Monchengladbach vs Mainz Prediction
🔊 The 30th round of the Bundesliga wraps up with a clash in Gladbach, where Borussia, winless in their last three matches, still face the threat of relegation. The Foals need a victory over Mainz, who sit comfortably mid-table despite a loss in the previous round. For Eugen Polanski's side, it's a prime opportunity to secure three points. However, there's a significant caveat: Borussia Mönchengladbach have failed to defeat the '05ers' in nine of their last ten head-to-head encounters. This streak was only broken in the first leg at the MEWA Arena. Can the hosts build on that success at Borussia-Park?
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first round, Borussia Mönchengladbach secured three points at the MEWA Arena thanks to an own goal by Danny da Costa in the 58th minute (1-0). At that time, Mainz were sitting at the bottom of the table. This defeat marked the first loss for the "05ers" against Gladbach in their last ten head-to-head encounters.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Borussia M'gladbach Team Overview
⚫ Despite an impressive performance from goalkeeper Nicolas Moritz, who made 11 saves, Gladbach fell to Leipzig (0-1), conceding in the 80th minute. Eugen Polanski's side sits 14th, five points clear of the relegation playoff zone. In the remaining fixtures, alongside Mainz, they face Wolfsburg, Borussia Dortmund, Augsburg, and Hoffenheim.
🟢 Gladbach are winless in their last three matches but remain unbeaten at Borussia-Park for four games (two wins and two draws). Historically, however, home clashes against Mainz have been challenging: in their last five encounters, they suffered three defeats and secured two draws.
Match Results: Borussia M'gladbach
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 Mainz are currently ninth in the table, sitting eight points clear of the relegation playoff zone, despite their recent 0-1 loss to Freiburg. This defeat ended their nine-match unbeaten streak, which included six Bundesliga fixtures. Furthermore, Mainz struggled to regain their winning form in European competitions. In the second leg of the UEFA Conference League quarterfinals, Urs Fischer's side suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat against Strasbourg, crashing out of the tournament despite holding an advantage from the first leg.
⚪ With five matches remaining in the season-against Gladbach, Bayern Munich, St. Pauli, Union Berlin, and Heidenheim-their chances of securing a European spot are slim. The gap is significant, but theoretically, they still have a shot at seventh place.
Match Results: Mainz
Latest news
Borussia M'gladbach
🎙️ Eugen Polanski on the upcoming match: "We have to fight with everything we've got. I'd be lying if I said I don't look at the standings. If things go well, after the game we can look at them with a clear conscience and see the fruits of our labor."
❌ Almost the entire squad is available. Tim Kleindienst is nearing a return, while Nathan Ngumu and Robin Hack are gradually regaining form after a long absence.
Mainz
🎙️ Mainz captain Silvan Widmer after their exit from the Conference League: "Today, we had a chance to make history, but we weren't good enough. We need to be honest with ourselves. We could have scored more in the first match, but today’s game was decisive. The opponent was better and deservedly advanced."
❌ Benedikt Hollerbach, Maxim Dal, Lee Jae-sung, Maxim Leitsch, and Silas remain sidelined.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The match will be officiated by Tobias Welz. In his previous game, he issued two yellow cards to one player, resulting in a sending-off. Over his last 10 matches, the referee averages 4.6 cautions per game. Gladbach are among the league's most disciplined teams, with 43 yellow cards over 29 rounds, averaging 1.5 per match. Mainz, on the other hand, are one of the more aggressive sides, with 61 cautions (2.1 per game). Considering this contrast and the current form of the teams, it seems reasonable to look at over 3.5 yellow cards, a mark that has been met in Mainz's last four matches.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Gladbach struggle with scoring: 35 goals in 29 rounds, averaging 1.2 per match. The team rarely scores more than once. Mainz are likely to play more cautiously following their exit from European competitions and due to accumulated fatigue. Against this backdrop, it's insightful to consider under 3.5 goals, a scenario that has occurred in 7 of Urs Fischer's team's last 8 matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In terms of corners, Mainz hold a slight edge with about 5 deliveries per match compared to Gladbach's 4.1. However, the home-field advantage could play a role: Borussia are likely to control possession more and apply pressure. With this in mind, we choose Gladbach's individual total over 3.5 corners, which has been achieved in their last five head-to-head encounters.
Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers see the odds as fairly balanced, with a slight edge to Gladbach due to their home advantage. However, the hosts' form remains inconsistent, while Mainz, despite two consecutive losses, have been more stable overall this season. Considering the head-to-head history, it makes sense to consider the option of Mainz not losing - this outcome has occurred in nine of the last ten meetings between the teams, including matches at Borussia-Park. A likely scenario is a cautious game from both sides, resulting in a 1-1 draw.
Betting Tips: Borussia M'gladbach - Mainz
in 9 of last 10 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in last 5 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
in 16 of last 17 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in 16 of last 17 away games (Bundesliga).in 11 of last 12 Borussia M'gladbach home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 Borussia M'gladbach home games against Mainz.in 7 of last 8 Borussia M'gladbach home games.in 6 of last 7 Borussia M'gladbach home games (Bundesliga).in 16 of last 17 Mainz away games (Bundesliga).in 13 of last 14 Mainz games (Bundesliga).in 11 of last 12 Mainz away games.in 6 of last 7 Mainz games.
in last 6 Tobias Welz games.in 12 of last 13 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in 11 of last 12 home games against Mainz.in 10 of last 11 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 away games (Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
