Guimaraes vs Porto Prediction
🔊 The upcoming clash between Vitória Guimarães and Porto promises to be an intriguing contest. Despite Vitória's recent victories, they face the league leaders, who are in phenomenal form. Porto have won their last eight matches and are confidently leading the standings. Considering the current trends of both teams and their past encounters, the line-ups are set for this showdown. It will be interesting to see if Vitória can challenge Porto or if the visitors will once again prove superior.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 04 December 2025 and ended with a score of 1-3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (with Porto as the home side):
- possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 19 vs 24;
- yellow cards: 7 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Vitória Guimarães and Porto:
- 48 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 38, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 32 for Vitória, 107 for Porto;
- average total in the first half - 1.29, in the second half - 1.6;
- average total goals per match - 2.9.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Portuguese League Cup, featuring Vitória Guimarães at home against Braga. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory for the visitors.
Here are the match statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs Braga):
- possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 8 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Vitória Guimarães, currently sitting in 7th place in the league, have shown inconsistent form. In their last five matches, they've secured three wins and one draw, but also suffered a defeat. This indicates their capability to fight for results, especially on home turf. However, their finishing remains a concern, with an average scoring rate of just 1.06 goals per match. The "Black and Whites" primarily play defensively, aiming to capitalize on quick counterattacks. They recently faced Porto and emerged victorious with a 3-1 win in the League Cup, a result that could influence their mindset ahead of the upcoming game.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Porto Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Portuguese Cup, where Porto hosted Benfica. The match ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Porto vs Benfica):
- possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 6;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Porto, the current league leaders, are showcasing impressive form. The team have won their last eight matches and suffered only a handful of defeats this season. With an average of 2.12 goals per game, Porto rank among the league's most potent attacking sides. Defensively, they are equally solid, conceding just 0.24 goals on average per match. The "Dragons" play with confidence, maintaining possession and utilizing high pressing to create chances in front of their opponents' goal. Their last head-to-head with Vitoria ended in a 1-3 defeat for Porto, a result that stands out as a clear exception to their otherwise dominant performances.
Match Results: Porto
Latest news
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
📝 Can Vitória withstand the challenge posed by Porto? That's the big question. The team plays an attractive brand of football, but consistency isn't their strong suit. Attention to detail is key to their success, yet the opposition is simply too strong. Even the support of their fans is unlikely to be a decisive factor for the team.
❌ Only Gustavo Silva remains sidelined due to injury. There are no new injuries to report. All key players are expected to be on the field.
Porto
🎙 In their first match of the year at "Dragão," Porto defeated Benfica (1-0) to advance to the semi-finals of the Portuguese Cup. After a challenging and high-quality game, Francesco Farioli expressed satisfaction with both the result and his team's performance. Porto controlled the clássico, showed resilience, and demonstrated their DNA on the pitch: "This week was special for several reasons, starting with the fantastic days spent in Algarve, which were reflected today in a very tough and high-quality match. I'm happy. Winning a game like today's is always special because of the connection we establish with the fans. I'm pleased with the result, but now we need to calm down because we have another important match against Vitória on Sunday."
❌ Porto have no new additions to their injury list. Nehuén Pérez, Luuk de Jong, and André Franco remain sidelined.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 38, draws - 5.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Porto
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 7 vs 16;
- win percentage: 41% vs 94%;
- losses: 6 vs 0;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 9;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games against Porto.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 home games against Porto (Primeira Liga).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.67, the guests - 2.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.9;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Porto
- average total in the tournament: 2.35 vs 2.35;
- average total goals scored: 1.06 vs 2.12;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.94;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.59 vs 1.18;
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.56;
- Porto: average total away in the tournament - 2.22;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.5) vs 2 (away - 2).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have not scored in 4 of last 5 home games against Porto.
- Porto have not conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
- Porto have not conceded in last 4 games.
Prediction on corners
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.41; at home field - 4.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 5.17.
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.29, away - 5.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 4.
- Porto have taken over 5.5 corners in last 10 games against Vitoria SC Guimaraes.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Porto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Porto away - 2 (22%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Porto away - 0 (0%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/153, 11.1%);
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Porto away most often play: 0:1 , 0:2 , 0:3 , 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 15.18% (odds 5.5)
0:2 - 12.96% (odds 6)
1:1 - 10.46% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In this matchup, the "Dragons" are clear favorites. Their impressive form and 16 victories this season make them nearly unbeatable. Although Vitória Guimarães recently defeated Porto in the League Cup, they have struggled with consistency in the league. Their losing streak at home against this opponent also highlights significant challenges when facing top teams. Considering recent trends and team statistics, a bet on Porto to win with a -1 handicap seems like a well-founded prediction. The giants are determined to settle the score after their previous loss.
Betting Tips: Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Porto
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
