Brentford vs Brighton Prediction
🔊 Which team will emerge victorious in this mid-table Premier League clash? Brighton and Brentford sit close to each other in the standings, but Brighton have a five-point lead over Brentford, ensuring they will remain ahead after Matchday 33, regardless of the outcome. Although the game takes place at the Brentford Community Stadium, there is no clear favorite. Thus, we'll explore various scenarios to make a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Brentford and Brighton:
- 10 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 4, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 11 versus 13;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.2, second half - 1.2;
- average total goals per match - 2.4.
The last match took place on 27 December 2024 at Brighton's ground and ended in a 0-0 draw.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Brentford Team Overview
🔴 Brentford have managed just one win in their last six matches. In the second half of the season, they have performed better on the road than at home. So, it's no surprise they managed to defeat a struggling Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium (2-1). On the flip side, the Bees have faced a tough schedule. During this stretch, they only lost to Aston Villa (0-1) and Newcastle (1-2), both of whom are in the hunt for a Champions League spot. Moreover, they held Arsenal, who are likely to finish second in the Premier League, to a draw in the last round (1-1). The opposition took the lead, but Brentford's response was swift.
📣 While Mikel Arteta believes Arsenal deserved the win, Brentford's head coach Thomas Frank called the draw at the Emirates a fair result: "We knew Arsenal are a strong team, but we believed in our abilities. We earned that result."
❌ Brentford have a significant number of players sidelined due to injuries. Josh Dasilva, Igor Thiago, Aaron Hickey, and Fabio Carvalho will not feature. Gustavo Nunez has recovered and made an appearance in stoppage time against Arsenal. It's clear he won't start in the upcoming match.
Match Results: Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview
🔵 Brighton recently enjoyed a winning streak that gave fans hope for European competition. However, March marked the beginning of a downturn. A 2-2 draw with Manchester City can hardly be called a poor result, especially since the Seagulls came from behind twice. Yet, they failed to secure victory in their next four matches, including an FA Cup exit against Nottingham Forest after a penalty shootout. Last weekend, Brighton couldn't overcome Leicester (2-2), a team that hadn't scored in eight consecutive rounds. Despite having a solid advantage in play, both goals came from penalties, highlighting their struggle to convert chances. This marks the fifth time this season that Brighton have dropped points at home against teams from the bottom six.
📣 Brighton midfielder Matt O'Riley believes Leicester deserved the draw: "It felt like in the last half-hour we stopped playing the way we used to... No matter who you're up against, you can't afford to do that in this league. You get punished, and I think they deserved the draw in the end."
❌ Brighton are dealing with a number of injuries. Joel Veltman, James Milner, Ferdi Kadioglu, Jason Steele, Tariq Lamptey, Adam Webster, and Igor have been out for a while. Recently, Georginio Rutter and Kaoru Mitoma joined them, missing 1-3 matches. Without them, the attack has suffered significantly.
Match Results: Brighton & Hove Albion
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 4, draws - 4.
Statistics: Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of wins: 12 vs 12;
- win percentage: 38% vs 38%;
- number of losses: 13 vs 8;
- number of draws: 7 vs 12.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of draws: 3 vs 2.
- Brentford have not won in 7 of last 8 games against Brighton & Hove Albion.
- Brentford have not won in their last 9 home games.
- Brentford have not won in their last 8 home games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 1.3;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion
- average total in the tournament: 3.13 vs 3.13;
- average total goals scored: 1.63 vs 1.59;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.84 vs 0.69;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 0.91;
- Brentford: average total at home in the tournament - 1.88;
- Brighton & Hove Albion: average total away in the tournament - 1.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 0.25) vs 1.8 (away - 2.25).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Brentford games against Brighton & Hove Albion (Premier League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Brentford games (Premier League).
Prediction on corners
Brentford: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 5.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 5.25.
Brighton & Hove Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.81, away - 4.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 5.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have taken over 4.5 corners in their last 7 games against Brentford (Premier League).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.8 (1.4 for home team and 1.4 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.6 (1.8 for home team and 1.8 for away team).
Brentford: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.25; at home - 1.31;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; at home - 1.25.
Brighton & Hove Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.88, away - 1.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 2.75.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 6 Brentford games against Brighton & Hove Albion (Premier League).
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 15 of last 16 Brentford games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 10 Brentford games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 22;
- number of BTTS matches for Brentford at home - 11 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Brighton & Hove Albion away - 11 (69%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Brentford at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Brighton & Hove Albion away - 3 (75%).
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their previous goalless head-to-head, a cautious approach from both sides seems likely. With Brentford's trend of low-scoring games (fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches), betting on under 3.5 goals appears to be a sensible choice. This outcome has occurred in 6 of the last 7 encounters between Brentford and Brighton.
Betting Tips: Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
