Fortaleza vs Novorizont. Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 July 2026
📢 The Matchday 18 clash in Brazil’s Serie B between Fortaleza and Novorizontino is shaping up to be a crucial encounter for both sides in the promotion race. Both teams are among the league leaders, separated by just two points. While Fortaleza have dropped points more frequently in recent outings, they remain a formidable force at home. Novorizontino, on the other hand, have showcased greater attacking firepower.
Head-to-Head
📊 These teams have never faced each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Fortaleza - Novorizont.
Fortaleza Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Goianiense, away team - Fortaleza EC CE). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Fortaleza vs Goianiense):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 1;
- fouls: 16 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Fortaleza have been a dominant force at home, winning six of their last seven league fixtures on their own turf. While their overall attacking stats this season are fairly modest-averaging 1.18 goals per game-their scoring rate rises significantly in front of their home crowd: Fortaleza have netted at least twice in six of their previous seven matches at home. The urgent need to close the gap to the automatic promotion spots keeps the squad highly motivated, but recent form has been mixed, with two victories and two defeats in their last five outings.
Match Results: Fortaleza
Novorizontino Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Operario, away - Novorizontino). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Novorizontino vs Operario):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 19 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Novorizontino are enjoying a consistent run of form, having picked up five wins and suffered just two defeats in their last ten outings. Their season stats are equally impressive - the side averages 1.65 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.94. Notably, Novorizontino have found the net in nine straight fixtures and remain one of the toughest opponents to face away from home. With only a narrow gap separating them from the automatic promotion spots, their motivation in the league remains sky-high.
Match Results: Novorizontino
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Novorizontino
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 8 vs 8;
- win percentage: 47% vs 47%;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Novorizontino won with a +1.5 handicap in 26 of last 27 games (Serie B).
- Novorizontino won with a +1.5 handicap in 24 of last 25 away games.
- Novorizontino won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 games.
- Novorizontino won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Novorizontino
- average total in the tournament: 2.18 vs 2.59;
- average total goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.65;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 1.18;
- Fortaleza: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Novorizontino: average total away in the tournament - 1.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.25) vs 1.9 (away - 2).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 11 Fortaleza home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Fortaleza home games (Serie B).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 10 Novorizontino games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Novorizontino games (Serie B).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Novorizontino away games.
Prediction on corners
Fortaleza: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.47; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; at home field - 5.5.
Novorizontino: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.24, away - 4.22;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.4.
- Novorizontino have taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Novorizontino
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 9;
- number of BTS matches for Fortaleza at home - 4 (50%);
- number of BTS matches for Novorizontino away - 3 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Fortaleza at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Novorizontino away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (25/170, 14.7%);
- Fortaleza at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/8, 25%);
- Novorizontino away most often play: 0:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.79% (odds 6)
1:0 - 10.14% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 8.65% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Fortaleza head into this clash as favourites, thanks in large part to their strong home form. Both sides are pushing for promotion, so the hosts will likely need to step up after the break to secure a positive result. Notably, Fortaleza have scored in the second half in nine of their last ten home fixtures. Given this trend, backing Fortaleza to score in the second half looks like a well-founded prediction. We're expecting a 2-1 scoreline.
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Betting Tips: Fortaleza - Novorizontino
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