Leganes vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 18 January 2025

🔊 Will Atlético Madrid's winning streak continue? This coming Saturday, the "Colchoneros" are set to visit the "Butarque Municipal Stadium". Leganés is actively fighting to retain its place in the elite of Spanish football, making it extremely intriguing to observe this clash of interests. The bookmakers' preliminary predictions are as follows: a victory for the "Pepineros" - 7.4, a win for the "Indians" - 1.47.

📊 H2H

Leganés has never achieved a victory in head-to-head encounters with Atlético in La Liga - 4 draws and 5 losses. In the first round of the current Primera season, the "Colchoneros" managed to celebrate success in their personal meeting with the "Pepineros" - 3:1. One of the main heroes of the match was Alexander Sorloth, who scored 2 goals against Leganés.

🔵 LEGANÉS

Recently, Leganés qualified for the quarter-finals of the Copa del Rey. The victim of the club from the Madrid suburbs was Almería (3:2). Borja Jiménez managed to surprise the team playing in Segunda. An interesting tactical twist was the head coach's choice of a 4-2-3-1 formation. Meanwhile, throughout the season, Leganés traditionally uses a setup with five defenders. Much of Renato Tapia's versatility allows the "Pepineros" coaching staff to make such adjustments. Currently, the club from the capital's suburbs is in 16th place, with 19 points to their name. It is noteworthy that Borja Jiménez's team shows the worst expected goals figure - only 16.30 after 19 rounds.

🔴 ATLÉTICO

Atlético's winning streak has reached 15 matches. The away victory over Elche (4:0) in the Copa del Rey round of 16 confirmed the "Colchoneros'" intentions regarding winning the tournament. Additionally, Diego Simeone and company remain one of the main contenders for the championship title in Spain. Currently, the "Indians" lead the league table, one point ahead of Real Madrid. The Argentine specialist does not favor any particular tactical formation. Typically, Atlético employs hardworking wing-backs capable of playing along the entire flank and offering themselves in midfield. Setting up in a 5-4-1 formation when defending allows the team to maintain compactness in lines. The capital club is characterized by having the best defense in the league - 0.63 goals conceded per match.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

In 8 out of the last 10 matches between Leganés and Atlético, no more than two goals were scored. In 3 out of 4 previous encounters, the "Pepineros" failed to even score. The highly convincing defensive actions of the "Colchoneros" suggest a continuation of these trends. The away status of the confrontation only increases pressure and responsibility on the "Indians" players. Therefore, playing reliably in defense will be a primary task for the visitors. Our choice - both teams to score (no).

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

This season, Leganés earns a very low number of corners - only 2.8 per game. Meanwhile, the "Colchoneros" are among the leaders in allowing corners at their own goal - just 3.4 per match. As noted earlier, Atlético's compactness in defense effectively neutralizes opponents' attacks at their inception. We propose the following event - individual total corners for Leganés under 3.5.

📝 MATCH PREDICTION

At this point, it's unclear what could stop Diego Simeone's squad. The "Colchoneros" are simply the most stable and organized team in the league. A successful combination of pragmatism in defense and short passing play contributes to creating a modern tactical style at "Wanda Metropolitano". It seems unlikely that a problematic team like Leganés will upset the "Indians". A final score of 0:2 seems quite justified. Our key bet - Atlético to win.