San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 April 2026
📢 The match between San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams have been in solid form in their recent outings, with their current performances indicating stability. San Lorenzo sit in ninth place on the table and are eager to climb higher with a home advantage. Meanwhile, Velez Sarsfield, holding the second spot, aim to solidify their success on the road.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - San Lorenzo):
- ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 0.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield:
- played 33 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 11, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 30 against 34;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.76, in the 2nd half - 1.18;
- average total goals in the match - 1.94.
Head-to-head statistics San Lorenzo - Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Sudamericana tournament (home team - San Lorenzo, away team - Cuenca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (San Lorenzo vs Cuenca):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
San Lorenzo are in decent form, securing 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches. The team emphasizes defense, as evidenced by their low goals conceded rate of just 0.92 per match. Playing at home, they excel, scoring in nearly every game against opponents from their most recent head-to-head encounters. Their main focus now is to maintain consistency and capitalize on their home advantage.
Match Results: San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Velez Sarsfield, away - Central Cordoba). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Velez Sarsfield vs Central Cordoba):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
Velez Sarsfield continue to deliver impressive performances, with three wins in their last five matches indicating the team's strong form ahead of their away fixtures. They consistently find the back of the net on the road, evidenced by a streak of seven consecutive matches. Their attacking style keeps them in second place in the standings, thanks to their high scoring rate combined with average defensive capabilities.
Match Results: Velez Sarsfield
Latest news
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo approach the match with significant absences: Ezequiel Cerutti, Gaston Hernandez, Daniel Herrera, and Nahuel Arias are all sidelined due to cruciate ligament injuries, with some players facing extended periods out of action.
Velez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield will be without Imanol Machuca, who is suspended for the match. Also absent from the squad is Jano Gordon, sidelined for an extended period due to a torn cruciate ligament.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 11, draws - 11.
Statistics: San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- win percentage: 31% vs 54%;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.91, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.94;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
- average total in the tournament: 1.85 vs 1.85;
- average total goals scored: 0.92 vs 1.15;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.15 vs 0.46;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.69;
- San Lorenzo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Velez Sarsfield: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2.2) vs 1.3 (away - 1.4).
- San Lorenzo have scored in 9 of last 10 home games against Velez Sarsfield.
- San Lorenzo have scored in 8 of last 9 home games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
- San Lorenzo have scored in last 9 home games.
- San Lorenzo have scored in last 8 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
San Lorenzo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.77; at home field - 4.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 5.
Velez Sarsfield: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.85, away - 3.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; away - 3.2.
- San Lorenzo have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
- San Lorenzo have taken over 4.5 corners in last 5 games against Velez Sarsfield.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for San Lorenzo at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Velez Sarsfield away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for San Lorenzo at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Velez Sarsfield away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (29/197, 14.7%);
- San Lorenzo at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Velez Sarsfield away most often play: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 15.04% (odds 6)
0:1 - 10.87% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 10.68% (odds 5.4)
- San Lorenzo won 1:0 in 3 of last 4 home games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Vélez Sarsfield enter the match as favorites, yet a straightforward game is certainly not anticipated. San Lorenzo traditionally perform with confidence on their home turf and consistently create scoring opportunities: they have found the net in 9 out of their last 10 head-to-head home encounters. Given this trend and the nature of the rivalry, betting on a San Lorenzo goal seems like a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: San Lorenzo - Velez Sarsfield
in 7 of last 8 games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
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in 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).in 11 of last 12 games.in 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
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