Everton vs Southampton Prediction 18 May 2025
🔊 Which team will find the motivation in the 37th round of the English Premier League? In essence, the match holds no significance in terms of standings. Southampton are guaranteed to finish at the bottom of the table. Everton won't climb above 13th place, though they could slip a few spots, impacting only their prize money. For the Toffees, this upcoming match will be their final home game of the season at Goodison Park, which could serve as extra motivation. Nevertheless, we'll explore various scenarios to make an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the span of 35 head-to-head matches, Everton hold a slight edge with a 40 percent win rate. However, Southampton have claimed victory in 4 of their last 5 encounters, including a 1-0 win in the first round of the current season. In that match, the Merseysiders played defensively but created more scoring opportunities. Yet, it was the Saints who found the net in the 85th minute, thanks to a goal from Adam Armstrong, who is currently on loan at West Bromwich for the second half of the season.
Prior to that, the teams faced off in the League Cup, exchanging goals in the first half. No one scored in regular time, but the Saints prevailed in the penalty shootout.
It's clear that Southampton are not the easiest opponents for Everton. They've scored against the Toffees in 14 of their last 15 meetings. Currently, without the weight of expectations, Southampton can play more freely even on the road. In such circumstances, there's a high likelihood that Southampton will score.
Head-to-head statistics Everton - Southampton
Everton Team Overview
🔵 Goodison Park has not witnessed an Everton victory for some time. The last triumph came on February 1, when they thrashed Leicester 4-0. Since then, they've only secured three wins, all of which were on the road. However, they've also only suffered three defeats, with most matches ending in draws. For instance, David Moyes' side managed to avoid losses against Liverpool and Arsenal.
🔗 In their most recent outing, Everton pulled off a surprising 3-1 win over Fulham, who are vying for the eighth spot that could lead to European competition. The Cottagers took an early lead, but the Toffees equalized before halftime and scored twice more in the second half. Despite the game being evenly matched, Everton capitalized on nearly all their opportunities.
Match Results: Everton
Southampton Team Overview
🔴 Southampton have collected just 12 points from 36 matches, marking one of the poorest performances in Premier League history. Their relegation to the Championship has been confirmed for some time, and they have struggled to secure even a single victory. Nevertheless, the team continues to fight for points. For instance, they managed a draw against West Ham (1-1) and narrowly lost to Fulham after conceding in stoppage time (1-2).
🔗 The team hadn't won in over three months, making them clear underdogs against Manchester City at St Mary's. The Saints took to the field with a purely defensive mindset. To illustrate, they only managed two shots against the Citizens, neither of which were on target. On the flip side, Southampton effectively prevented their opponents from creating genuinely dangerous chances. As a result, City couldn't bombard the hosts with corners or shots, leading to a stalemate (0-0).
Match Results: Southampton
Latest news
Everton
📣 David Moyes shared his thoughts during the match against Fulham: “We had a very poor first half-hour. Mykolenko's goal before halftime gave us hope. That goal really changed my mood, allowed me to catch my breath. I'm glad it happened because after the break, the team turned the game around. We got back into it and celebrated the victory.”
📌 The 132-year-old Goodison Park has been spared from demolition. It will now host the women's team. David Moyes and his squad will move to a new, larger stadium.
❌ Jesper Lindstrøm and Orel Mangala, who have been out for a while, will miss the upcoming match due to injuries. James Tarkowski has missed three matches and won't be returning to the field anytime soon. However, Jake O’Brien's participation is uncertain as he only missed the clash with Fulham.
Southampton
📣 Southampton's clash with Manchester City was unlikely to win any fans. Former Chelsea player Chris Sutton harshly criticized the team for celebrating a draw: “Is this really worth celebrating when you're the second-worst team in the Premier League with a meager 12 points? It's embarrassing to watch players raise their fists. It's utterly unprofessional... What a bunch of losers.”
❌ Southampton are missing Ryan Fraser and Albert Gronbaek due to injuries. Charlie Taylor has been out for a while, and his participation in the upcoming match is uncertain. Kyle Walker-Peters missed the game against Manchester City due to illness, but he might return for the match against Everton.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Michael Oliver, who has taken charge of 25 Premier League games this season. On average, he hands out 4.72 yellow cards per match. However, in 5 of his last 6 matches, he has shown fewer than four cautions.
This season, Southampton tend to receive more yellow cards (2.5 compared to 2.3). In games involving Southampton, there are typically four cautions on average, while Everton's matches see slightly fewer (3.7). In the first-round head-to-head, the referee issued six yellow cards. With less at stake now, the number is expected to be lower. Nonetheless, Southampton have seen at least three yellows in 12 of their last 13 away matches. The same applies to seven of Everton's home games. Considering the referee's stats, we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 2.5.
⚽️ Goal Predictions
We've noted that Southampton consistently find the net in head-to-head matches. On the flip side, in a stretch of 20 away games, they've managed just one clean sheet. Therefore, it's worth considering a bet on both teams to score (yes). This outcome has occurred in 7 of the last 8 matches at Goodison Park.
🚩 Corner Predictions
Both teams average around four corners per match this season. It's no surprise that their first-round encounter saw only nine corners in total. Southampton's away games also don't feature many corners-no more than 10 in 7 of their last 8 matches. Thus, it makes sense to bet on total corners under 10.5.
Editorial Prediction
Everton are undoubtedly the favorites here, but is the spread in odds justified? In our view, not entirely. The Saints might not secure points, but they should find the net, having done so in 7 of their last 8 head-to-heads at Goodison Park. Therefore, our bet is both teams to score (yes).
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Betting Tips: Everton - Southampton
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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