Porto vs Tondela Prediction 19 April 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match, the hosts are clear favorites. Porto, currently in excellent form, sit at the top of the table and boast impressive stats both offensively and defensively, while Tondela are fighting for survival in the league with disappointing recent results. Considering the current performance of both teams, Porto's dominance is to be expected.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 December 2025 and ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that match (Tondela were the home side):
- possession percentage: 25% vs 75%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Porto and Tondela:
- 18 matches played;
- home wins - 16, away wins - 1, draws - 1;
- goals scored - 40 to 8;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1.22, in the 2nd half - 1.44;
- average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Porto - Tondela
Porto Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Europa League, with Nottingham Forest hosting Porto. The match concluded with a 1-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Porto vs Nottingham Forest):
- ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corners: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Porto sit at the top of the table, boasting an impressive record of 24 wins this season. In their last five matches, the club have secured two victories and suffered just one defeat, showcasing consistent form. Their average scoring rate exceeds two goals per game, while they concede a meager 0.48 goals per match. This defensive discipline enables Porto to dominate opponents, particularly at home. Their current form and confidence make them the clear favorites in the upcoming clash against Tondela.
Match Results: Porto
Tondela Team Overview
The last official match the current visitors played was on in the Primeira Liga, with Tondela hosting Gil Vicente. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match stats (Tondela vs Gil Vicente):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Tondela are going through a tough stretch this season. Their stats are underwhelming, with only 4 wins and 15 losses in the league. In their last five matches, they have failed to secure a victory, recording three draws and two losses. Their average goal-scoring rate is less than one per game, while they concede over one and a half goals per match. With this form, Tondela face a challenging task against a strong opponent away from home. Their lack of confidence in attack and frail defense further diminish their chances of a successful performance.
Match Results: Tondela
Latest news
Porto
🎙 Francesco Farioli gave an interview after the match against Nottingham Forest (0-1): "I think it's fantastic how the team reacted. In the second half, we shifted gears. Throughout both games, it was possible to calculate who truly deserved this victory, but sometimes 'deserving' isn't enough. We needed to score, and we didn't, especially at the 'Dragão'.
❌ The "Dragons" are still playing without Luuk de Jong and Nehuén Pérez. Samu and Martim Fernandes will also miss the match.
Tondela
❌ Cicero is out for Tondela. Bebeto will also miss the game due to an accumulation of cards.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 18;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.22;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.22.
First-Half Stats: Porto (home) vs Tondela (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 13;
- wins: 11 (78.57%) vs 2 (15.38%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 6 (46.15%);
- draws: 3 (21.43%) vs 5 (38.46%);
- Average goals scored: 1.07 vs 1.38;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 1;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8).
- Tondela have lost the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Porto.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Porto vs Tondela
- matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 28;
- wins: 24 vs 4;
- win percentage: 83% vs 14%;
- losses: 1 vs 15;
- draws: 4 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 6.
- Porto have won in last 15 games against Tondela.
- Porto have won in last 12 games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).
- Porto have won in last 9 home games against Tondela.
- Porto have won in last 6 home games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.22, the guests - 0.44;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Porto vs Tondela
- average total in the tournament: 2.52 vs 2.39;
- average total goals scored: 2.03 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.9 vs 0.32;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.14 vs 0.43;
- Porto: average total at home in the tournament - 2.07;
- Tondela: average total away in the tournament - 0.77;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
- Porto have not conceded in 5 of last 6 home games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.48; at home field - 5.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.25.
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.93, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.
- Porto have taken under 8.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).
- Porto have taken under 8.5 corners in last 11 games.
- Porto have taken under 8.5 corners in last 6 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Porto vs Tondela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Porto at home - 5 (36%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela away - 4 (31%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Porto at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Tondela away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (27/259, 10.4%);
- Porto at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 3:0 (3/14, 21.4%);
- Tondela away most often play: 3:0 (4/13, 30.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 14.58% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 14.2% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 10.16% (odds 9)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Porto have been in commanding form throughout the season, especially thriving on their home turf. Their defense is notably reliable, evidenced by their low goals conceded. Trends suggest that Porto often secure wins with a handicap (-1.5) in matches against Tondela. Considering the visitors' poor form and struggles in attack, a convincing victory for Porto seems the most likely outcome. Therefore, we predict a Porto win with a -1.5 handicap.No comments
Betting Tips: Porto - Tondela
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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