Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 January 2026

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 13:00. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Nairobi at the Moi International Sports Centre stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Gor Mahia being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 27 April 2025 and ended with a score of 4:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Gor Mahia):

    • ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1.

    📊The teams Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 27 April 2025 at the home ground of Gor Mahia and ended with a score of 4:0.

    Head-to-head statistics Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar FC

    75%
    3 Wins
    25%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    4
    Avg. total goals
    2.25
    Both teams scored
    0%
    2.25
    Average total
    0
    0.5
    Yellow cards
    0.5
    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    18.01.26
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    8
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    8
    2
    2
    27.04.25
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    30.11.24
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    Empty
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    Gor Mahia FC Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 14 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Gor Mahia, away team - Muranga Seal). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Gor Mahia vs Muranga Seal):

    • ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 0;
    • fouls: 17 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 4.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Gor Mahia has engaged in 16 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 9 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 4 draws.

    📈Currently, Gor Mahia stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 53% and a loss percentage of 20%.

    ⚽️Gor Mahia has scored a total of 23 goals. On the defensive end, Gor Mahia has allowed 12 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Gor Mahia FC

    Last matches
    08.11.26
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
    01.11.26
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    Kenya Commercial Bank
    Kenya Commercial Bank
    1
    -
    -
    7
    10
    -
    -
    0
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    10
    -
    -
    0
    3
    L
    28.10.26
    Premier League
    Kakamega Homeboyz
    Kakamega Homeboyz
    Gor Mahia FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    -
    -
    7
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    W
    24.10.26
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    Bandari FC
    Bandari FC
    -
    -
    5
    5
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    1
    1
    1
    2
    W
    17.10.26
    Premier League
    APS Bomet FC
    APS Bomet FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    Gor Mahia FC
    -
    -
    2
    2
    5
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    2
    5
    2
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Mara Sugar FC Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 14 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kenya Police, away - Mara Sugar FC). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the match stats (Mara Sugar FC vs Kenya Police):

    • ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
    • fouls: 7 vs 20;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Mara Sugar FC has engaged in 16 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 4 wins,
    • 4 losses,
    • 8 draws.

    📈Currently, Mara Sugar FC stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 29% and a loss percentage of 21%.

    ⚽Mara Sugar FC has scored a total of 13 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 11 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Mara Sugar FC

    Last matches
    07.11.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Migori
    Migori
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    W
    02.11.26
    Premier League
    Tusker Football Club
    Tusker Football Club
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    9
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    28.10.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Leopards SC
    Leopards SC
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    1
    2
    D
    24.10.26
    Premier League
    Ulinzi Stars FC
    Ulinzi Stars FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    2
    5
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    1
    0
    1
    1
    D
    19.10.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mombasa Elite
    Mombasa Elite
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    1
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 2;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC

    • matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • wins: 8 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 53% vs 29%;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 4 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 3;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 games.
    • Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games (Premier League).
    • Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 away games.
    • Mara Sugar FC won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Mara Sugar FC Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.26)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC

    • average total in the tournament: 2.2 vs 1.71;
    • average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 0.93;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.29;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.64;
    • Gor Mahia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
    • Mara Sugar FC: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Mara Sugar FC games (Premier League).
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Mara Sugar FC away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5) (odds: 1.33)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 2;
    • both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 6;
    • number of BTTS matches for Gor Mahia at home - 3 (38%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 5 (71%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Gor Mahia at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.41)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (27/151, 17.9%);
    • Gor Mahia at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 (2/8, 25%);
    • Mara Sugar FC away most often play: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 16.18% (odds 2.95)
    0:0 - 12.78% (odds 3.7)
    1:1 - 12.16% (odds 4.3)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Mara Sugar FC have scored in 9 of last 10 away games (Premier League).

    Mara Sugar FC will score goal
    Odds+103
    Published: 17/01/2026, 11:24

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    Betting Tips: Gor Mahia FC - Mara Sugar FC

    Mara Sugar FC have drawn:
    mara-sugar-fcin 5 of last 6 away games (Premier League).
    Draw
    +202
    Gor Mahia FC have not lost:
    gor-mahia-fcin last 6 games (Premier League).
    Gor Mahia FC will not lose
    -1250
    Mara Sugar FC have not lost:
    mara-sugar-fcin last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Mara Sugar FC will not lose
    +101
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    mara-sugar-fcin 10 of last 11 Mara Sugar FC games (Premier League).
    mara-sugar-fcin last 5 Mara Sugar FC away games (Premier League).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    -303
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 4
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 15
    -3
    -1
    9 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    4
    4
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    9
    15
    Conceded
    10
    2.7
    Average total per match
    1.9
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    78'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats