Valerenga vs Aalesunds Prediction 16 July 2026
🔊 Local rivals in the standings, Vålerenga and Aalesund, go head-to-head. The hosts currently sit 11th, while the visitors are 12th and hovering just above the relegation zone. At this stage of the season, Aalesund are highly motivated as they battle to avoid the drop, whereas Vålerenga can afford to be a bit more relaxed. Recent form tells a different story: the hosts have suffered more defeats in their last outings, while the visitors have put together a steadier run with fewer losses.
Head-to-Head
📊 Head-to-head statistical preview: Vålerenga vs Aalesund
- 30 official meetings played;
- The hosts have claimed 13 wins, the visitors 9, with 8 draws;
- Total goals scored: 49 for Vålerenga, 34 for Aalesund;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.33; in the second half: 1.43;
- Average total goals per match: 2.77.
Head-to-head statistics Valerenga - Aalesunds
Valerenga Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Eliteserien, with Tromsø hosting Vålerenga. The match ended 4-0.
Here are the key match stats (Vålerenga vs Tromsø):
- Possession: 62% vs 38%;
- Corners: 7 vs 4;
- Fouls: 10 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 8.
Vålerenga are enduring an inconsistent stretch this season, having picked up just two wins alongside three defeats in their last five competitive matches. Over their previous ten games in all competitions, the hosts have managed only two victories while suffering six losses a run that has clearly dented their confidence and exposed defensive frailties. They are conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game across that span, underlining significant issues at the back and leaving them vulnerable even against teams in the lower half of the table. Offensively, Vålerenga have struggled to make an impact, averaging just one goal per match over their last ten outings. In terms of motivation, the club currently sit eleventh in the standings and are not realistically pushing for a top finish; at the same time, their squad depth likely keeps them safe from any serious relegation threat.
Match Results: Valerenga
Aalesunds Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Eliteserien, facing Aalesund away from home. That encounter ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from Aalesund vs Molde:
- Possession: 46% vs 54%;
- Corners: 2 vs 7;
- Fouls committed: 18 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 8.
Aalesund head into this fixture on a notably steadier run of form. Over their last ten matches, the visitors have suffered just three defeats, underlining their ability to avoid losses even against a tough schedule. Aalesund’s attacking output stands at 1.4 goals per game on average, outperforming their opponents in that department. However, defensive frailties remain an issue: they concede an average of 1.7 goals and rarely keep clean sheets. The league table situation demands maximum focus from Aalesund, as their battle for survival means they are desperate to pick up points in every round.
Match Results: Aalesunds
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 9, draws - 8.
Statistics: Valerenga vs Aalesunds
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- win percentage: 33% vs 17%;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
- Valerenga have won in last 5 games against Aalesunds.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.13;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.77;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Valerenga vs Aalesunds
- average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 3.25;
- average total goals scored: 1.08 vs 1.42;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.58 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.75;
- Valerenga: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Aalesunds: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Aalesunds have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Valerenga.
Prediction on corners
Valerenga: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.17; at home field - 8.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.3; at home field - 9.2.
Aalesunds: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.25, away - 2.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 3.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Valerenga vs Aalesunds
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Valerenga at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Aalesunds away - 3 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Valerenga at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Aalesunds away - 3 (60%).
- Aalesunds have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Eliteserien).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (11/97, 11.3%), 2:0 (11/97, 11.3%), 2:1 (11/97, 11.3%);
- Valerenga at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 2:2 , 3:1 , 3:2 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Aalesunds away most often play: 1:1 (2/5, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 9.9% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 9.87% (odds 8.5)
1:0 - 8.63% (odds 11)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Neither side is known for defensive solidity, as reflected by their recent goals conceded stats. Vålerenga’s back line has been particularly vulnerable, regularly allowing opponents to find the net, while Aalesund, even during their stronger run, have struggled to keep clean sheets. There’s also a clear trend: Aalesund have both scored and conceded in each of their last five league matches. Given these patterns, there’s a strong chance both teams will get on the scoresheet. The prediction - both teams to score.
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Betting Tips: Valerenga - Aalesunds
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