Rivadavia vs Fluminense Prediction 18 August 2026
📢 Matches between Argentine and Brazilian clubs in the Copa Libertadores always attract curiosity. The round of 16 draw brought together Independiente Rivadavia and Fluminense, with bookmakers giving the Brazilians a slight edge ahead of the first leg. However, Fluminense failed to make use of home advantage and finished the match 0-0. Now the cards are in the Argentines' favour, but will they manage to play them right?
Head-to-Head
The first match of the stage took place on 11 August 2026 and ended 0:0. Here is the comparative statistics from that match (home side - Fluminense):
- possession: 74% vs 26%;
- corners: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 5 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊 In the current Copa Libertadores, the two sides have already met three times, with Fluminense failing to win on any occasion (2 draws and 1 defeat). While the Brazilians lost at home in the group stage (1:2), they at least avoided defeat in the playoff legs. However, this is unlikely to add much optimism ahead of the second leg.
Head-to-head statistics Rivadavia - Fluminense
Independiente Rivadavia Team Overview
Independiente Rivadavia's last official match was played on in the Argentine Primera División last weekend, losing away to Belgrano (0:2).
The match stats are as follows (Independiente Rivadavia vs Belgrano):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Independiente Rivadavia had a brilliant first half of 2026. The club finished first in the Apertura group stage, though they went out in the last 16 of the playoffs, and also won their group in the Copa Libertadores. However, the second part of the year has gone noticeably worse: over five rounds of the Clausura, the club have picked up just seven points and are currently outside the playoff zone. Last weekend, Independiente Rivadavia also lost to Belgrano without scoring, which is hardly a confidence boost.
In the first match against Fluminense, the Argentines deliberately gave the opposition the initiative and played second fiddle. Independiente Rivadavia had the ball for just 26% of the time, relying on counter-attacks. It appears the coaching staff's plan was to concede as little as possible away from home, then secure a place in the quarterfinals on their own turf. The first part of that plan worked - the Argentines came away with a draw, and now they need to take the second, decisive step.
Match Results: Independiente Rivadavia
Fluminense Team Overview
Fluminense beat Palmeiras (3:2) at the weekend in a Brazilian Série A match.
The match stats were as follows (Fluminense vs Palmeiras):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 7.
Fluminense are showing decent results in the Brazilian championship. After 23 rounds the team sit fourth, having collected 38 points, with a ten-point gap to the leaders. So even the title race does not look entirely out of reach. That said, their recent results raise a lot of questions: yes, last weekend the club managed to beat the formidable Palmeiras, but before that they had gone seven matches in a row without a win across all competitions.
The first leg against Independiente Rivadavia in the Libertadores Cup round of 16 also fell within that difficult run. Fluminense had a lot of the ball but got almost nothing from it: of 17 shots only three were on target, and the team created just one genuinely dangerous chance. Playing as the dominant side away from home will be harder, so the coaching staff will need to find other ways to break down the Argentine defence.
Match Results: Fluminense
Latest news
Independiente Rivadavia
✅ Independiente Rivadavia come into the match without any losses: there are no injured or suspended players in the squad.
Fluminense
❌ With their opponents fully fit, Fluminense go into the match with a far less comfortable squad situation: Jefferson Savarino, Riquelme Felipe, Igor Rabello, John Kennedy and Juan Pablo Freytes are all out injured. Kennedy has been ruled out for the rest of the season.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 7.66 (4.33 - for home team and 3.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 8 (6 - for home team and 2 - for away team).
Independiente Rivadavia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.86; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 4.25.
Fluminense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.71, away - 3.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 4.
- Under 10.5 corners in 8 of last 9 Independiente Rivadavia games.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Independiente Rivadavia games (Copa Libertadores).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Stats: Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 5 vs 4;
- Independiente Rivadavia: BTTS at home - 2 (67%);
- Fluminense: BTTS away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- Independiente Rivadavia: BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Fluminense: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
- Independiente Rivadavia have scored and conceded at home in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/133, 16.5%);
- Independiente Rivadavia at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 4:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Fluminense away most often play: 0:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.54% (odds 6)
1:0 - 13.27% (odds 6)
0:0 - 13.04% (odds 6)
- Fluminense drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 away games.
⭐ Editor's Pick
According to the bookmakers, Independiente Rivadavia are considered slight favourites for the second leg. This is largely down to the home advantage factor, which plays an enormous role in South America. But it is worth remembering that their opponents are one of the strongest clubs in Brazil, and a single moment may be enough for them to get the result they need. On top of that, Fluminense will surely be boosted by their recent win over Palmeiras. Given that the hosts' defence regularly lets them down (Independiente Rivadavia conceded in 7 of their last 8 home matches), we are backing a Fluminense goal. The expected score in regular time is 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense
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in 10 of last 11 Andres Rojas games.in 6 of last 7 Andres Rojas games (in the Copa Libertadores).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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