Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction

Details
The main thing

    📢 The 33rd round of Serie A concludes with a clash between Lecce and Fiorentina at the "Via del Mare" stadium. Both teams are fighting to secure their place in the top flight, though they find themselves in slightly different situations. Fiorentina have matters under control with a small cushion, while Lecce are stuck in the relegation zone and desperately need points. The match promises to be a tense affair.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The recent head-to-head history between these teams is quite balanced: out of nine matches, Lecce have claimed three victories, two encounters ended in draws, while the "Violas" have emerged victorious four times. In the first round of the current season, the "Salentians" unexpectedly managed to secure a 1-0 win away from home.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    30%
    3 Wins
    30%
    3 Draws
    40%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Total Goals Avg
    2.7
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1
    Total average
    1.7
    2.9
    Corner
    4.3
    2.4
    Yellow cards
    2.8
    14.6
    Fouls
    12.1
    Last matches
    20.04.26
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    2.05
    0.98
    5
    2
    8
    13
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.05
    0.98
    5
    2
    8
    13
    2
    4
    02.11.25
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Lecce
    Lecce
    1.25
    0.89
    4
    4
    14
    21
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.25
    0.89
    4
    4
    14
    21
    4
    1
    28.02.25
    Serie A
    ACF Fiorentina
    ACF Fiorentina
    US Lecce
    US Lecce
    1.44
    1.12
    5
    2
    10
    12
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.44
    1.12
    5
    2
    10
    12
    3
    2
    20.10.24
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    1
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    14
    0
    5
    0
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    14
    0
    5
    02.02.24
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    -
    -
    1
    3
    9
    6
    3
    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    9
    6
    3
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Lecce Team Overview

    🔴 Lecce have been stuck in the relegation zone for quite some time. The team remains in 18th place, holding just 27 points after 32 rounds. Recent performances hardly inspire confidence: six defeats in their last seven matches, with their only win coming in a hard-fought battle against Cremonese (2-1), who are themselves in dire straits.

    🟡 In the previous round, Lecce traveled to face Bologna, hoping to at least salvage a point. However, the match was a clear disappointment. The "Salentini" fell 0-2, and they appeared significantly weaker throughout the game. Bologna dominated the entire match, creating numerous chances, and the fact that the second goal came late only gave an illusion of suspense rather than reflecting the true balance of power on the pitch.

    Match Results: Lecce

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.28
    0.91
    1
    6
    11
    6
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.28
    0.91
    1
    6
    11
    6
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Lecce
    Lecce
    2.27
    0.81
    3
    8
    7
    13
    1
    4
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    2.27
    0.81
    3
    8
    7
    13
    1
    4
    W
    09.05.26
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    1.11
    2.12
    1
    8
    7
    18
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.11
    2.12
    1
    8
    7
    18
    1
    1
    L
    01.05.26
    Serie A
    Pisa
    Pisa
    Lecce
    Lecce
    2.22
    1.17
    6
    1
    15
    13
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    2.22
    1.17
    6
    1
    15
    13
    4
    2
    W
    25.04.26
    Serie A
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    Lecce
    Lecce
    0.38
    1.16
    2
    4
    15
    19
    2
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.38
    1.16
    2
    4
    15
    19
    2
    5
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Fiorentina Team Overview

    🟣 Fiorentina have been showing much more confidence lately, giving fans little reason for disappointment. The team have been winning more frequently, stabilizing their play, and gradually distancing themselves from the relegation zone. The "Viola" currently sit in 15th place in the standings, holding an 8-point cushion above the 18th position, which allows them to feel relatively secure as the season draws to a close. In the previous Serie A round, the Florence side defeated Lazio 1-0 at home, showcasing organized football.

    ⚪ Meanwhile, in European competitions, Fiorentina's journey ended at the quarterfinal stage. In the second leg against Crystal Palace, they secured a 2-1 victory, displaying convincing play and earning the result despite conceding first. However, this was not enough to overturn the 0-3 defeat from the first match, and the "Viola" concluded their run in the Conference League.

    Match Results: Fiorentina

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    D
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    1
    2.27
    0.63
    6
    2
    16
    12
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.27
    0.63
    6
    2
    16
    12
    1
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.2
    0.67
    4
    3
    13
    14
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.2
    0.67
    4
    3
    13
    14
    0
    0
    D
    04.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    L
    26.04.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Sassuolo Calcio
    1.87
    1.12
    7
    4
    13
    12
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.87
    1.12
    7
    4
    13
    12
    2
    1
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Lecce

    📣 After a 2-0 defeat to Bologna, Lecce's head coach Eusebio Di Francesco remarked, "We gifted them the first goal, and Bologna are strong enough without such presents. We maintained our compactness for half an hour, but then mistakes crept in. We're lacking in finishing, and we can't afford moments of lost concentration like these... The team feels the pressure from our league position, which leads to glaring errors. We create chances, but we must convert them, or survival will be out of reach."

    🚫 The hosts face significant personnel issues: Kealonda Gaspar (knee injury), Medon Berisha (hamstring injury), Francesco Camarda (shoulder injury), and Riccardo Sottil (muscle injury) will not play. Additionally, Sadiq Fofana is confirmed to miss out due to a ligament injury, ruling him out for the rest of the season.

    Fiorentina

    📣 After their 2-1 victory over Crystal Palace, Fiorentina's head coach Paolo Vanoli remarked: "The fans pushed us forward once again, and I can only thank the team. We believed we were capable of something special. The early goal we conceded disrupted our rhythm, but I'm proud of how the players fought until the very end... From the start of the season, this was one of our key matches. We defeated a Premier League side, and if not for the mistakes in the first game, things could have turned out differently."

    🚫 The visitors face their own squad issues: Nicolo Fagioli (gastrointestinal upset) and Moise Kean (physical discomfort) are doubtful, while Fabiano Parisi (impact injury), Niccolo Fortini (muscle injury), and Tariq Lamptey (knee injury) are definitely out.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Fiorentina have struggled defensively this season, conceding 44 goals in 32 Serie A matches. On the road, their defense is even more porous, having allowed goals in 12 of their last 13 league games. Given these stats, betting on a Lecce goal seems like a reasonable prediction.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    For those interested in betting on set pieces, consider the option of Fiorentina under 5.5 corners. This bet has consistently paid off in recent meetings with Lecce, as Fiorentina have taken fewer than six corners in their last six head-to-head encounters. Additionally, this trend continues on the road this season, with the team failing to reach this mark in 9 of their last 10 away games. Considering these trends, the chances of this bet succeeding appear quite high.

    Editorial Prediction

    According to bookmakers, Fiorentina are clear favorites in this matchup, and it's hard to disagree with that assessment. Though both teams sit in the lower half of the table, their current form shows a noticeable gap. Lecce have been struggling recently, losing matches and barely putting up a fight. The "Viola," on the other hand, have picked up momentum towards the end of the season, playing with more confidence and consistently earning points, making it quite possible for the visitors to secure another three points. Our main bet is on a Fiorentina win with a (0) handicap. We anticipate seeing a scoreline of 1-2 on the board.

    Our choice
    Fiorentina Handicap (0) at odds of -172*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (18 April 2026, 22:55)

    Betting Tips: Lecce - Fiorentina

    Lecce have lost
    us-leccein 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    Fiorentina Win
    MyBookie
    +120
    Lecce have lost the 2nd half
    us-leccein last 5 games (Serie A).
    2nd Half Fiorentina Win
    MyBookie
    +150
    Fiorentina have not lost
    acf-fiorentina-1in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
    Fiorentina will not lose
    MyBookie
    -333
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    us-leccein 23 of last 24 Lecce games (Serie A).
    us-leccein 21 of last 22 Lecce home games.
    us-leccein 20 of last 21 Lecce home games (Serie A).
    acf-fiorentina-1in 9 of last 10 Fiorentina games.
    acf-fiorentina-1in 8 of last 9 Fiorentina away games.
    acf-fiorentina-1in 7 of last 8 Fiorentina games (Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Lecce - Fiorentina Table position

    Serie A 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    14.
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    3811101740-5343
    15.
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    389151441-5042
    16.
    Genoa
    Genoa
    3810111741-5141
    17.
    Lecce
    Lecce
    381082028-5038
    18.
    Cremonese
    Cremonese
    388102032-5734

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 13
    -5
    -2
    8 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    8
    13
    Conceded
    10
    2.1
    Match goals average
    1.8
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    4
    Both teams scored
    3
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats