Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 13:00. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Nairobi at the Moi International Sports Centre stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Gor Mahia being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 27 April 2025 and ended with a score of 4:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Gor Mahia):

    • ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1.

    📊The teams Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 27 April 2025 at the home ground of Gor Mahia and ended with a score of 4:0.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    75%
    3 Wins
    25%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    4
    Total Goals Avg
    2.25
    Both teams scored
    0%
    2.25
    Total average
    0
    0.5
    Yellow cards
    0.5
    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    18.01.26
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    8
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    8
    2
    2
    27.04.25
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    30.11.24
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Gor Mahia Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 14 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Gor Mahia, away team - Muranga Seal). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Gor Mahia vs Muranga Seal):

    • ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 0;
    • fouls: 17 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 4.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Gor Mahia has engaged in 16 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 9 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 4 draws.

    📈Currently, Gor Mahia stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 53% and a loss percentage of 20%.

    ⚽️Gor Mahia has scored a total of 23 goals. On the defensive end, Gor Mahia has allowed 12 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Gor Mahia

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    24
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    24
    1
    4
    L
    27.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    D
    17.05.26
    Premier League
    Muranga Seal
    Muranga Seal
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    -
    -
    1
    6
    7
    22
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    1
    6
    7
    22
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    Kenya Police
    Kenya Police
    -
    -
    14
    2
    11
    16
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    14
    2
    11
    16
    2
    2
    D
    03.05.26
    Premier League
    Kakamega Homeboyz
    Kakamega Homeboyz
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    0
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Mara Sugar FC Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 14 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kenya Police, away - Mara Sugar FC). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the match stats (Mara Sugar FC vs Kenya Police):

    • ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
    • fouls: 7 vs 20;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Mara Sugar FC has engaged in 16 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 4 wins,
    • 4 losses,
    • 8 draws.

    📈Currently, Mara Sugar FC stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 29% and a loss percentage of 21%.

    ⚽Mara Sugar FC has scored a total of 13 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 11 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Mara Sugar FC

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Premier League
    Muranga Seal
    Muranga Seal
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    27.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    D
    16.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mathare United
    Mathare United
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    17
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    17
    2
    1
    L
    13.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Shabana
    Shabana
    -
    -
    1
    4
    20
    11
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    20
    11
    1
    0
    W
    09.05.26
    Premier League
    Leopards
    Leopards
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    8
    4
    11
    6
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    11
    6
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 2;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC

    • matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • wins: 8 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 53% vs 29%;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 4 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 3;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 games.
    • Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games (Premier League).
    • Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 away games.
    • Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Mara Sugar FC Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.26)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC

    • average total in the tournament: 2.2 vs 1.71;
    • average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 0.93;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.29;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.64;
    • Gor Mahia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
    • Mara Sugar FC: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Mara Sugar FC have scored in 9 of last 10 away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Mara Sugar FC will score goal (odds: 2.03)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 2;
    • both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 6;
    • number of BTTS matches for Gor Mahia at home - 3 (38%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 5 (71%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Gor Mahia at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.41)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (27/151, 17.9%);
    • Gor Mahia at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 (2/8, 25%);
    • Mara Sugar FC away most often play: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 16.18% (odds 2.95)
    0:0 - 12.78% (odds 3.7)
    1:1 - 12.16% (odds 4.3)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Mara Sugar FC have scored in 9 of last 10 away games (Premier League).

    Our choice
    Mara Sugar FC will score goal at odds of +103*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 January 2026, 11:24)

    Betting Tips: Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar FC

    Mara Sugar FC have drawn
    mara-sugar-fcin 5 of last 6 away games (Premier League).
    Draw
    +202
    Gor Mahia have not lost
    gor-mahia-fcin last 6 games (Premier League).
    Gor Mahia will not lose
    -1250
    Mara Sugar FC have not lost
    mara-sugar-fcin last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Mara Sugar FC will not lose
    +101
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    mara-sugar-fcin 10 of last 11 Mara Sugar FC games (Premier League).
    mara-sugar-fcin last 5 Mara Sugar FC away games (Premier League).
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    -303
    View more facts

    Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar FC Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    34209550-2269
    2.
    Leopards
    Leopards
    34197844-2864
    3.
    Kenya Police
    Kenya Police
    341316531-2155
    10.
    Aps Bomet
    Aps Bomet
    3411111237-3544
    11.
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    3410141030-3044
    12.
    Bandari
    Bandari
    34917826-2644

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 5
    +3
    0
    7 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    7
    5
    Conceded
    7
    1.3
    Match goals average
    1.4
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.7
    0.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    3
    Both teams scored
    3
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    129'
    View all stats