Gil Vicente vs Nacional Prediction 17 January 2026
🔊 Gil Vicente and Nacional de Madeira are gearing up for another showdown. Both teams exhibit intriguing dynamics: Gil Vicente hold the 4th spot in the standings, showcasing a confident style of play. However, their current form is debatable, with their last five matches ending in draws, indicating a certain stagnation. Nacional de Madeira are striving to improve their position (currently 13th), but their inconsistent results raise questions. The coaches of both teams will surely field their best line-ups for this clash in an attempt to break their winless streaks.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 09 August 2025 and ended with a score of 0-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Nacional de Madeira as the home side):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 14 vs 6;
- fouls: 21 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Gil Vicente and Nacional de Madeira:
- 26 matches played;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 10, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 33 vs 34;
- average goals in the first half - 1.27, in the second half - 1.31;
- average total goals per match - 2.58.
Head-to-head statistics Gil Vicente - Nacional
Gil Vicente Barcelos Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Gil Vicente as the home team against Sporting. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Gil Vicente vs Sporting):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 8 vs 7;
- fouls: 17 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 9 vs 4.
Gil Vicente, currently sitting 4th in the standings, have been putting on a solid performance throughout the season. Their last five matches have all ended in draws, a streak they are eager to break. The club is renowned for their organized defense, conceding an average of only 0.71 goals per game. While their scoring is moderate, with 1.29 goals per match, their defensive prowess is their standout feature. Their most recent encounter with Nacional ended in a 2-0 victory for Gil Vicente, boosting the team's confidence ahead of the upcoming clash.
Match Results: Gil Vicente Barcelos
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Nacional de Madeira hosting Santa Clara. The match ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw.
Here are the match stats (Nacional de Madeira vs Santa Clara):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 14 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Nacional de Madeira, currently sitting 13th in the standings, are struggling with both scoring and consistency. The Islanders have had a tough run in their last five matches, managing just one win alongside two losses and two draws. Their average goal-scoring rate is 1.24 goals per game, but defensive issues are evident as they concede an average of 1.53 goals. Despite recent setbacks, Nacional have shown an ability to find the net in most away fixtures. In their last outing against Gil Vicente, they suffered a 2-0 defeat, making the upcoming match crucial for improving their league position.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 10, draws - 6.
Statistics: Gil Vicente Barcelos vs Nacional de Madeir
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- win percentage: 41% vs 24%;
- losses: 3 vs 8;
- draws: 7 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 6 vs 4.
- Nacional de Madeir won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against Gil Vicente Barcelos (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games.
- Nacional de Madeir won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 games (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games.
- Nacional de Madeir won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.27, the guests - 1.31;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.58;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Gil Vicente Barcelos vs Nacional de Madeir
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.76;
- average total goals scored: 1.29 vs 1.24;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.82 vs 0.53;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.47 vs 0.71;
- Gil Vicente Barcelos: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 1.17).
- Gil Vicente Barcelos have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Nacional de Madeir.
Prediction on corners
Gil Vicente Barcelos: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.06; at home field - 5.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; at home field - 8.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.94, away - 3.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 3.33.
- Nacional de Madeir have taken over 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Gil Vicente Barcelos.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Gil Vicente Barcelos vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Gil Vicente Barcelos at home - 2 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Gil Vicente Barcelos at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 5 (83%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/153, 11.1%);
- Gil Vicente Barcelos at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Nacional de Madeir away most often play: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.83% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.47% (odds 7)
2:0 - 9.77% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics, Gil Vicente hold the edge in this matchup. They sit 4th in the standings and boast a solid defense, conceding just 0.71 goals per game. Nacional de Madeira are struggling with scoring and consistency, as evidenced by their recent performances: only one win in their last five matches. Given trends like Gil Vicente's low concession rate and the fact they've won the last five head-to-heads against Nacional, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction. This is further supported by the hosts' tendency for low-scoring games at home.
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Betting Tips: Gil Vicente Barcelos - Nacional de Madeir
in 6 of last 7 home games against Nacional de Madeir.
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in last 5 games (Primeira Liga).in last 7 games (Primeira Liga).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
