Las Palmas vs CD Castellon Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Las Palmas have had such a poor season that the club have already decided to change their manager. After nine rounds they sit 15th in Segunda with 11 points, ten points off the automatic promotion places. Castellón are in a much more comfortable position, sitting third and just one point behind the leaders. However, after seven matches without defeat they have suddenly stalled, picking up only one point from their last two rounds. Las Palmas will now look to take advantage of their opponents' dip in form.
Head-to-head record is all square
21 February 2026 Las Palmas and Castellón drew 1-1 in Segunda División. The visitors had more shots - 15 to 10, including 6 to 3 on target.
📊 In 5 official meetings, Las Palmas and Castellón have won 2 each, with 1 match ending in a draw. Despite the even record, Castellón have scored more - 7 goals to 5 - and 6 of those 7 came in the second half.
Head-to-head statistics Las Palmas - CD Castellon
Las Palmas have suffered three defeats in their last four matches.
Las Palmas lost their last Segunda match away to Mallorca, going down 3-1. Despite equal xG figures - 0.66 apiece - the hosts significantly outshot them: 12 attempts to 4.
Las Palmas have not lived up to expectations so far: across nine rounds they have won three, drawn two and lost four. The defence is a particular concern - 16 goals conceded against 13 scored, with nine of those conceded coming in the last four matches. At home they have also been unconvincing, with just one win from four matches and a goal difference of 5-5. The run of poor results led to the manager being sacked. The new man wants to restore the balance between attack and defence, but there is almost no time to make significant changes before facing one of the league leaders.
Match Results: Las Palmas
Castellón: First setback after an impressive start
Castellón lost 0-1 away to Andorra in their last Segunda match. The visitors had more possession and created more dangerous attacks - 66 to 38 - but Andorra had more shots on target, 8 to 3.
Castellón remain among the leading promotion contenders despite a difficult recent run. Over nine matches they have won six, drawn two and lost one. Their defence has been particularly impressive - conceding just four goals while scoring 15, with five matches ending without the opposition scoring. Away from home, Pablo Hernández's side have won four of their five matches with an aggregate score of 7-3. However, Castellón have taken just one point from their last two fixtures.
Match Results: Castellon
Latest news
Las Palmas
❌ Viti, Enrique Clemente, Sergio Ruiz and Edward Cedeño are all continuing their recovery from injury. Jesé Rodríguez has returned to training, but his involvement in the match remains in doubt. The availability of Marvin, Jeremía Recoba and Sandro Ramírez is also yet to be confirmed.
Castellon
🚑 Ousmane Camara is definitely out through injury. Juan Nieto and Francisco Castillo will also miss the match. Fabrizio Brignani continues to recover.
Total Goals Prediction
Castellón have a solid defence and are rarely involved in high-scoring matches. In 6 of their 9 league rounds, the combined goal total has been no more than 2, and their average total stands at 2.11 goals per game. Away from home the figure is slightly lower - 2 per match - with no more than 2 goals scored in 3 of their 5 away trips. Las Palmas are more prolific: at least 3 goals have been recorded in 3 of their 4 home rounds. However, Castellón's attacking injury losses and the change of manager at Las Palmas give reason to expect a more cautious match. Our pick: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 2.18.*
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely outcomes are 0-1 (14.31%), 1-1 (10.69%) and 1-0 (10.55%). The 0-1 scoreline has the highest probability, though the difference between the options is minimal. This points to a moderately low-scoring match with no clear candidate for a big win.
Match Result Prediction
Castellón have lost just once in nine rounds, and were unbeaten before their meeting with Andorra. They have also been strong away from home, winning 4 of their 5 away matches and conceding only 3 goals. Las Palmas, meanwhile, are struggling even at home - just 1 win in 4 home matches, and in their last 3 home rounds they have failed to pick up more than two points. Bet: Castellón not to lose at 1.31*.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Las Palmas have a new manager who faces the task of sorting out a defence that has conceded 16 goals in nine league rounds. Castellón are more solid defensively but have been struggling in front of goal recently, scoring just one in their previous two rounds, and now face a difficult away trip. That said, three of Las Palmas's four home matches have been high-scoring affairs, so expecting a quiet game is a risk. Predicted score: 0-1. Main bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Las Palmas - Castellon
in 8 of last 9 games (Segunda División).
in 10 of last 11 Las Palmas home games (Segunda División).in 8 of last 9 Castellon games (Segunda División).in last 5 Castellon away games (Segunda División).in 28 of last 30 games (Segunda División).in 14 of last 15 away games (Segunda División).in 15 of last 16 games (Segunda División).in 13 of last 14 away games (Segunda División).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
