Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction 19 April 2025
🔊 In the upcoming La Liga clash, Rayo Vallecano and Valencia face off in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. The hosts are just three points ahead of Los Che, making this a true six-pointer. Rayo are considered favorites, but primarily due to their home advantage. However, in terms of current form, the visitors have been noticeably better. Will this impact the outcome?
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia:
- 12 matches played;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 3, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 15 for Rayo, 16 for Valencia;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.58;
- average total goals per match - 2.58.
The last game took place on 07 December 2024 at Valencia's ground and ended with a score of 0-1.
Head-to-head statistics Rayo Vallecano - Valencia

Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
⚪ Over the last 8 rounds of La Liga, the "Bees" have only managed to come out on top once, in their clash against Alaves (2-0). Meanwhile, Inigo Perez continues to adhere to his tactical principles, not shying away from situational aggressive pressing. The midfield balance allows the capital club to maintain compactness in defense and avoid gaps between the lines.
📝 The biggest news in recent days is the contract extension with Rayo Vallecano's head coach Inigo Perez. He will remain at the helm of the "Bees" at least until the end of next season. His successful work building on Andoni Iraola's legacy and his notable tactical maneuvers have made the Spanish coach a sought-after figure for several top clubs.
❌ Rayo Vallecano's main personnel setback remains the injury of Abdul Mumin. The Ghanaian defender suffered a troublesome knee injury in the March encounter with Sevilla (1-1). Besides him, Inigo Perez will be without Jonatan Caballero, who has yet to make an appearance this season. However, Sergio Camello is nearing a return to the field after suffering a finger injury in early February.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano

Valencia Team Overview
⚫ The "Bats" have hit their stride, delivering high-quality football in recent rounds. Valencia have suffered just one defeat in their last 10 La Liga matches. Carlos Corberán's squad now enjoys an 8-point cushion from the relegation zone. Their defensive improvements are particularly noteworthy, as they've conceded no more than one goal in each of their last five games.
📣 Here's what Carlos Corberán had to say after his team's latest victory: "I work hard every day, giving my all to provide the fans with what they deserve. Our goal is to make the fans proud of what they see in the team. As for how they express that pride, I welcome all forms and remain focused on continuing to give my best."
❌ Valencia aren't without their share of personnel challenges. Carlos Corberán will be without Thierry Correia for the rest of the season. The Portuguese midfielder sustained a serious knee injury back in October last year. Ivan Jaime's participation is also doubtful as he continues his recovery from a hamstring injury.
Match Results: Valencia
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 3, draws - 6.
Statistics: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of wins: 10 vs 9;
- win percentage: 31% vs 29%;
- number of losses: 12 vs 12;
- number of draws: 10 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 5;
- number of losses: 5 vs 2;
- number of draws: 2 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.25, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.58;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.65;
- average total goals scored: 1.09 vs 1.13;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.58;
- Rayo Vallecano: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Valencia: average total away in the tournament - 0.87;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.8) vs 1.3 (away - 1.75).
- Rayo Vallecano have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Valencia (La Liga).
Prediction on corners
Rayo Vallecano: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.94; at home field - 5.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; at home field - 5.
Valencia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.16, away - 4.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.
- Rayo Vallecano have taken under 6.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (La Liga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 6.34 (3.17 for home team and 3.17 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 6.4 (2.8 for home team and 3.6 for away team).
Rayo Vallecano: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.31; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 1.8.
Valencia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.13, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 20 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Rayo Vallecano at home - 11 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Valencia away - 10 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Rayo Vallecano at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Valencia away - 4 (100%).
- Valencia have scored and conceded in their last 7 away games (La Liga).
- Valencia have scored and conceded in their last 5 away games.
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their head-to-head stats, a tight game with few goals is anticipated. Betting on under 2.5 goals seems logical and well-founded, as it has hit in 7 of the last 8 encounters between these sides. Neither team is likely to throw caution to the wind and charge forward recklessly.