Liverpool vs Manchester United Prediction 19 October 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 Will the North West Derby surprise us? It's tough to answer that question, as it's unclear what result would truly be unexpected, if any at all. Manchester United remain characteristically inconsistent, while Liverpool have stunned fans with three consecutive defeats. However, this has only slightly affected the bookmakers' odds, with the hosts at Anfield still seen as clear favorites for the upcoming clash. Our prediction aims to determine whether Arne Slot's side can live up to this billing.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In recent years, Liverpool and Manchester have been on completely different levels, but you wouldn't know it from their head-to-head matchups. Since the 2022/23 season, the teams have faced each other seven times, with the balance perfectly even-two wins apiece. The most common result has been a draw, with a scoreline of 2-2.

    Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Manchester United

    33%
    15 Wins
    24%
    11 Draws
    42%
    19 Wins
    Total games
    45
    Total Goals Avg
    2.89
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.62
    Total average
    1.27
    1.56
    Yellow cards
    2.42
    Last matches
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    19.10.25
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    2.16
    1.5
    9
    4
    22
    0
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.16
    1.5
    9
    4
    22
    0
    0
    2
    05.01.25
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    2.86
    1.67
    6
    9
    10
    13
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.86
    1.67
    6
    9
    10
    13
    2
    4
    01.09.24
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    -
    -
    5
    2
    8
    7
    4
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    8
    7
    4
    1
    03.08.24
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Liverpool Team Overview

    At the start of the season, Arne Slot's team was overperforming, snatching victories in the dying minutes and sometimes defying the logic of the game. It was understood that this couldn't last forever, but no one anticipated Liverpool's sudden slump. The reigning English champions have now lost three consecutive matches.

    Admittedly, the schedule threw some tough challenges their way with three difficult away games against Crystal Palace (1-2), Galatasaray (0-1), and Chelsea (1-2). However, this hardly excuses such results. It's worth noting that Mohamed Salah is in poor form, failing to register a single goal or assist in these matches. Perhaps his recent brace against Djibouti will help the Egyptian regain his confidence.

    Match Results: Liverpool

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    1.87
    2.41
    3
    5
    13
    10
    4
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.87
    2.41
    3
    5
    13
    10
    4
    2
    D
    23.08.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.21
    3.51
    2
    6
    16
    15
    5
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    3.51
    2
    6
    16
    15
    5
    3
    D
    16.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Como 1907
    Como 1907
    -
    -
    4
    8
    10
    9
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    8
    10
    9
    2
    1
    W
    16.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Como 1907
    Como 1907
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    2
    1
    D
    09.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Monaco
    Monaco
    -
    -
    0
    4
    9
    8
    0
    1
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    0
    4
    9
    8
    0
    1
    L
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    Manchester United Team Overview

    Manchester have been alternating between wins and losses for five consecutive matches. An interesting pattern has emerged- the Red Devils only secure victories at home, while their away performances, such as the 1-3 result against Brentford, leave much to be desired.

    In the last round, Ruben Amorim's side played at home, and fans were hopeful for success, which they achieved. United comfortably dismantled early-season surprise package Sunderland with a 2-0 victory. It was the team's first truly convincing win in a while, giving their opponents no chance. Fans are also pleased that Benjamin Sesko scored for the second consecutive match, as he gradually adapts to the demands of the Premier League.

    Match Results: Manchester United

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    EPL
    Hull City
    Hull City
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    0.99
    2.18
    1
    6
    10
    9
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0.99
    2.18
    1
    6
    10
    9
    2
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Milan
    Milan
    -
    -
    4
    2
    14
    14
    1
    1
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    4
    2
    14
    14
    1
    1
    L
    12.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    W
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    12
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    12
    1
    0
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    -
    -
    2
    4
    14
    15
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    4
    14
    15
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Liverpool

    🎙 Liverpool captain Virgil van Dijk addressed the fact that the summer signings have yet to fully replace those who left the club: “I think the club did brilliantly in terms of transfers, but they haven't strengthened us yet. It's clear that we've lost a lot in terms of quality, which was crucial for us over the past few years. We sold skilled players like Diaz, Nunez, Quansah, and Elliott. We've had to replace them with quality footballers, and we know how challenging the modern market is, but the club has handled it well. Now we need to work on building a very, very good team to be competitive in all competitions. That's our goal,” said the Dutchman.

    ❌ The hosts have suffered numerous losses, though not all are key. Injuries to Giovanni Leone, Stefan Bajcetic, and Wataru Endo don't affect the starting lineup. However, the absence of Alisson in goal is a significant issue.

    Manchester United

    🎙 Ruben Amorim is determined ahead of the upcoming derby: “I remember the 2-2 draw. We played very well back then, but the match ended in a draw. I was very upset after the game. We proved that we can compete with any opponent. I understand that this is a special match for our club. I know that Liverpool are fighting for several titles. We need to prove ourselves again. We need to be stronger in both penalty areas. This is another match we must win.”

    ❌ Manchester United might avoid significant losses ahead of the upcoming match. Lisandro Martinez has been out for a long time due to an ACL injury, and the team has gotten used to his absence. The truly important player is Noussair Mazraoui, who missed the last two matches. Ruben Amorim mentioned that he doesn't know if the Moroccan will be able to take the field.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by Michael Oliver, who is not known for handing out cards excessively. In six Premier League games this season, he has shown 14 yellow cards, averaging just 2.3 per game. However, given the intensity of this derby, Oliver might have to raise the bar. The total of over 4.5 bookings has been hit in the last six consecutive head-to-head clashes between Liverpool and Manchester United, and our editorial team expects this trend to continue.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Anfield is a true fortress for Liverpool, where they've only been winning this season. The issue, however, is that they often concede, forcing them to secure victories in the dying minutes. In fact, the bet on both teams to score (yes) has come through in 8 out of Liverpool's last 9 home matches. Considering that both teams found the net in 3 of their last 4 head-to-head encounters, backing this outcome seems a highly logical choice.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Liverpool, especially after a series of setbacks, must play from a position of strength, as they typically do against United at home. In 7 of the last 8 Premier League matches held at Anfield, the hosts have taken at least six corners. We expect similar activity from them in this aspect and are betting on Liverpool's individual total of over 5.5 corners.

    Editorial Prediction

    Liverpool have predictably slowed down their pace, suffering three consecutive defeats due to poor performances rather than mere bad luck. It's doubtful that Arne Slot could solve all the issues during the international break. We don't foresee another loss for his side, but a positive outcome seems unlikely too, especially considering Manchester United have picked up points at Anfield in their last two visits. We anticipate a repeat of the previous head-to-head clash, ending in a 2-2 draw. Our key bet is a neutral one - total over 3 goals. This wager has been profitable in 8 of the last 11 North-West derbies, with two instances resulting in a push.

    Total goals Over (3)
    Published: 18/10/2025, 12:49

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    Betting Tips: Liverpool - Manchester United

    Liverpool have won:
    liverpool-fc-1in last 5 home games.
    Liverpool Win
    MyBookie
    +120
    Liverpool have not lost:
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-united-2in 13 of last 14 games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-united-2in last 10 home games against Manchester United.
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-united-2in last 9 home games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in 22 of last 23 home games.
    liverpool-fc-1in last 16 home games (Premier League).
    Manchester United have not won:
    manchester-united-2in 11 of last 12 away games.
    manchester-united-2in last 8 away games (Premier League).
    Liverpool will not lose
    MyBookie
    -286
    Liverpool have scored:
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-united-2in 10 of last 11 games against Manchester United.
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-united-2in 8 of last 9 games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in last 34 games (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in 22 of last 23 home games.
    liverpool-fc-1in 20 of last 21 games.
    liverpool-fc-1in last 16 home games (Premier League).
    Manchester United have conceded:
    manchester-united-2in 11 of last 12 games.
    manchester-united-2in last 8 away games (Premier League).
    Liverpool will score goal
    -1111
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-united-2in 19 of last 20 Liverpool home games against Manchester United.
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-united-2in 17 of last 18 Liverpool home games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-united-2in 6 of last 7 Liverpool games against Manchester United (Premier League).
    manchester-united-2in 13 of last 15 Manchester United away games (Premier League).
    manchester-united-2in 9 of last 10 Manchester United games (Premier League).
    manchester-united-2in last 6 Manchester United away games.
    in 16 of last 18 Michael Oliver games (in the Premier League).
    in last 6 Michael Oliver games.
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -312
    View more facts

    Liverpool - Manchester United Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    38239677-3578
    3.
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    382011769-5071
    4.
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    381981156-4965
    5.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    381791263-5360
    6.
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    381318758-5457

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 20
    0
    +6
    18 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    6
    4
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    18
    20
    Conceded
    12
    4
    Match goals average
    3
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    9
    Both teams scored
    6
    45'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats