Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 13:00. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Nairobi at the Moi International Sports Centre stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Gor Mahia being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 April 2025 and ended with a score of 4:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Gor Mahia):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1.
📊The teams Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 27 April 2025 at the home ground of Gor Mahia and ended with a score of 4:0.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Gor Mahia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 14 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Gor Mahia, away team - Muranga Seal). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (Gor Mahia vs Muranga Seal):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 0;
- fouls: 17 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 4.
- 9 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Gor Mahia stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 53% and a loss percentage of 20%.
⚽️Gor Mahia has scored a total of 23 goals. On the defensive end, Gor Mahia has allowed 12 goals over the season.
Match Results: Gor Mahia

Mara Sugar FC Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 14 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kenya Police, away - Mara Sugar FC). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Mara Sugar FC vs Kenya Police):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
- 4 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 8 draws.
📈Currently, Mara Sugar FC stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 29% and a loss percentage of 21%.
⚽Mara Sugar FC has scored a total of 13 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 11 goals over the season.
Match Results: Mara Sugar FC
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 8 vs 4;
- win percentage: 53% vs 29%;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 games.
- Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games (Premier League).
- Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 away games.
- Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC
- average total in the tournament: 2.2 vs 1.71;
- average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 0.93;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.64;
- Gor Mahia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Mara Sugar FC: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
- Mara Sugar FC have scored in 9 of last 10 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Gor Mahia at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 5 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Gor Mahia at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (27/151, 17.9%);
- Gor Mahia at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Mara Sugar FC away most often play: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 16.18% (odds 2.95)
0:0 - 12.78% (odds 3.7)
1:1 - 12.16% (odds 4.3)
Editorial Prediction
- Mara Sugar FC have scored in 9 of last 10 away games (Premier League).
