Guadalajara vs Leon Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 19 March 2026
📢 The upcoming clash between Guadalajara and Leon promises to be an intriguing encounter. Guadalajara, sitting third in the standings, displays confident play with a strong defense and attack. Meanwhile, Leon find themselves in 15th place, striving to escape the relegation zone. The form of the teams in recent matches is markedly different: the hosts deliver consistent performances, while the visitors face challenges. Read the prediction for their duel below.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Guadalajara and Leon:
- 30 matches played;
- home wins - 13, away wins - 12, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 34 by Guadalajara, 31 by Leon;
- average first-half total - 0.8, second-half - 1.37;
- average total goals per match - 2.17.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - Leon
Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Liga MX, with Guadalajara hosting Santos Laguna. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 5 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
Guadalajara continue their impressive campaign this season, thanks to their effective play on both ends of the pitch. The team have secured victories in 8 of their last 10 matches, boasting an average of 1.7 goals per game while maintaining a solid defense, conceding less than a goal per match. At home, they traditionally perform confidently, as evidenced by their current standing among the league's frontrunners. Their strategy revolves around midfield dominance and swift attacking combinations.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Leon Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the Liga MX, with León hosting Tijuana. The match ended in a 0-3 defeat for the home side.
Here's the game statistics (León vs Tijuana):
- ball possession: 71% vs 29%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Lyon are enduring a challenging season, languishing in the lower reaches of the league table and grappling with issues both in defense and attack. Out of their last five matches, they have managed just one victory alongside three defeats. The team averages slightly over one goal per game while conceding nearly two, highlighting their frail defense and lack of offensive efficiency. Nevertheless, historically, they have shown the ability to put up a fight against their opponents, even on the road.
Match Results: Leon
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 30;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 0.8;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.47.
First-Half Stats: Guadalajara Chivas (home) vs Leon (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 13;
- wins: 9 (64.29%) vs 2 (15.38%);
- losses: 3 (21.43%) vs 8 (61.54%);
- draws: 2 (14.29%) vs 3 (23.08%);
- Average goals scored: 1.71 vs 1.08;
- Average goals conceded: 0.36 vs 0.85.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 1).
- Guadalajara Chivas scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).
- Leon conceded in the 1st half in last 6 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 12, draws - 5.
- Leon won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 away games against Guadalajara Chivas (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.17;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon
- average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 2.74;
- average total goals scored: 1.66 vs 0.93;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.93 vs 0.44;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.48;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total at home in the tournament - 1.93;
- Leon: average total away in the tournament - 0.46;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2) vs 1.1 (away - 0.8).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored under 2.5 goals in last 14 home games against Leon (Primera Division).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored under 2.5 goals in last 9 games against Leon (Primera Division).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.8 (1.9 for home team and 1.9 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.72 (1.79 for home team and 1.93 for away team).
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.21; at home - 2.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; at home - 2.5.
Leon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.3, away - 2.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (27/267, 10.1%);
- Guadalajara Chivas at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:2 , 2:0 (2/14, 14.3%);
- Leon away most often play: 2:0 (5/13, 38.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.13% (odds 7.5)
2:0 - 11.82% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 10.35% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Guadalajara have recently focused on bolstering their defense, opting for a pragmatic approach and minimizing unnecessary risks at the back. León often adopt a counter-attacking strategy in away games, which, when met with organized resistance from the hosts, tends to lower the overall goal tally. The head-to-head statistics underscore a trend of gritty midfield battles and a scarcity of clear-cut scoring opportunities. Given the current creative struggles faced by both teams, it's highly likely that the match will conclude with a minimal number of goals. Betting on under 2.5 goals seems reasonable.
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Betting Tips: Guadalajara Chivas - Leon
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