Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction 17 January 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Alverca and Moreirense promises to be an exciting contest. Both teams are eager to improve their standings on the league table: the hosts currently sit in 11th place, while the visitors are in 6th. A crucial factor will be the form of the teams-Alverca have suffered defeats in three of their last five matches, whereas Moreirense have shown more consistent results. It's worth noting that their previous encounter ended with a 2-1 victory for Moreirense. Tactical flexibility and the current lineup could play a pivotal role in this showdown.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between the teams took place on 10 August 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative look at the statistics from that encounter (Moreirense were the home side):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
📊 Officially, Alverca and Moreirense have faced each other only once. The match took place on 10 August 2025 at Moreirense's home ground and ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Alverca - Moreirense

Alverca Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, where Alverca hosted Famalicão. The match ended in a 1-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Alverca vs Famalicão):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Alverca are currently going through a tough spell, sitting 11th in the standings with six wins and nine losses this season. The team displays inconsistent form, with victories often followed by defeats. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins and three losses, translating to a 40% success rate. Alverca's attack has been underwhelming, averaging just 0.7 goals per game over their last ten matches. Meanwhile, their defense has been equally shaky, conceding more than one and a half goals per match on average. The squad needs to improve at both ends of the pitch to avoid further struggles.
Match Results: Alverca

Moreirense Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga (Moreirense were the home team, Tondela the visitors). The match ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Tondela):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 7 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Moreirense, currently sitting 6th in the table, show more consistent results compared to Alverca. Over their last five matches, the team have secured two wins and two draws, achieving a 60% success rate. This season, the club boasts a strong attack, averaging 1.41 goals per game. The "Green and Whites" are also known for their ability to adapt to various tactical situations, often relying on ball control and swift counterattacks. Their most recent encounter with Alverca ended in a 2-1 victory for Moreirense, which boosts the visitors' confidence ahead of the upcoming match.
Match Results: Moreirense
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Alverca vs Moreirense
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 6 vs 8;
- win percentage: 35% vs 47%;
- losses: 9 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Alverca vs Moreirense
- average total in the tournament: 2.59 vs 2.82;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.41;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.41 vs 0.53;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.59 vs 0.88;
- Alverca: average total at home in the tournament - 0.78;
- Moreirense: average total away in the tournament - 1.22;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.6) vs 1.2 (away - 1.33).
- Alverca have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games.
- Alverca have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Alverca vs Moreirense
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Alverca at home - 2 (22%);
- number of BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 3 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Alverca at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 2 (33%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/153, 11.1%);
- Alverca at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Moreirense away most often play: 0:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.06% (odds 6)
0:1 - 10% (odds 7)
1:0 - 9.81% (odds 6.5)