Nantes vs Montpellier Prediction 17 May 2025
🔊 Will the "Paladins" gift a crucial point to the "Canaries"? In the final round of Ligue 1, matchday 34, a relegated Montpellier will visit the Stade de la Beaujoire in Nantes. Zoumana Camara's team is gradually gaining confidence and building chemistry, but this has yet to significantly impact their results. Nantes, on the other hand, have flirted with disaster due to a string of poor performances. To ensure their place in Ligue 1 next season, the "Canaries" need just a single point.
Head-to-Head
📊 In their last 10 encounters, Nantes hold a significant edge over Montpellier (5-2-3). The first-leg match also went Nantes' way (3-1), though it was a tough contest. The "Paladins" managed to create several dangerous chances and dominated possession and corner kicks. However, considering the tournament motivations and recent performances, it's logical to predict a Nantes victory.
Head-to-head statistics Nantes - Montpellier
Nantes Team Overview
🟡 With just one round left in the championship, Nantes find themselves in a crucial 15th place. Not too long ago, the team was feeling secure, especially after a draw with PSG boosted their confidence. However, a string of poor results has introduced the risk of not only direct relegation to Ligue 2 but also facing the relegation playoff zone. Fortunately, the schedule has thrown them a lifeline in the form of Montpellier at home in the final round. Now, they just need to seize this opportunity.
Match Results: Nantes
Montpellier Team Overview
🟠 Zumana Kamara's team are gaining momentum with every match, looking increasingly confident. Against PSG, they occasionally displayed quite bold football. The "Paladins" nearly matched PSG in shots, were close in xG excluding penalties, and delivered more corners. It's likely we can expect a fairly audacious performance from them in the final round. At the very least, the team will be motivated to make a strong last impression.
Match Results: Montpellier
Latest news
Nantes
📉 In their last 10 matches, Nantes' top scorers Matthis Abline (8 goals, 2 assists in 33 matches) and Moses Simon (7 goals, 9 assists in 31 matches) have each found the net just once. Notably, both scored in the first-round victory against Montpellier (3-1).
❌ Left-back Nicolas Cozza (1 goal in 27 matches) returns from suspension. Backup defender Sekou Doucoure is doubtful for the game. On-loan central defender Saïdou Sow from Strasbourg is sidelined due to injury.
Montpellier
🔝 Montpellier's right winger Tanguy Koulibaly found the back of the net against PSG in the last round. With this goal, he became Montpellier's top scorer in Ligue 1 this season, tallying three goals.
❌ For the upcoming match, two key players are suspended: midfielder Khalil Fayad and defensive midfielder Rabby Nzingula. The participation of first-choice left-back Théo Sainte-Luce and forward Andy Delort (9 matches with no goal contributions) is doubtful. Midfielder Nicolas Paez, main left-back Issiaga Sylla, and key center-back Modibo Sagnan are sidelined due to injuries and will not feature in the game.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Clement Turpin. On average this season, he hands out 2.8 yellow cards per game (1.5 to the home side and 1.3 to the visitors). The last head-to-head between Montpellier and Nantes ended with a 2-2 card count. In Nantes' home games, they average 3.6 yellow cards (2-1.6 in favor of the hosts), while Montpellier's away games see an average of 4.2 (1.7-2.5 in favor of the visitors). We suggest betting on Montpellier to win on yellow cards with a handicap of (0).
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net recently. Nantes have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, while Montpellier have managed the same tally in their last 14 games. This isn't just bad luck; their ability to create scoring chances is also lacking. This is further evidenced by their xG figures, which have consistently been low (less than or equal to one in the last 7 matches). Therefore, we recommend a bet on total goals under 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Nantes have conceded an average of just over 7 corners per game in their last 6 matches. Meanwhile, Montpellier have averaged 4.2 corners in their last 8 games. Given this context, a sensible bet would be on Montpellier's individual total corners over 3.5.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams struggle to find the net, and considering how crucial it is for Nantes to avoid defeat, the match is unlikely to be an open affair. We suggest a bet on under 2.5 goals, which has been successful in the last five consecutive home games for the Canaries in Ligue 1, and we anticipate a potential outcome of a narrow 1-0 victory for the hosts.
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Betting Tips: Nantes - Montpellier
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