Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction

    🔊 Can the "Citizens" turn the situation around and advance to the Champions League Round of 16? The return match between Real Madrid and Manchester City will take place this coming Wednesday at the "Santiago Bernabeu". Romanian referee Istvan Kovacs will be officiating and directly influencing the game. Both clubs face various problems, but the "Whites" are in a much more favorable position. Let's take note of the bookmakers' preliminary predictions: a victory for the "Galacticos" is at 1.85, while a win for the "Sky Blues" is at 3.55.

    Head-to-Head

    The head-to-head match between the teams a week ago took on a truly Hollywood character. After a penalty converted by Erling Haaland in the 80th minute, it seemed that the "Citizens" had managed to knock out the visitors. However, the substitutions made by Carlo Ancelotti played a key role in the victory of the "Galacticos" (3:2). Interestingly, Manchester City has only defeated Real Madrid once in their history at the "Santiago Bernabeu" - in the Round of 16 of the 2019/20 Champions League (2:1).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    47%
    8 Wins
    24%
    4 Draws
    29%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    17
    Total Goals Avg
    3.35
    Both teams scored
    76%
    1.76
    Total average
    1.59
    1.65
    Yellow cards
    2.18
    Last matches
    17.03.26
    UCL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    2.46
    2.76
    9
    6
    6
    7
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    2.46
    2.76
    9
    6
    6
    7
    1
    2
    11.03.26
    UCL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.95
    0.83
    1
    10
    11
    13
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    1.95
    0.83
    1
    10
    11
    13
    0
    2
    10.12.25
    UCL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.79
    2.26
    3
    3
    14
    17
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1.79
    2.26
    3
    3
    14
    17
    3
    3
    19.02.25
    UCL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.82
    1.34
    7
    5
    9
    9
    1
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.82
    1.34
    7
    5
    9
    9
    1
    2
    11.02.25
    UCL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.63
    3.22
    6
    5
    9
    6
    0
    0
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    1.63
    3.22
    6
    5
    9
    6
    0
    0
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    Real Madrid Team Overview

    It cannot be said that Real Madrid's victory over Manchester City (3:2) last week fully matched the game scenario. The key reason for the "Los Blancos" success was Carlo Ancelotti's impeccable intuition for substitutions. Luka Modric, who came on, added composure and control to the team's midfield. Brahim Diaz became the main hero of the encounter, equalizing the score in the 86th minute. The initial plan of the Italian specialist for the game did not particularly surprise: the classic 4-3-3 formation with Ceballos and Camavinga as defensive midfielders. It should be noted that Ceballos regularly shifted to the left flank of the defense, which helped neutralize Savinho's attacking potential. Moreover, this tactical move partially freed up Ferland Mendy during their own attacking plays. Surely, the capital club will resort to using these maneuvers again next Wednesday. The most disappointing news for the "Galacticos" fans is the presence of several key players in the infirmary. Dani Carvajal, Lucas Vazquez, and Eder Militao will not take to the field, but Antonio Rudiger is expected to play.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    L
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    W
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    Manchester City Team Overview

    There is a high probability that Josep Guardiola will once again experience bouts of rage. The reason for this is the surprising instability of the "Citizens" this season, their dreadful defensive actions, and the lack of a championship mentality that would allow them to secure deserved victories. A significant loss for Manchester City has been the injury to key defender Manuel Akanji. It is quite possible that the still "raw" Abduqodir Khusanov might appear in his team's starting lineup at the "Santiago Bernabéu". It is well known that Guardiola does not use a single specific formation but rather resorts to hybrid lineups with a high degree of flexibility. Thus, when controlling the ball, the "Mancunians" form a 3-3-2-2 scheme with the defining role of the defensive midfielder in transitional phases. Currently, Bernardo Silva, who possesses excellent passing skills and great field vision, is assuming this role. Note that, in addition to Akanji, there is significant doubt about the participation of Jack Grealish, Rúben Dias, Nathan Aké, Vitor Reis, and Oscar Bobb in the upcoming match.

    Match Results: Manchester City

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.32
    1.97
    9
    4
    8
    4
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1.32
    1.97
    9
    4
    8
    4
    1
    0
    L
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    D
    16.05.26
    FAC
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    W
    13.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    1.3
    0.7
    9
    4
    10
    7
    0
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.3
    0.7
    9
    4
    10
    7
    0
    2
    W
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Brentford
    Brentford
    3.3
    0.35
    10
    2
    8
    14
    4
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    3.3
    0.35
    10
    2
    8
    14
    4
    2
    W
    Empty
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    ⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

    In each of the last 10 matches, Manchester City has recorded at least three goals. It's important to note the average scoring rate in matches involving “Los Blancos” and “The Citizens” in this European season: 4.1 goals per game. Moreover, in 8 out of the last 10 head-to-head matches between the teams, at least three goals were scored. Our choice is total over 3 goals.

    🚩 CORNER KICKS PREDICTION

    In the current European season, “Los Blancos” have the following ratio of earned to conceded corner kicks: 6.3 to 4.8. The “Citizens” have even more impressive figures: 7.8 to 2.9. Interestingly, in head-to-head encounters, the English club also holds some advantage in this component: 5.8 to 3.8. Considering the pressing need for the visitors to catch up, we predict the following event - Manchester City win on corners.

    Editor's Prediction

    Do not underestimate Real Madrid's ability to play as the second number. Carlo Ancelotti has often resorted to rather pragmatic tactical plans during his time in the Spanish capital, which often led to achieving the desired result. Just one victory for Manchester City at the “Santiago Bernabeu” in history also indicates that the “Los Blancos” are a very inconvenient opponent for the “Citizens”. In our opinion, the “Galacticos” should be able to manage the task of containing the opponent and secure their place in the Round of 16. Our prediction regarding the final score is 3-2. The key bet is a Real Madrid win.

    Our choice
    Real Madrid Win at odds of -110*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (18 February 2025, 06:53)

    Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Manchester City

    Real Madrid have not lost
    real-madrid-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    real-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 home games.
    Real Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -370
    Real Madrid have scored
    real-madrid-1manchester-city-2in 9 of last 10 games against Manchester City (Champions League).
    real-madrid-1in 20 of last 21 games.
    real-madrid-1in 16 of last 17 home games.
    Real Madrid will score goal
    -1111
    Real Madrid have conceded
    real-madrid-1manchester-city-2in last 9 games against Manchester City (Champions League).
    real-madrid-1in 8 of last 9 games (Champions League).
    real-madrid-1in last 6 home games.
    Manchester City have scored
    manchester-city-2in last 15 games.
    manchester-city-2in last 7 away games.
    Manchester City will score goal
    MyBookie
    -133
    Real Madrid conceded in the 2nd half
    real-madrid-1manchester-city-2in last 9 games against Manchester City (Champions League).
    real-madrid-1manchester-city-2in last 4 home games against Manchester City (Champions League).
    Manchester City scored in the 2nd half
    manchester-city-2in last 12 games.
    manchester-city-2in last 7 away games.
    2nd half, Manchester City will score goal
    -156
    View more facts

    Real Madrid - Manchester City Table position

    UEFA Champions League 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    850322-1215
    11.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    850320-1215
    12.
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    850320-1215
    21.
    Celtic
    Celtic
    833213-1412
    22.
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    832318-1411
    23.
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    832313-1211

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 13
    +4
    +12
    20 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    7
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    20
    13
    Conceded
    8
    3
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    45'
    View all stats