremio games.
    palestinoin last 10 Palestino games (Copa Sudamericana).
    palestinoin last 6 Palestino away games (Copa Sudamericana).
    in 6 of last 7 Carlos P. Benitez games (in the Copa Sudamericana).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Gremio have not conceded:
    gremio-rs-2in 5 of last 6 home games.
    Palestino have not scored:
    palestinoin 7 of last 8 games (Copa Sudamericana).
    Palestino will not score goal
    Everygame
    -133
    Gremio have scored under 2.5 goals:
    gremio-rs-2in 17 of last 19 games.
    gremio-rs-2in last 7 home games.
    Gremio Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -227
    View more facts

    Gremio - Palestino Table position

    Group stage Group F
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    641111-513
    2.
    Gremio
    Gremio
    63218-311
    3.
    Deportivo Riestra
    Deportivo Riestra
    61234-105
    4.
    Palestino
    Palestino
    60331-63

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 9
    +6
    +6
    18 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    4
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    18
    9
    Conceded
    12
    2.4
    Match goals average
    3
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    4
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats