Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

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    🔊 Who will emerge victorious in this season's Copa del Rey? This Saturday, the "Estadio de la Cartuja" will host the clash between Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad. Both teams have been absent from national cup glory for quite some time. The last triumph for the "Royal" team was in the 2019/20 campaign. Meanwhile, the "Colchoneros" haven't lifted the Copa del Rey since the 2012/13 season. Bookmakers are giving the nominal hosts a twofold advantage. 

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Let's take a look at the outcomes from the last 10 head-to-head encounters: Atletico have claimed victory 6 times, with 3 matches ending in a draw and Real Sociedad securing just 1 win. Averaging the scoring over this period, Atletico have netted 1.8 goals per match, while the White and Blues have managed 1. The San Sebastian side haven't beaten the Indians since the 2021/22 Copa del Rey campaign. 

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    57%
    23 Wins
    18%
    7 Draws
    25%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    2.6
    Both teams scored
    45%
    1.65
    Total average
    0.95
    2.33
    Yellow cards
    2.03
    Last matches
    18.04.26
    Copa del Rey
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    2.34
    1.46
    5
    6
    17
    17
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    3
    4
    2.34
    1.46
    5
    6
    17
    17
    2
    3
    07.03.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    2.68
    0.42
    8
    1
    6
    10
    1
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2.68
    0.42
    8
    1
    6
    10
    1
    1
    04.01.26
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.76
    0.86
    6
    6
    11
    13
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.76
    0.86
    6
    6
    11
    13
    3
    2
    10.05.25
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1.72
    0.3
    3
    3
    7
    12
    0
    0
    4
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    1.72
    0.3
    3
    3
    7
    12
    0
    0
    06.10.24
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    -
    -
    5
    1
    6
    6
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    6
    6
    0
    2
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    Atletico Madrid Team Overview

    🔴 Notably, over their last six matches across all competitions, Atlético have secured just one victory. However, this hasn't stopped them from advancing to the Champions League semifinals-a success that remains a cherished dream for everyone associated with the club. To reach the Copa del Rey final, Diego Simeone's side faced a tough challenge against Catalan giants Barcelona (4-0, 0-3). Let's take a look at Atlético's average scoring metrics in the current Copa del Rey campaign-2.6 goals scored per game with 1 conceded.

    ⚪ During the midweek, Los Rojiblancos expended a significant amount of energy in their European clash against Barcelona (1-2). Simeone's squad initially allowed their opponents to erase a two-goal advantage, but Ademola Lookman's goal once again put Atlético in a winning position. A well-executed counter-attacking strategy and maximum commitment from the players enabled Simeone's men to reach their first Champions League semifinal in many years. A similar scenario unfolded in their two-legged encounter with Barcelona in the Copa del Rey. Antoine Griezmann stands as Atlético's top scorer in this season's Copa del Rey, netting five goals in five matches.

    Match Results: Atletico Madrid

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Girona
    Girona
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    W
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    L
    05.05.26
    UCL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
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    Real Sociedad Team Overview

    ⚪ Winning the Copa del Rey could salvage the season for Real Sociedad. The arrival of Pellegrino Matarazzo has sparked optimism for a bright future, as the "Royals" are performing well in the national league, trailing just 2 points behind a European competition spot. Moreover, the team from San Sebastian has reached the final of the Copa del Rey, a significant achievement for the club. Let's take a look at their average performance metrics in this tournament: 2 goals scored per game and 0.7 conceded.

    🔵 The "Royals" have had ample time to recover, preparing for the upcoming final with a full week of rest. Their previous match was played last weekend against Alaves (3-3) in the 31st round of La Liga. Matarazzo's side came agonizingly close to securing victory, only for their opponents to equalize in the 97th minute. The American coach's tactical approach is quite adaptable but demands maximum effort from the players. Real Sociedad's top scorer in this season's Copa del Rey is Beñat Turrientes, with 3 goals in 6 matches.

    Match Results: Real Sociedad

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1.78
    1.14
    3
    5
    11
    17
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.78
    1.14
    3
    5
    11
    17
    1
    3
    D
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Valencia
    Valencia
    1
    0.66
    1.12
    3
    2
    13
    11
    4
    0
    3
    4
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0.66
    1.12
    3
    2
    13
    11
    4
    0
    L
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Girona
    Girona
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    2.7
    0.48
    6
    3
    13
    19
    2
    7
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.7
    0.48
    6
    3
    13
    19
    2
    7
    D
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    1
    2.34
    1.31
    5
    3
    12
    9
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2.34
    1.31
    5
    3
    12
    9
    2
    2
    D
    04.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1.98
    0.21
    3
    3
    19
    11
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.98
    0.21
    3
    3
    19
    11
    2
    1
    L
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    Latest news

    Atletico Madrid

    🎤 Atletico Madrid's head coach Diego Simeone commented on his team's performance following their 2-1 defeat to Barcelona in the second leg of the Champions League quarter-finals: "In the first half, we put in a tremendous effort and, despite some individual mistakes, managed to organize our play. The goal was simply magnificent. Such a start was quite likely, given how strong our opponent is. Mistakes won't go unpunished. We needed to play our game and attack because relying solely on defense wouldn't decide the match, even though you're practically forced to defend. In the second half, the game became more balanced. The substitutions gave us energy, while our opponents slowed down from their intense first-half pace."

    ❌ Atletico Madrid's coaching staff can count on their strongest lineup for the upcoming match.

    Real Sociedad

    🎤 Ahead of the final showdown, Jon Martin shared a brief interview: "This is a dream for me. I never thought I'd get to play in such a final with Real Sociedad so early on. Honestly, the nerves have been building a bit this week because we were focused on La Liga matches, even though the final was always in the back of our minds. Now we're really motivated and confident. I think it's going to be a very intense game between two strong teams. I watched their match; they're an excellent team with very strong players. We know it will be tough, but we're going with the intention to win. They are at a high level, and we'll have to work hard to contain them and secure the victory. Atletico are used to playing every three days. In a final, you don't feel the fatigue in your legs, so I'm sure it will be a very tough and even match."

    ❌ In Real Sociedad's infirmary are Job Ochieng (muscle injury), Alvaro Odriozola (knee injury), and Inaki Reperes (knee injury).

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The officiating team for the upcoming clash will be led by Javier Alberola Rojas. Over his last 10 matches, the Spanish referee has averaged just 2.9 yellow cards. In 7 of those 10 games, he has shown no more than three yellow cards. A reasonable bet would be on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Special attention should be given to the high scoring ability of both sides in this year's Copa del Rey: Atlético Madrid average 2.6 goals, while Real Sociedad average 2. Moreover, in 5 of Atlético's last 6 matches, at least three goals have been scored. This trend is also evident in 4 of Real Sociedad's last 5 games. A well-founded bet would be on total goals over 2.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In 4 of Atlético Madrid's last 5 matches, there have been no more than 10 corners. A similar pattern is seen in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters between Atlético and Real Sociedad. Looking at the average corners earned by each side in the current Copa del Rey campaign: Atlético have 4.6, and Real Sociedad have 4.7. The editorial choice is total corners under 10.5.

    🚀 Player Statistics Bet

    It's essential to highlight Real Sociedad's main attacking force - Mikel Oyarzabal. The Spanish forward is capable of turning a game on his own, with most attacks involving the 28-year-old player. This season, he has scored 14 goals and provided 3 assists in 32 matches. Furthermore, Oyarzabal is the designated set-piece taker. The editorial choice is Mikel Oyarzabal to score or assist at odds of 2.5*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    Our editorial team considered the current physical condition of each squad. Real Sociedad have had ample time to prepare for their clash with Atlético Madrid. Meanwhile, Diego Simeone's men endured a grueling passage to the Champions League semi-finals, expending a lot of energy midweek. It's also notable that Atlético haven't won the Copa del Rey in 13 years. A risky bet would be on Real Sociedad to win at odds of 4.55*.

    👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned

    We shouldn't rule out the possibility of Atlético playing a defensive game. In such a scenario, Real Sociedad could face significant challenges breaking down their opponent's defense. Physical fatigue could also play a role, affecting the intensity of the match. Should this scenario occur, consider betting on total goals under 3 at odds of 1.55*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editorial Prediction

    Pellegrino Matarazzo's squad views the Copa del Rey as a prime opportunity not just to salvage their season, but to turn it into a successful one. The "Colchoneros" aren't exactly an insurmountable opponent-they expended significant energy midweek and are not in peak physical condition right now. Meanwhile, the "Royals" have been preparing on a weekly cycle. Our editorial team anticipates an entertaining match, with a complex narrative for both sides. We predict a final score of 1-2, with the key bet being Real Sociedad to win with a (+1) handicap.

    Our choice
    Real Sociedad Handicap (+1) at odds of -111*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 April 2026, 07:07)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad

    Real Sociedad have won the 2nd half
    real-sociedad-2in last 8 games (Copa del Rey).
    2nd Half Real Sociedad Win
    Everygame
    +285
    Real Sociedad have won
    real-sociedad-2in 6 of last 7 games (Copa del Rey).
    Real Sociedad Win
    Bovada
    +320
    Atletico Madrid have not lost
    atletico-madrid-1real-sociedad-2in last 9 games against Real Sociedad.
    Atletico Madrid will not lose
    MyBookie
    -105
    Real Sociedad have not lost
    real-sociedad-2in last 8 games (Copa del Rey).
    Real Sociedad will not lose
    Everygame
    -105
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 16
    -2
    -1
    17 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    5
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    17
    16
    Conceded
    18
    3
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    55'
    View all stats