Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction 17 January 2026

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Alverca and Moreirense promises to be an exciting contest. Both teams are eager to improve their standings on the league table: the hosts currently sit in 11th place, while the visitors are in 6th. A crucial factor will be the form of the teams-Alverca have suffered defeats in three of their last five matches, whereas Moreirense have shown more consistent results. It's worth noting that their previous encounter ended with a 2-1 victory for Moreirense. Tactical flexibility and the current lineup could play a pivotal role in this showdown.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official meeting between the teams took place on 10 August 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative look at the statistics from that encounter (Moreirense were the home side):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corners: 6 vs 2;
    • fouls: 15 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    📊 Officially, Alverca and Moreirense have faced each other only once. The match took place on 10 August 2025 at Moreirense's home ground and ended with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Head-to-head statistics Alverca - Moreirense

    50%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    50%
    1 Win
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    100%
    1.5
    Total average
    1.5
    3
    Corner
    3
    2
    Yellow cards
    2
    10.5
    Fouls
    10.5
    Last matches
    17.01.26
    Primeira Liga
    Alverca
    Alverca
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    2.58
    1.47
    4
    0
    16
    6
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    2.58
    1.47
    4
    0
    16
    6
    3
    1
    10.08.25
    Primeira Liga
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1.19
    1.02
    6
    2
    15
    5
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.19
    1.02
    6
    2
    15
    5
    3
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Alverca Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, where Alverca hosted Famalicão. The match ended in a 1-0 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Alverca vs Famalicão):

    • possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corners: 3 vs 4;
    • fouls: 14 vs 22;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    Alverca are currently going through a tough spell, sitting 11th in the standings with six wins and nine losses this season. The team displays inconsistent form, with victories often followed by defeats. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins and three losses, translating to a 40% success rate. Alverca's attack has been underwhelming, averaging just 0.7 goals per game over their last ten matches. Meanwhile, their defense has been equally shaky, conceding more than one and a half goals per match on average. The squad needs to improve at both ends of the pitch to avoid further struggles.

    Match Results: Alverca

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    liga portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1.73
    0.45
    3
    4
    13
    17
    1
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.73
    0.45
    3
    4
    13
    17
    1
    3
    L
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    09.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Alverca
    Alverca
    2.45
    1.6
    7
    9
    13
    10
    0
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    1.6
    7
    9
    13
    10
    0
    4
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Alverca
    Alverca
    Sporting (B)
    Sporting (B)
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Alverca
    Alverca
    Mafra
    Mafra
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Moreirense Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga (Moreirense were the home team, Tondela the visitors). The match ended with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Tondela):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corners: 4 vs 2;
    • fouls: 7 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    Moreirense, currently sitting 6th in the table, show more consistent results compared to Alverca. Over their last five matches, the team have secured two wins and two draws, achieving a 60% success rate. This season, the club boasts a strong attack, averaging 1.41 goals per game. The "Green and Whites" are also known for their ability to adapt to various tactical situations, often relying on ball control and swift counterattacks. Their most recent encounter with Alverca ended in a 2-1 victory for Moreirense, which boosts the visitors' confidence ahead of the upcoming match.

    Match Results: Moreirense

    Last matches
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    L
    09.08.26
    liga portugal
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Braga
    Braga
    0.24
    1.12
    4
    2
    15
    20
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0.24
    1.12
    4
    2
    15
    20
    4
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Felgueiras
    Felgueiras
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Amarante
    Amarante
    -
    -
    1
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Alverca vs Moreirense

    • matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • wins: 6 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 35% vs 47%;
    • losses: 9 vs 6;
    • draws: 2 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 3;
    • losses: 6 vs 4;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.
    👉Prediction: Moreirense Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.12)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 2;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.

    Statistics: Alverca vs Moreirense

    • average total in the tournament: 2.59 vs 2.82;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.41;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.41 vs 0.53;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.59 vs 0.88;
    • Alverca: average total at home in the tournament -  0.78;
    • Moreirense: average total away in the tournament - 1.22;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.6) vs 1.2 (away - 1.33).
    Trends
    • Alverca have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games.
    • Alverca have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Alverca Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.39)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Alverca vs Moreirense

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 8;
    • number of BTTS matches for Alverca at home - 2 (22%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 3 (33%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Alverca at home - 1 (20%);
    • BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 2 (33%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.73)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/153, 11.1%);
    • Alverca at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/9, 33.3%);
    • Moreirense away most often play: 0:2 (2/9, 22.2%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 14.06% (odds 6)
    0:1 - 10% (odds 7)
    1:0 - 9.81% (odds 6.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Based on current form and statistics, an intriguing match between Alverca and Moreirense can be anticipated. The "Green and Whites" hold a slight edge due to their stable attack and more reliable defense, as evidenced by their current position in the standings. Nevertheless, Alverca will be eager to improve their standing in the tournament, adding intrigue to this clash. However, the team faces issues with scoring, averaging only 0.7 goals per game in their last ten matches. Considering the trend for both teams to score and the odds being reasonable, the most likely outcome seems to be a bet on both teams to score (no). We believe one side will leave the field without finding the net.

    Both Teams To Score (No)
    Published: 15/01/2026, 08:15

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    Betting Tips: Alverca - Moreirense

    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    moreirense-fc-1in 13 of last 15 Moreirense games (Primeira Liga).
    moreirense-fc-1in 7 of last 8 Moreirense away games (Primeira Liga).
    in last 11 Luis Miguel Branco Godinho games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -200
    Alverca have scored under 1.5 goals:
    alverca-futebolin 9 of last 10 games.
    alverca-futebolin 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
    Alverca Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Alverca have taken under 5.5 corners:
    alverca-futebolin 15 of last 17 games (Primeira Liga).
    alverca-futebolin 8 of last 9 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Corners - Alverca Total Under (5,5)
    -286
    Moreirense have taken under 5.5 corners:
    moreirense-fc-1in 14 of last 16 away games.
    moreirense-fc-1in 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
    moreirense-fc-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Corners - Moreirense Total Under (5,5)
    -357
    View more facts

    Alverca - Moreirense Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    3413111047-3850
    7.
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    341271537-4943
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    10.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    341091554-5739
    11.
    Alverca
    Alverca
    341091535-5239
    12.
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    348121435-5736

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 14
    -3
    -9
    8 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    2
    Draws
    3
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    8
    14
    Conceded
    17
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    6
    Both teams scored
    4
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats