Watford vs Burnley Prediction 18 April 2025
🔊 An intriguing clash is set to unfold on the English football stage as Watford take on Burnley. Both teams have their own motivations: Watford aim to secure their place in the mid-table, while Burnley are fighting for the top spots. The teams' playing styles are noticeably different; the hosts favor a defensive approach but occasionally show teeth in attack, whereas the visitors rely on aggressive pressing and ball control. Recent matches have seen both teams display varying forms, ranging from consistent victories to unexpected defeats. This encounter promises to be a true test of tactical acumen for both managers.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Watford and Burnley:
- 31 matches played;
- home wins - 7, away wins - 14, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 40 for Watford, 50 for Burnley;
- average goals in the first half - 1.23, in the second half - 1.68;
- average total goals per match - 2.9.
The last game took place on 21 December 2024 at Burnley's ground and ended with a scoreline of 2-1.
Head-to-head statistics Watford - Burnley
Watford Team Overview
Watford, also known as the "Hornets," have been displaying inconsistent performances this season. Currently sitting in 11th place, the team is striving to find their rhythm amidst a mix of setbacks and victories. Their style relies on counterattacks and a solid defense, allowing them to control the pace against stronger opponents. Their last head-to-head with Burnley ended in a 2-1 defeat, fueling their desire for revenge in front of their home fans. However, poor finishing remains their Achilles' heel.
According to Watford's head coach Tom Cleverley, after their previous match against West Bromwich (1-2), the team looked better than their opponents for large portions of the game but lacked effectiveness in the final third. He is pleased with the team's play, but sometimes it's better to perform less impressively and secure the three points.
❌ Central defender Kevin Keben is doubtful for the match. Left winger Kwadwo Baah (4+3), attacking midfielder Giorgi Chakvetadze (2+6), and central defender Angelo Ogbonna are sidelined due to injuries.
Match Results: Watford
Burnley Team Overview
Burnley are confidently holding onto second place, thanks to their impressive form-winning seven of their last ten matches while dropping minimal points. The Clarets are renowned for their potent attack and solid defense, averaging just 0.3 goals conceded per match, highlighting their defensive discipline. Their squad stability and dynamic offense make them strong contenders for promotion to the Premier League.
Three individuals from Burnley are nominated for various end-of-season awards. Scott Parker is a candidate for Best Manager, goalkeeper James Trafford is in the running for Player of the Season, and the Young Player award could go to Cj Egan-Riley.
❌ Several players will be sidelined due to injuries: left winger Mike Tresor, right wingers Benson Manuel and Enock Agyei, midfielder Jonjo Shelvey, attacking midfielder Aaron Ramsey, and center-back Jordan Beyer.
Match Results: Burnley
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 14, draws - 10.
Statistics: Watford vs Burnley
- number of matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- number of wins: 16 vs 25;
- win percentage: 37% vs 58%;
- number of losses: 18 vs 2;
- number of draws: 9 vs 16.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 7;
- number of losses: 4 vs 1;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 games against Burnley (Championship).
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games against Burnley.
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games against Burnley (Championship).
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 home games against Burnley.
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 24 of last 25 home games.
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 home games (Championship).
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 games (Championship).
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.61;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.9;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Watford vs Burnley
- average total in the tournament: 2.49 vs 1.65;
- average total goals scored: 1.19 vs 1.35;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.74;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.6;
- Watford: average total at home in the tournament - 1.19;
- Burnley: average total away in the tournament - 1.27;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1) vs 1.8 (away - 1.2).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 16 of last 18 Watford games against Burnley (Championship).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Watford home games against Burnley (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Watford: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.23; at home field - 5.95;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 7.4.
Burnley: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.86, away - 4.09;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 4.8.
- Over 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Watford home games (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2 (1 for home team and 1 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.26 (0.93 for home team and 1.33 for away team).
Watford: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.79; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.8.
Burnley: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.65, away - 1.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Watford vs Burnley
- number of matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 24 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Watford at home - 10 (48%);
- number of BTTS matches for Burnley away - 5 (23%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Watford at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Burnley away - 2 (40%).
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their standings, Burnley clearly hold the advantage as the stronger side, boasting a high conversion rate in attack and a solid defense. Although Watford will be playing at home, where they typically earn more corners (as trends suggest), the visitors are expected to dominate, also racking up a significant number of corners. Given these patterns, a reasonable prediction would be to bet on over 9.5 corners in the match.
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Betting Tips: Watford - Burnley
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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