Getafe vs Barcelona Prediction 18 January 2025

🔊 What are the chances of the "City" team in the upcoming match against the "Blue and Garnet"? The extremely mediocre performance of Getafe in the cup match against Pontevedra (1:0) surprised all Spanish football fans. The next challenge for José Bordalás and his team will be a clash with Catalan Barcelona at the "Coliseum Alfonso Pérez". Let's take a look at the bookmakers' preliminary predictions: victory for the "Dark Blues" - 6.6, victory for "Barça" - 1.5.

📊 H2H

Getafe has only been stronger than Barcelona 3 times in its history within the Spanish La Liga. In comparison, the Catalan club has won on 27 occasions. In the first round of the current Primera season, the "Blue and Garnet" won against the "City" team with a minimal score difference (1:0). The only goal was scored by Robert Lewandowski.

🔵 GETAFE

Recently, Getafe played their match in the Round of 16 of the Copa del Rey. The opponents for the "City" team were Pontevedra from the Segunda Federación (1:0). The average ball possession percentage for the "Dark Blues" was only 16%. Additionally, throughout the match, the capital club managed to make only 79 passes. In comparison, the team from the country's 4th division recorded 675 passes. Despite José Bordalás' team having to play with one less player from the 41st minute, there is simply no justification for such a performance by Getafe. In La Liga, the "City" team still has the worst attack - 0.68 goals per match. Allan Nyom and Djene Dakonam are doubtful for participation in the upcoming match.

🔴 BARCELONA

It was a surprise to many that the "Blue and Garnet" so easily dealt with Betis (5:1) in the Round of 16 of the Copa del Rey. Overall, the start of the new calendar year is going exceptionally well for Barcelona - 4 wins in 4 matches. In recent games, it was particularly interesting to observe the role Hansi Flick proposed for Gavi. The 20-year-old Spaniard played significantly closer to the opponent's goal, effectively taking on Dani Olmo's responsibilities. It is important to note that in the last 3 matches, Gavi managed to score 2 goals and provide 1 assist. In La Liga, the "Blue and Garnet" continue to hold the 3rd spot in the standings. However, a 6-point gap from the leading position can easily be bridged in upcoming rounds.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

Hansi Flick's team maintains their status as the most prolific team in La Liga - 2.68 goals per match. Meanwhile, the "City" team is characterized by one of the best defensive lines in La Liga. However, we consider it important to focus on the following point: over the last 10 head-to-head matches (since the 2013/14 season) at "Coliseum Alfonso Pérez", "Barça" has scored no more than two goals. Based on this, we find it reasonable to note Barcelona's individual total under 2 goals.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

The deep defensive line of Getafe creates many problems for opponents. Sometimes it becomes impossible to break through the extremely cohesive defensive mechanism of the "City" team. On average, "Dark Blues" allow only 3.3 corners per game. And in 8 out of the last 10 head-to-head encounters, there were no more than 10 corner kicks recorded. The most rational betting option is considered total corners under 9.5.

📝 MATCH PREDICTION

In our opinion, expecting a goal-scoring spectacle in the upcoming match is futile. Firstly, Getafe is regarded as a rather tough team that doesn't shy away from challenges. Such football can disrupt Barcelona's attacking flanks, i.e., Raphinha and Lamine Yamal. Secondly, there is a persistent statistic of head-to-head meetings indicating a tradition of low-scoring outcomes. A final score of 0:1 corresponds well with our analysis. The key bet is total under 3 goals.