Gremio vs Palestino Prediction 21 May 2026
🔊 Grêmio head into this match firmly established at the top end of the table, confidently dictating the pace in Group F. Palestino, meanwhile, are trailing behind and find themselves in a must-win situation to keep even their theoretical hopes of advancing alive. As the tournament progresses, the gulf in quality and squad depth between these sides is becoming increasingly apparent. Grêmio have already demonstrated their ability to see out these home fixtures with composure, securing the necessary results without taking unnecessary risks.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 30 April 2026 and ended in a goalless draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Palestino were the home team):
- Possession: 42% vs 58%;
- Corners: 2 vs 1;
- Fouls committed: 19 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 2.
📊 Grêmio and Palestino have faced off just once in official competition. That encounter took place on 30 April 2026 at Palestino’s home ground and ended in a goalless draw.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Gremio Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in Serie A, with Bahia playing at home against Grêmio. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
The key statistics from the game (Grêmio vs Bahia) are as follows:
- Possession: 40% vs 60%;
- Corners: 3 vs 7;
- Fouls: 14 vs 18;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 6.
🔵 Grêmio are navigating the group stage with a pragmatic approach. The Brazilian side might not always dazzle, but they consistently stick to their game plan: measured tempo control, disciplined defending, and efficient use of chances up front. At home, Grêmio typically ramp up the intensity while still avoiding unnecessary risks. They excel at applying patient pressure without leaving themselves exposed at the back. In matches like these, clinical finishing often proves decisive-and that's exactly how Grêmio tend to secure the results they need.
Match Results: Gremio

Palestino Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primera, facing Palestino away from home. The contest ended in a commanding 5-1 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from Palestino vs Deportes La Serena:
- Possession: 44% vs 56%;
- Corners: 2 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 14 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 10 vs 4.
⚪ Palestino are still searching for consistency in the group stage. The Chilean side show flashes of quality in possession, but too often lose their defensive shape during transitions. Their main issue lies in handling pressure-when opponents ramp up the tempo and play more direct, Palestino struggle in midfield and leave gaps between the lines. These weaknesses become even more apparent away from home. With limited options, Palestino have no choice but to take risks and play with more attacking intent than usual.
Match Results: Palestino
Match Result Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 1;
- Home wins - 0, Away wins - 0, Draws - 1.
Stats: Gremio vs Palestino
- Matches in this competition: 4 vs 4;
- Wins: 2 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 50% vs 20%;
- Losses: 1 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
- Palestino have covered the +1.5 handicap away from home in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Palestino have covered the +1.5 handicap in seven consecutive games.
Total Goals Prediction
Trends- Gremio have kept a clean sheet at home in five of their last six matches.
- Palestino have failed to score in seven of their last eight South American Cup fixtures.
Corners Prediction
Gremio: Stats
- This tournament: average corners per match - 3.25; at home - 8;
- Last 10 matches: average - 3.9; at home - 6.5.
Palestino: Stats
- This tournament: average corners - 4.2, away - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average - 4; away - 3.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 1;
- Both teams have scored - 0 times overall;
- On the host’s ground - 0 times.
Stats: Gremio vs Palestino
- Matches played in this competition: 4 vs 4;
- Matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 0 vs 1;
- Gremio BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Palestino BTTS away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 1 vs 3;
- Gremio BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Palestino BTTS away - 1 (25%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results (current season):
- Most frequent score in the competition: 1-1 (14/80, 17.5%);
- Gremio’s most common home result: 1-0 (1/1, 100%);
- Palestino’s most frequent away scores: 0-0, 1-0, 1-2 (each 1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistical models and probability distribution, the algorithm suggests the top three outcomes:
1-0 - 27.41% (odds: 6)
0-0 - 23.3% (odds: 9.3)
2-0 - 11.92% (odds: 6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on their current level of organization, Grêmio appear to be the more cohesive side. Palestino will likely have to take more risks, which could open up space for the hosts to launch swift counterattacks. The Brazilian outfit are well-equipped to control the tempo and punish any mistakes during transitions. Our prediction: Palestino will not score, as Grêmio have kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 6 home games. Additionally, the Chilean club have failed to find the net in 7 of their last 8 Copa Sudamericana fixtures.
